In this article we will formulate a Phillies vs Brewers prediction for this MLB game on Wednesday, September 23rd at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview
The Philadelphia Phillies are 87-70 this season after they won game one by a score of 6-4 last night. Philadelphia blew a 3-0 lead, but they scored three runs in the eighth to get the victory. The Phillies recorded eight hits in the game and they were led by Marsh, who went 2-4 with one home run and three RBIs. Wheeler allowed five hits and three earned runs over 5.2 innings, while Alvarado got the win and Duran picked up the save. Prior to this series, Philadelphia split four games with the Mets and split two games with the Nationals.
This season, Philadelphia has a 4.00 ERA with a 1.28 WHIP and a .247 opponent batting average, while they have scored 703 runs with a .241 batting average and a .312 on base percentage. Kyle Schwarber has led the Phillies with 45 home runs and 95 RBIs, while Bryce Harper has added 28 home runs and 85 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Philadelphia is Aaron Nola, who is 7-10 with a 4.49 ERA and a 1.35 WHIP over 168.1 innings pitched this season.
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview
The Milwaukee Brewers are 98-59 this year after they lost game one by a score of 4-6 on Tuesday. Milwaukee cut the deficit to 6-4 in the ninth inning, but couldn’t get any closer in the loss. The Brewers recorded six hits and they committed two errors in the game, while they were led by Contreras, who went 1-3 with three RBIs. May allowed two earned runs over 2.0 innings, while Gordon picked up the loss in relief. Prior to this series, Milwaukee swept the Orioles in three games and won two out of three against the Pirates.
This season, Milwaukee has a 3.55 ERA with a 1.19 WHIP and a .223 opponent batting average, while they have scored 806 runs with a .258 batting average and a .340 on base percentage. Jake Bauers has led the Brewers with 26 home runs and 83 RBIs, while Brice Turang has added 19 home runs and 93 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Milwaukee is Logan Henderson, who is 10-3 with a 2.51 ERA and a 0.81 WHIP over 93.1 innings pitched this year.
Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win
- The underdogs have won eight of the last 10 games between the Brewers and Phillies.
- The Brewers have lost each of their last three games as road favorites against the Phillies following a loss.
- The Brewers have failed to cover the run line each of their last five night games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
- The underdogs have covered the run line in nine of the last 11 games between the Brewers and Phillies.
- The Phillies have led after 3 innings in nine of their last 10 night games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- The Phillies have led after 5 innings in each of their last five night games at Citizens Bank Park against NL Central opponents.
Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win
- The Brewers have won each of their last six night games after playing the previous day.
- The Phillies have lost each of their last seven games as home underdogs.
- The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games as home underdogs.
- The Brewers have covered the run line in seven of their last eight night games against the Phillies following a road loss.
- The Brewers have led after 3 innings in six of their last seven games as favorites against NL opponents.
- The Brewers have led after 5 innings in 10 of their last 12 games as road favorites against NL East opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Seven of the Phillies’ last eight games as home underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Five of the Brewers’ last six night games against NL opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of Logan Henderson’s last nine road appearances as a starter.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Phillies’ last five home games.
Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts
- Kyle Schwarber has hit a home run in three of the Phillies’ last four home games against NL opponents.
- Aaron Nola has recorded a win in three of his last four home appearances against the Brewers.
- Aaron Nola has recorded six or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances with the Phillies as underdogs against the Brewers.
- Luis Arraez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 21 appearances with his team as a home underdog against NL opponents.
- Kyle Schwarber ranks T1st in the league in Home Runs (45) this season.
Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts
- Logan Henderson has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
- Logan Henderson has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last seven appearances in night games.
- William Contreras has recorded at least one hit in each of the Brewers’ last 15 games against the Phillies.
- Gary Sanchez has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances with his team as a road favorite against the Phillies.
- Jake Bauers ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.396) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Phillies rank 1st in the league for strikeouts this season (1525).
- The Phillies are one of only three teams in the league to rank top 10 in both strikeouts and walks allowed this season.
- The Brewers rank 1st in the league for hits this season (1375).
- The Brewers rank 1st in the league for on-base percentage this season (.340).
Phillies vs Brewers Prediction
Philadelphia was able to get the win on Tuesday to start this series and they have scored 13 runs in their last two games. The Phillies are 42-34 at home this year, while the Brewers are 46-33 on the road. Milwaukee has won three of their last four games and they have allowed zero runs in two of their last three. The Brewers are starting Henderson, who has allowed 3, 0, 2, 1, and 1 earned run in his last five outings, while Nola has allowed two earned runs or fewer in five straight. Take the under here.