Phillies vs Cubs Prediction 6/9/25 MLB Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Phillies vs Cubs prediction for this MLB game on Monday, June 9th at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview

The Philadelphia Phillies are 37-28 this season after they lost all three games against the Pirates by scores of 4-5, 1-2, and 1-2. In their game three loss, Philadelphia tied the game at three in the third inning, but they went scoreless over the last six innings in the loss. The Phillies recorded just three hits in the game, and they were led by Turner, Marsh, and Marchan, who all had one hit in the game. Philadelphia started Sanchez, who allowed six hits and two earned runs over 7.0 innings for the loss, while Kerkering finished the game. 

Prior to that series, the Phillies lost two out of three against the Blue Jays and all three against the Brewers. Philadelphia has lost nine of its last ten games, and they are currently second in the NL East standings. The Philadelphia pitching staff has a 4.01 ERA with a 1.31 WHIP and a .252 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 297 runs with a .250 batting average and a .325 on-base percentage this season. Kyle Schwarber has led Philadelphia with 20 home runs and 46 RBIs, while Trea Turner has added seven home runs and 30 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Philadelphia is Zack Wheeler, who is 6-2 with a 2.96 ERA and a 0.92 WHIP over 76.0 innings pitched this season. 

Chicago Cubs Betting Preview

The Chicago Cubs are 40-25 this year after they lost two out of three against Detroit by scores of 1-3, 6-1, and 0-4. In their game three loss, Chicago fell behind in the first inning and never got the offense going in the shutout loss. The Cubs recorded four hits in the game, and they were led by Swanson, who had two hits in the loss. Chicago started Horton, who allowed seven hits and four earned runs over 5.0 innings for the loss, while Brasier and Flexen pitched the final three innings. 

Prior to that series, the Cubs won two out of three against the Nationals and two out of three against the Reds. Chicago has alternated wins and losses over their last six games, and they are currently first in the NL Central standings. The Chicago pitching staff has a 3.67 ERA with a 1.23 WHIP and a .242 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 363 runs with a .259 batting average and a .331 on-base percentage this season. Pete Crow-Armstrong has led Chicago with 17 home runs and 54 RBIs, while Seiya Suzuki has added 16 home runs and 55 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Chicago is Matthew Boyd, who is 5-3 with a 3.01 ERA and a 1.19 WHIP over 68.2 innings pitched this year. 

Why the Cubs will beat the Phillies

• The Cubs have won each of their last nine games as underdogs against National League opponents following a road loss.
• The Phillies have lost each of their last seven games as favorites after playing the previous day.
• The Cubs have covered the run line in each of their last 12 games as underdogs against National League opponents following a road loss.
• The Phillies have failed to cover the run line each of their last seven home games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Cubs have led after 5 innings in four of their last five night games against National League opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Seven of the Cubs’ last eight games as underdogs against National League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
• Five of the Phillies’ last six games as favorites against the Cubs have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Phillies’ last six games as favorites against NL Central opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the Cubs’ last nine road games against National League opponents.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

• Kyle Schwarber has hit a home run in four of his last six home appearances against former teams.
• Kyle Schwarber has recorded an RBI in each of the Phillies’ last seven games as home favorites against NL opponents.
• Zack Wheeler has recorded a win in each of his last four appearances with the Phillies as favorites.
• Zack Wheeler has recorded seven or more strikeouts in seven of his last eight appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
• Nick Castellanos has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances against former teams.
• Trea Turner has recorded at least one Single in each of the Phillies’ last six night games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
• Bryson Stott has scored at least one run in each of his last seven home appearances against the Cubs.
• Nick Castellanos has recorded a Double in four of his last five appearances against former teams.
• Trea Turner ranks T4th in the league in Hits (78) this season.

Chicago Cubs Player Prop Facts

• Kyle Tucker has hit a home run in three of his last five road appearances against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Matthew Boyd has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances in night games against NL teams that held a winning record.
• Dansby Swanson has recorded at least one RBI in three of his last four road appearances against the Phillies.
• Nico Hoerner has scored at least one run in each of his last seven Monday night appearances.
• Matthew Boyd has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last six appearances with his team as a road underdog against NL opponents.
• Nico Hoerner has recorded at least one hit in each of the Cubs’ last nine games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
• Dansby Swanson has recorded at least one Double in three of his last four appearances at Citizens Bank Park against opponents that held a winning record.
• Ian Happ has recorded a Single in each of the Cubs’ last eight night games.
• Pete Crow-Armstrong ranks T2nd in the league in Steals (21) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Phillies rank 2nd in the league for strikeouts this season (611).
• The Phillies rank T6th in the league for steals this season (58).
• The Cubs rank 1st in the league for RBIs this season (355).
• The Cubs rank 2nd in the league for runs scored this season (363).

Phillies vs Cubs Prediction 

Philadelphia comes into this game as a favorite to get the win, but they have not played well over the last two weeks. The Phillies are 19-12 at home this year, while the Cubs are 20-14 on the road. Chicago has had some trouble stringing wins together over the last week, and they have scored a total of one run in their last three losses. The Cubs are starting Boyd, who has allowed two earned runs over his last 13.1 innings. The Phillies are starting Wheeler, who has allowed zero earned runs in three of his last four starts, but did allow six earned runs in his last start. I need to see some improvement from this Phillies team before I back them, so I will take the Cubs to win.