In this article, we will formulate a Phillies vs Brewers Prediction for this MLB matchup on Friday, June 12th in the opening game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Milwaukee Brewers Preview
The Milwaukee Brewers have a 41-25 record this season and are sitting in the 1st place of the NL Central. They have a 21-13 home record and are coming off a 3-4 road defeat against the Athletics. They will face the Guardians and the Braves next.
The Brewers have a .254 batting average this season, .340 OBP and .389 Slugging percentage. Milwaukee’s pitching staff has a 3.47 ERA and 1.22 WHIP. William Contreras is the team’s best hitter with a .285 batting average. Jake Bauers leads the team in RBI with 43, adding a team-high 12 home runs.
Jacob Misiorowski (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Brewers, and he has a 7-2 record, 1.50 ERA and 0.81 WHIP.
Philadelphia Phillies Preview
The Philadelphia Phillies have a 37-31 record this season and are sitting in the 2nd place of the NL East. They have an 18-14 road record and are coming off a 7-4 road win against the Blue Jays. They will face the Marlins and the Mets next.
The Phillies have a .228 batting average this season, .298 OBP and .389 Slugging percentage. Philadelphia’s pitching staff has a 4.01 ERA and 1.29 WHIP. Brandon Marsh is the team’s best hitter with a .326 batting average. Kyle Schwarber leads the team in RBI with 42, adding a team-high 24 home runs.
Andrew Painter (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Phillies, and he has a 1-7 record, 6.21 ERA and 1.57 WHIP.
Philadelphia Phillies @ Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends: June 12, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Jacob Misiorowski Record this season: 7-2 ERA: 1.50
- Home Record: 3-0
- Last 5 against Phillies: 0-0
Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win
- The Brewers have won each of their last four night games against the Phillies at American Family Field following a loss.
- The Phillies have lost four of their last five night games against the Brewers following a win.
- The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight night games against NL Central opponents.
- The Brewers have covered the run line in each of their last four games following a road loss.
- The Brewers have led after 3 innings in five of their last six night games against opponents that held a winning record.
- The Phillies have trailed after 5 innings in eight of their last nine night games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- The Brewers have won the first inning in three of their last four night games.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Andrew Painter Record this season: 1-7 ERA: 6.21
- Road Record: 0-3
- Last 5 against Brewers: –
Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win
- The underdogs have won each of the last six games between the Phillies and Brewers.
- The Brewers have lost each of their last five games as home favorites against NL East opponents.
- The Phillies have covered the run line in each of their last 10 games as road underdogs against NL Central opponents following a win.
- The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games as home favorites against NL East opponents.
- The Phillies have led after 3 innings in each of their last four games.
- The Phillies have led after 5 innings in seven of their last eight games.
- The Phillies have won the first inning in three of their last four games.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Phillies’ last seven night games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Four of the Brewers’ last five games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Brewers’ last seven games.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Phillies’ last five games against National League opponents.
Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts
- William Contreras has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 home appearances against the Phillies.
- Gary Sanchez has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances.
- Jacob Misiorowski ranks 1st in the league for total Strikeouts (116) this season.
Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts
- Brandon Marsh has hit a home run in each of the Phillies’ last three games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Trea Turner has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 appearances against the Brewers.
- Kyle Schwarber ranks 1st in the league in Home Runs (24) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Brewers rank 2nd in the league for on-base percentage this season (.340).
- The Brewers rank T2nd in the league for walks this season (287).
- The Phillies rank 1st in the league for strikeouts this season (641).
- The Phillies rank 29th in the league for doubles this season (90).
Phillies vs Brewers Prediction
The Brewers are 5-2 in their last 7 meetings against the Phillies but have lost two of their last three meetings in Milwaukee.
In this Phillies vs Brewers Prediction, the Brewers are coming as -250 home favorites. Brewers all day in this one. They have a huge pitching edge with the hottest pitcher in baseball on the mound in Jacob Misiorowski, while the Phillies are putting a struggling Andrew Painter on the mound with his 6.21 ERA and 1.57 WHIP. On top of that, the Brewers have a better bullpen and the third-best offense in baseball and are better against righties. Take the Brewers to win this one comfortably and cover the runline.