In this article, we will formulate a Phillies vs Mariners Prediction for this MLB matchup on Wednesday, August 26th in the third game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Seattle Mariners Preview
The Seattle Mariners have a 64-69 record this season and sit in third place in the AL West. They have a 37-30 home record and are coming off a 4-1 home win against the Phillies. They will face the Blue Jays and the Red Sox next.
The Seattle Mariners have a .230 batting average this season, .310 OBP, and .377 slugging percentage. Seattle’s pitching staff has a 4.08 ERA and 1.24 WHIP. Randy Arozarena is the Mariners’ best hitter with a .272 batting average, while leading the team in RBI with 58, also adding a team-high 20 home runs.
Bryan Woo (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Mariners, has a 9-8 record, 4.10 ERA, and 1.08 WHIP.
Phillies vs Mariners Preview
The Philadelphia Phillies have a 73-60 record this season and sit in second place in the NL East. They have a 35-30 road record and are coming off a 1-4 road loss against the Mariners. They will face the Blue Jays and the Red Sox next.
The Philadelphia Phillies have a .242 batting average this season, .313 OBP, and .402 slugging percentage. Philadelphia’s pitching staff has a 4.15 ERA and 1.31 WHIP. Brandon Marsh is the Phillies’ best hitter with a .274 batting average. Kyle Schwarber leads the team in RBI with 78, also adding a team-high 39 home runs.
Jesus Luzardo (L) is the projected starting pitcher for the Phillies, has an 11-5 record, 3.35 ERA, and 1.15 WHIP.
Philadelphia Phillies @ Seattle Mariners Betting Trends: August 26, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Bryan Woo Record this season: 9-8 ERA: 4.10
- Home Record: 7-0
- Last 5 against Phillies: 1-0
Why the Seattle Mariners will win
- The home team has won each of the Phillies’ last eight games.
- The Phillies have lost four of their last six games as favorites against AL West opponents.
- The home team has covered the run line in each of the last five games between the Phillies and Mariners.
- The Phillies have failed to cover the run line each of their last four games against AL West opponents that held a losing record.
- The Mariners have won the first inning in five of their last six day games at T-Mobile Park.
- The Phillies have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six games as favorites against AL West opponents.
- The Phillies have trailed after 3 innings in five of their last six games as favorites against AL West opponents.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Jesus Luzardo Record this season: 11-5 ERA: 3.23
- Road Record: 7-0
- Last 5 against Mariners: 3-1
Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win
- The Mariners have lost each of their last nine games as underdogs against NL opponents following a win.
- The Phillies have won each of their last four day games against AL opponents.
- The Mariners have failed to cover the run line each of their last seven day games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- The Phillies have covered the run line in six of their last seven games as road favorites against AL opponents following a loss.
- The Phillies have led after 3 innings in four of their last five day games against the Mariners.
- The Phillies have led after 5 innings in each of their last four day games against the Mariners.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Phillies’ last six games as favorites against AL opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Eight of the Mariners’ last nine games as underdogs against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Mariners’ last eight games as underdogs.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Phillies’ last eight games as road favorites against AL West opponents.
Seattle Mariners Player Prop Facts
- Cal Raleigh has hit at least one home run in each of the Mariners’ last two games.
- Bryan Woo has recorded a win in each of his six previous home appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- Bryan Woo has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last six home appearances against NL opponents.
- Josh Naylor has recorded at least one hit in each of the Mariners’ last 10 games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts
- J.T. Realmuto has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances against the Mariners.
- Jesus Luzardo has recorded a win in each of his last four appearances with the Phillies as road favorites against AL opponents.
- Jesus Luzardo has recorded eight or more strikeouts in each of his last five appearances against AL opponents.
- Bryce Harper has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances against the Mariners after playing the previous day.
- Luis Arraez ranks 1st in the league in Hits (161) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Mariners rank 30th in the league for doubles this season (158).
- The Mariners rank 29th in the league for runs scored this season (526).
- The Phillies rank 1st in the league for strikeouts this season (1309).
- The Phillies are one of only three teams in the league to rank top 10 in both strikeouts and walks allowed this season.
Phillies vs Mariners Prediction
The Phillies are 4-2 in their last 6 meetings against the Mariners, but are 1-4 in their last 6 visits in Seattle.
In this Phillies vs Mariners Prediction, the Phillies are coming as -125 road favorites. I like the pitching in this matchup, as both pitchers have been very good this season and in excellent form. Luzardo has been one of the best road pitchers in baseball with a 7-0 record and 1.95 ERA, while Woo has also been elite at home with a 7-0 record and 1.96 ERA. Yesterday’s game had five total runs with Nola and Kirby on the mound, so I am expecting an extremely low-scoring game today. Take the under 7 runs in this one.