In this article, we will formulate a Phillies vs Mets prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, June 21, at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
New York Mets Betting Preview
The New York Mets (45-31, 18-21 Away) were swept by the Tampa Bay Rays and Atlanta Braves and are currently on a seven-game losing skid following last night’s 10-2 defeat to the Philadelphia Phillies in Game 1 of this series. Blade Tidwell pitched for 3.2 innings in a no-decision, allowing two runs on four hits with four strikeouts and three walks. Reed Garrett took the loss.
This year, the Mets average 4.41 runs per game (12th in the MLB) on a .244/.327/.416 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Mets’ staff has a 3.15 ERA (1st) and 1.27 WHIP (16th). Pete Alonso leads the Mets with a .291 batting average, 18 home runs, and 64 RBI this season.
The projected starting pitcher for the Mets is Griffin Canning, who is 6-3 in 14 starts this season, with a 3.80 ERA and 1.40 WHIP in 68.2 innings.
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview
The Philadelphia Phillies (46-30, 25-13 Home) are in fine form lately after winning eight of the last nine games. The Phillies defeated the Cubs, swept the Blue Jays, and beat the Miami Marlins in three of four games on the road. In Game 1 of the current series against the Mets, the Philies celebrated a comfortable 10-2 victory. Nick Castellanos and Bryson Stott led the offense with three RBI apiece, while Zack Wheeler pitched for 5.0 innings in a no-decision, allowing no runs on four hits with eight strikeouts and three walks. Tanner Banks was credited with the win.
This season, the Phillies average 4.71 runs per game (9th in the MLB) on a .257/.332/.406 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Phillies’ staff has a 3.83 ERA (12th) and 1.27 WHIP (17th). Kyle Schwarber leads the Phillies with a .242 batting average, 23 home runs, and 54 RBI this season.
Mick Abel will take the mound for the Phillies on Saturday. The 23-year-old right-hander has a 2-0 record in four starts this year with a 2.21 ERA and 1.03 WHIP in 20.1 innings.
Why the Phillies will beat the Mets
- The Phillies have won each of their last 11 Saturday night home games.
- The Mets have lost each of their last six games after playing the previous day.
- The Mets have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games.
- The Phillies have covered the run line in each of their last seven Saturday night games.
- The Mets have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last three games.
Total Runs Facts
- Ten of the Phillies’ last 12 home games against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Thirteen of the Mets’ last 17 night games as underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Phillies’ last eight night games against NL East opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in six of the Mets’ last eight road games against National League opponents.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Phillies rank 3rd in the league for hits this season (666).
- The Phillies rank 3rd in the league for batting average this season (.257).
- The Mets rank T3rd in the league for runs allowed this season (275).
- The Mets rank 4th in the league for walks this season (275).
Phillies vs Mets Prediction
The Mets won eight of the previous ten H2H encounters, including five of the last six. This season, the Mets won three out of four H2Hs, but I am going with the Phillies in this one because I don’t like how the Mets are playing at the moment. Griffin Canning allowed multiple runs in five of his last six starts, while he surrendered ten runs in his previous two. Mick Abel, on the other hand, looks more stable, considering he’s a rookie. Abel allowed more than a run in just one of his four starts this season, and given how the Mets’ offense plays of late, I am backing Abel to contain the visitors. Offensively, the Phillies are much better right now, so I am backing them to win.