In this article we will formulate a Phillies vs Nationals prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, August 4th at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview
The Philadelphia Phillies are 60-53 this season after they won game one by a score of 6-3 on Monday night. Philadelphia trailed 3-0 for most of the game, but they scored four runs in the seventh and two in the eighth for the comeback win. The Phillies recorded five hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Hill, who went 1-3 with one home run and four RBIs. Nola allowed six hits and three earned runs over 6.0 innings, while Backhus got the win and Duran picked up the save. Prior to this series, Philadelphia won two out of three against the Orioles, but lost all three against the Marlins before that.
This season, Philadelphia has a 4.21 ERA with a 1.31 WHIP and a .252 opponent batting average, while they have scored 496 runs with a .237 batting average and a .305 on base percentage. Kyle Schwarber has led the Phillies with 33 home runs and 63 RBIs, while Bryce Harper has added 24 home runs and 68 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Philadelphia is Jesus Luzardo, who is 9-5 with a 3.57 ERA and a 1.19 WHIP over 128.2 innings pitched this season.
Washington Nationals Betting Preview
The Washington Nationals are 55-59 this year after they lost game one by a score of 3-6 on Monday night. Washington scored three runs in the first two innings, but failed to score over the last seven innings for the loss. The Nationals recorded six hits in the game and they were led by Lile, who went 1-4 with one home run and two RBIs. Alvarez allowed three hits and two earned runs over 6.1 innings, while Cosgrove picked up the loss in relief. Prior to this series, Washington lost all four against the Braves and two out of three against the Blue Jays.
This season, Washington has a 4.77 ERA with a 1.40 WHIP and a .259 opponent batting average, while they have scored 610 runs with a .251 batting average and a .327 on base percentage. CJ Abrams has led the Nationals with 28 home runs and 85 RBIs, while James Wood has added 30 home runs and 73 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Washington is Zack Littell, who is 7-8 with a 4.94 ERA and a 1.34 WHIP over 105.2 innings pitched this year.
Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win
- The Nationals have lost each of their last nine night games against teams that held a winning record.
- The home team has won each of the Nationals’ last five games.
- The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games.
- The favorites have covered the run line in each of the Phillies’ last four games.
- The Phillies have led after 5 innings in four of their last five games.
- The Phillies have led after 3 innings in nine of their last 11 games as home favorites against National League opponents.
Why the Washington Nationals will win
- The Phillies have lost four of their last five games as favorites against National League opponents following a win.
- The Nationals have won 12 of their last 18 games as road underdogs following a road loss.
- The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games against the Nationals following a home win.
- The Nationals have covered the run line in four of their last five road games against the Phillies.
- The Phillies have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last four games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
- The Nationals have won the first inning in four of their last five games against the Phillies.
- The Phillies have trailed after 3 innings in eight of their last nine night games against NL East opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Three of the Phillies’ last four home games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in eight of the Phillies’ last nine home games against NL East opponents.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of Zack Littell’s last four road appearances as a starter.
Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts
- Jesus Luzardo has recorded eight or more strikeouts in each of his last six appearances in night games.
- Jesus Luzardo has recorded a win in each of his last four home appearances against NL East opponents.
- Edmundo Sosa has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances with the Phillies as home favorites against NL East opponents.
- Derek Hill has hit a home run in each of the Phillies’ last three games against the Nationals.
- Luis Arraez ranks 2nd in the league in Hits (136) this season.
Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts
- CJ Abrams has hit a home run in five of the Nationals’ last nine road games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Zack Littell has recorded four or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- Keibert Ruiz has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances at Citizens Bank Park against opponents that held a winning record.
- Zack Littell has recorded a win in each of his last three appearances with the Nationals as road underdogs.
- Nasim Nunez ranks 1st in the league in Steals (40) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Phillies rank 1st in the league for strikeouts this season (1091).
- The Phillies rank 29th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.304).
- The Nationals rank 1st in the league for runs scored this season (607).
- The Nationals rank 1st in the league for home runs this season (164).
Phillies vs Nationals Prediction
Washington’s losing streak was extended on Monday with another loss and they have allowed 29 runs in their last five games. The Nationals are 32-25 on the road this year, while the Phillies are 29-27 at home. Philadelphia has won three in a row and they have scored 19 runs in those three games. The Phillies are starting Luzardo, who has allowed one earned run or fewer in three of his last four starts, while Littell has allowed one earned run or fewer in four of his last five starts. Take the under here, as both starters have been solid and Washington seems to be slumping.