The New York Mets and Philadelphia Phillies meet Saturday in MLB action at Citizens Bank Park. Here’s a Phillies vs Mets Prediction. This article will include a Phillies vs Mets Pick.
New York Mets Betting Preview
The New York Mets are 34-41 on the year and play the Phillies and Cubs next. The New York Mets are batting .233 on the season, have a .298 OBP, and have a .373 slugging percentage. The New York Mets’ pitching staff has a 3.92 ERA and a 1.27 WHIP. Bo Bichette leads the New York Mets with 76 hits and 42 RBI, while Carson Benge and Juan Soto have combined for 132 hits and 64 RBI.
Freddy Peralta gets the ball for the New York Mets, and he is 5-5 with a 3.90 ERA and 81 strikeouts this season. Peralta is 0-2 with a 3.12 ERA and 53 strikeouts in his career against the Philadelphia Phillies.
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview
The Philadelphia Phillies are 40-35 on the year and play the Nationals and Mets next. The Philadelphia Phillies are batting .229 on the season, with a .298 OBP and a .387 slugging percentage. The Philadelphia Phillies pitching staff has a 4.10 ERA and a 1.31 WHIP. Brandon Marsh leads the Philadelphia Phillies with 80 hits and 35 RBI, while Trea Turner and Kyle Schwarber have combined for 133 hits and 64 RBI.
Cristopher Sanchez gets the ball for the Philadelphia Phillies, and he is 8-3 with a 1.82 ERA and 116 strikeouts this season. Sanchez is 3-4 with a 4.26 ERA and 53 strikeouts in his career against the New York Mets.
Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win
- The home team has won eight of the last nine games between the Mets and Phillies.
- The Mets have lost 10 of their last 12 road games against NL East opponents following a road win.
- The Phillies have covered the run line in five of their last six home games against the Mets.
- The Mets have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight Saturday games as underdogs against NL East opponents.
- The Phillies have won the first inning in three of their last four night games against opponents that held a losing record.
- The Phillies have led after 3 innings in four of their last five night games against opponents that held a losing record.
- The Phillies have led after 5 innings in nine of their last 10 night games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
Why the New York Mets will win
- The Phillies have lost five of their last six games as home favorites against National League opponents following a home loss.
- The Mets have won four of their last five games as underdogs following a road win.
- The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games against NL East opponents following a home loss.
- The Mets have covered the run line in eight of their last nine games as underdogs following a road win.
- The Mets have won the first inning in each of their last four night games against NL East opponents.
- The Mets have led after 3 innings in four of their last five games against NL East opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Four of the Mets’ last five games as underdogs against the Phillies have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Nine of the Phillies’ last 12 night games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in 13 of the Mets’ last 14 night games against NL East opponents.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the last four games between the Mets and Phillies.
Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts
- Kyle Schwarber has hit at least one home run in six of the Phillies’ last eight home games against opponents that held a losing record.
- Alec Bohm has recorded two hits in each of the Phillies’ last five home games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
- Kyle Schwarber ranks 1st in the league in Home Runs (25) this season.
New York Mets Player Prop Facts
- Juan Soto has hit at least one home run in three of the Mets’ last four night games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
- Freddy Peralta has recorded a win in six of his last eight appearances with his team as a road underdog.
- Freddy Peralta has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last six road appearances against NL East opponents.
- Bo Bichette has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine road appearances after not playing the previous day.
- Juan Soto ranks 4th amongst qualified players for Slugging Percentage (.582) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Phillies rank T29th in the league for doubles this season (95).
- The Phillies rank 29th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.298).
- The Mets rank T29th in the league for doubles this season (95).
- The Mets rank 28th in the league for slugging percentage this season (.373).
Phillies vs Mets Prediction
Peralta has been solid enough to give a look in the underdog role, but it’s the Mets thing that throws me off. The Mets suck, and that hasn’t changed on the road. Sanchez has been an all-star pitcher this season and should be in CY Young conversations with a 1.82 ERA and 1.09 WHIP through 99 innings. In 60 home innings, Sanchez has a 0.90 ERA and a .192 batting average allowed. That’s an arm I’m not betting against. Give me the Phillies, and I’ll lay the RL to shave down the price.