In this article we will formulate a Phillies vs Dodgers prediction for this MLB game on Monday, October 6th at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB Divisional Series matchup.
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview
The Philadelphia Phillies are down 1-0 in this series after they lost game one by a score of 5-3 on Saturday night. Philadelphia led 3-0 in the second inning, but they failed to score during the last seven innings for the tough loss. The Phillies recorded five hits in the game and they were led by Realmuto, who went 1-4 with two RBIs in the loss. Philadelphia started Sanchez, who allowed four hits and two earned runs over 5.2 innings, while Robertson picked up the loss in relief.
Prior to this series, the Phillies had a bye in the Wild Card round, but finished the regular season by winning two out of three against the Twins and Marlins. Philadelphia has won four of their last six games and they finished first in the NL East standings. The Philadelphia pitching staff had a 3.79 ERA with a 1.23 WHIP and a .245 opponent batting average, while the offense scored 778 runs with a .258 batting average and a .328 on base percentage during the regular season. Kyle Schwarber led Philadelphia with 56 home runs and 132 RBIs, while Nick Castellanos added 17 home runs and 72 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Philadelphia is Jesus Luzardo, who is 15-7 with a 3.92 ERA and a 1.22 WHIP over 183.2 innings pitched this year.
Los Angeles Dodgers Betting Preview
The Los Angeles Dodgers are leading this series 1-0 after picking up a 5-3 win in game one of this series on Saturday. Los Angeles trailed for most of the game, but they scored twice in the sixth and three times in the seventh to escape with the victory. The Dodgers recorded six hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Hernandez, who went 1-4 with one home run and three RBIs in the win. Los Angeles started Ohtani, who allowed three hits and three earned runs over 6.0 innings for the win, while Sasaki picked up the save.
Prior to this series, the Dodgers swept the Reds in the Wild Card round by scores of 10-5 and 8-4. Los Angeles has won eight games in a row and they finished first in the NL West standings this year. The Los Angeles pitching staff has a 3.33 ERA with a 1.15 WHIP and a .184 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 23 runs with a .315 batting average and a .393 on base percentage this postseason. Teoscar Hernandez has led LA with three home runs and nine RBIs, while Shohei Ohtani has added two home runs and four RBIs so far in the playoffs. The projected starting pitcher for Los Angeles is Blake Snell, who is 1-0 with a 2.57 ERA and a 0.71 WHIP over 7.0 innings pitched in the postseason.
Why the Phillies will beat the Dodgers
- The Phillies have won each of their last 15 games following a home loss.
- The Dodgers have lost each of their last five games as road favorites against the Phillies following a win.
- The Phillies have covered the run line in each of their last eight games against National League opponents following a home loss.
- The Dodgers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games as favorites against NL East opponents following a win.
- The Phillies have led after 3 innings in nine of their last 10 home games against opponents that held a winning record.
- The Phillies have led after 5 innings in each of their last seven night games against the Dodgers at Citizens Bank Park.
- The Dodgers have lost the first inning in three of their last four night games at Citizens Bank Park.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Dodgers’ last seven playoff games against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Each of the Phillies’ last four playoff games as home underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Phillies’ last eight games as home underdogs.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the Dodgers’ last six games at Citizens Bank Park.
Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts
- Kyle Schwarber has hit a home run in three of the Phillies’ last four playoff games as home underdogs.
- Alec Bohm has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances with the Phillies as underdogs against NL opponents.
- Max Kepler has recorded a Double in each of his last three playoff appearances after not playing the previous day.
- Kyle Schwarber ranks 2nd in the league in Home Runs (56) this season.
Los Angeles Dodgers Player Prop Facts
- Teoscar Hernandez has recorded a Double in four of his last five road appearances against NL East opponents.
- Shohei Ohtani has hit at least one home run in three of the Dodgers’ last four games as favorites.
- Andy Pages has recorded at least one hit in each of the Dodgers’ last 14 games as favorites against NL East opponents.
- Shohei Ohtani ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.622) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Phillies rank 2nd in the league for hits this season (1426).
- The Phillies rank 2nd in the league for batting average this season (.258).
- The Dodgers rank 1st in the league for strikeouts this season (1505).
- The Dodgers rank 2nd in the league for runs scored this season (825).
Phillies vs Dodgers Prediction
Los Angeles comes into this matchup trying to steal both road games to start this series, which would obviously put them in the drivers seat headed back to LA. The Dodgers started very cold at the plate in game one, but they were able to get to the Philadelphia bullpen in the late innings. The Phillies are starting Luzardo, who has allowed 0, 4, 4, 2, and 0 earned runs in his last five starts. The Dodgers are going with Snell, who has allowed 2, 1, 0, and 0 earned runs in his last four outings. Los Angeles has been red hot over the last two weeks, but I am going to side with Philadelphia, who absolutely needs this win at home.