The New York Mets and the Philadelphia Phillies meet Friday in MLB action from Citizens Bank Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Phillies vs Mets Prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The New York Mets did not have a starting pitcher announced at the time that this article was posted. Zack Wheeler will get the nod for the Phillies here and is 7-2 with a 2.76 ERA and 110 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against the Mets, Wheeler is 1-2 with a 4.70 ERA and 37 strikeouts.
New York Mets Recap
The New York Mets come into this game looking to rebound from a 7-1 loss at the hands of the Atlanta Braves last time out to sit at 45-30 on the year. After this series, the Mets will head home for a rematch series against the Atlanta Braves.
Mets Lose Six In A Row
Pete Alonso has 82 hits with 22 doubles, 17 home runs, 63 RBIs, and a .291 batting average, while Juan Soto has 66 hits with 14 doubles, 14 home runs, and 37 RBIs on the year. Francisco Lindor has 78 hits with 13 stolen bases along with 13 doubles, 14 home runs, and 38 RBIs, while Mark Vientos has 6 home runs, 21 RBIs, but 49 strikeouts so far this season. Brandon Nimmo has also added 64 hits with 13 doubles and 13 home runs, and 39 RBIs this season. Luis Torrens has also chipped in 9 doubles, and Luisangel Acuna has 11 stolen bases as well this season.
Why the New York Mets will win
- The Mets have won five of their last six games as underdogs against the Phillies.
- The Phillies have lost four of their last five games as favorites against the Mets following a win.
- The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games against the Mets following a win.
- The Mets have covered the run line each of their last six games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
New York Mets Player Prop Facts
- Pete Alonso has recorded at least one Double in four of the Mets’ last five games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
- Pete Alonso has hit a home run in three of the Mets’ last four road games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
- Pete Alonso has recorded an RBI in each of the Mets’ last five games as underdogs against the Phillies.
- Francisco Lindor has scored at least one run in each of the Mets’ last six night games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Francisco Lindor has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
- Pete Alonso ranks 7th amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.557) this season.
Philadelphia Phillies Recap
The Philadelphia Phillies come into this game looking to build on a 2-1 win over the Miami Marlins last time out to sit at 45-30 on the year. After this series, the Phillies will head on the road for a series against the Houston Astros.
Phillies Pick Up Another Series Win
Nick Castellanos has 78 hits with 18 doubles, including 7 home runs and 36 RBIs, while Kyle Schwarber has 66 hits with a team-high 23 home runs and 54 RBIs, but also has a team-high 86 strikeouts as well on the year. Bryce Harper has 8 stolen bases, 13 doubles, 9 home runs, and 34 RBIs. Trea Turner also has 90 hits with a team-high 19 stolen bases. Max Kepler has 14 doubles and Bryson Stott has 7 doubles, 2 triples, 5 homers, and 31 RBIs, while Stott also has 12 stolen bases this season.
Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win
- The Mets have lost each of their last six games.
- The home team has won each of the last six games between the Mets and Phillies.
- The Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games after playing the previous day.
- The Phillies have covered the run line in three of their last four games against teams that held a winning record.
Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts
- Kyle Schwarber has hit a home run in three of the Phillies’ last four games as home favorites against NL East opponents.
- Zack Wheeler has recorded a win in five of his last six appearances with the Phillies as favorites.
- Zack Wheeler has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last 10 appearances with the Phillies as favorites against NL East opponents.
- Trea Turner has scored at least one run in seven of his last eight home appearances against the Mets after playing the previous day.
- J.T. Realmuto has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances in night games.
- Bryce Harper has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last six appearances with the Phillies as favorites against NL opponents.
- Trea Turner ranks 4th in the league in Hits (90) this season.
Total Runs Facts
- Six of the Mets’ last seven night games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Six of the last seven games between the Mets and Phillies at Citizens Bank Park have gone OVER the total runs line.
Phillies vs Mets Prediction
I’m on the Phillies here. I get the case to be made for either side in this one because the Mets can’t keep struggling as badly as they have been. But until the Mets show some signs of life, I have to keep going the other way, especially when the Phillies are sending out their best option on the mound this season. I think that the Phillies take it to the Mets here, and the Phillies add to New York’s misery here. Give me the Phillies here.