The New York Mets and Philadelphia Phillies meet Wednesday in MLB action at Citizens Bank Park. Here’s a Phillies vs Mets Prediction. This article will include a Phillies vs Mets Pick.
New York Mets Betting Preview
The New York Mets are 76-69 on the year and play the Rangers, Padres, and Nationals next. The New York Mets are batting .250 on the season, have a .329 OBP, and a .429 slugging percentage. The New York Mets pitching staff has a 3.95 ERA and a 1.33 WHIP. Francisco Lindor leads the New York Mets with 153 hits and 77 RBI, while Pete Alonso and Brandon Nimmo have combined for 286 hits and 193 RBI.
Clay Holmes gets the ball for the New York Mets, and he is 11-7 with a 3.61 ERA and 117 strikeouts this season. Holmes is 0-0 with a 6.75 ERA and 6 strikeouts in his career against the Philadelphia Phillies.
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview
The Philadelphia Phillies are 85-60 on the year and play the Royals, Dodgers, and Diamondbacks next. The Philadelphia Phillies are batting .259 on the season, have a .329 OBP, and a .426 slugging percentage. The Philadelphia Phillies pitching staff has a 3.79 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP. Trea Turner leads the Philadelphia Phillies with 179 hits and 69 RBI while Kyle Schwarber and Nick Castellanos have combined for 259 hits and 188 RBI.
Cristopher Sanchez gets the ball for the Philadelphia Phillies, and he is 12-5 with a 2.60 ERA and 186 strikeouts this season. Sanchez is 2-4 with a 4.63 ERA and 47 strikeouts in his career against the New York Mets.
New York Mets @ Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends: September 10, 2025
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Cristopher Sanchez Record this season: 12-5 ERA: 2.60
- Home Record: 5-0
- Last 5 against Mets: 1-2
Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win
- The Mets have lost each of their last eight road games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
- The home team has won 13 of the last 14 games between the Mets and Phillies.
- The home team has covered the run line in each of the last six games between the Mets and Phillies.
- The Mets have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games against NL East opponents.
- The Phillies have led after 5 innings in each of their last six home games against opponents that held a winning record.
- The Phillies have won the first inning in three of their last four games as favorites.
- The Phillies have led after 3 innings in each of their last six home games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Clay Holmes Record this season: 11-7 ERA: 3.61
- Road Record: 6-5
- Last 5 against Phillies: 0-0
Why the New York Mets will win
- The Mets have won three of their last four games as underdogs against NL East opponents.
- The Phillies have lost five of their last six Wednesday games as favorites.
- The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 home games against NL East opponents following a home win.
- The Mets have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games as underdogs.
- The Mets have led after 3 innings in three of their last four games as road underdogs.
- The Phillies have trailed after 5 innings in nine of their last 11 night games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Mets’ last six night games as underdogs have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Four of the Phillies’ last five home games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Phillies’ last five games as favorites.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the Mets’ last six games against NL East opponents.
Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts
- Kyle Schwarber has hit a home run in three of the Phillies’ last four home games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Nick Castellanos has recorded at least one Double in three of the Phillies’ last four home games against the Mets.
- Trea Turner has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
- Kyle Schwarber ranks 2nd in the league in Home Runs (50) this season.
New York Mets Player Prop Facts
- Juan Soto has hit a home run in four of the Mets’ last six games as road underdogs.
- Juan Soto has recorded at least one hit in each of the Mets’ last eight games as underdogs against NL opponents.
- Juan Soto ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.399) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Phillies rank 2nd in the league for strikeouts this season (1324).
- The Phillies rank 2nd in the league for walks allowed this season (396).
- The Mets rank 2nd in the league for home runs allowed this season (131).
- The Mets rank 3rd in the league for walks this season (514).
Phillies vs Mets Prediction
Holmes has been respectable this season with a 3.61 ERA and 1.33 WHIP, but it’s hard to get behind the Mets with confidence. The Mets are back on the struggle bus, and when this happens, they stay for a while. The Mets have been comedy for the last couple of months. The Phillies are rolling and Sanchez looks like an all-star, which includes allowing 13 hits and 2 runs in his last 14 innings. In 79 home innings, Sanchez has a 2.28 ERA and .212 allowed batting average. I can’t back the Mets. Give me the Phillies.