The Washington Nationals and Philadelphia Phillies meet Thursday in MLB action at Citizens Bank Park. Here’s a Phillies vs Nationals Prediction. This article will include a Phillies vs Nationals Pick.
Washington Nationals Betting Preview
The Washington Nationals are 56-60 on the year and play the Reds and Cubs next. The Washington Nationals are batting .250 on the season, with a .327 OBP and a .439 slugging percentage. The Washington Nationals’ pitching staff has a 4.75 ERA and a 1.40 WHIP. CJ Abrams leads the Washington Nationals with 122 hits and 88 RBI, while James Wood and Daylen Lile have combined for 222 hits and 129 RBI.
Miles Mikolas gets the ball for the Washington Nationals, and he is 3-8 with a 5.67 ERA and 55 strikeouts this season. Mikolas is 2-5 with a 4.14 ERA and 34 strikeouts in his career against the Philadelphia Phillies.
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview
The Philadelphia Phillies are 61-54 on the year and play the Blue Jays and Cardinals next. The Philadelphia Phillies are batting .237 on the season, with a .305 OBP and a .399 slugging percentage. The Philadelphia Phillies’ pitching staff has a 4.20 ERA and a 1.31 WHIP. Trea Turner leads the Philadelphia Phillies with 115 hits and 45 RBI, while Bryce Harper and Brandon Marsh have combined for 214 hits and 118 RBI.
Cristopher Sanchez gets the ball for the Philadelphia Phillies, and he is 14-4 with a 2.61 ERA and 168 strikeouts this season. Sanchez is 3-2 with a 4.03 ERA and 51 strikeouts in his career against the Washington Nationals.
Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win
- The Nationals have lost 10 of their last 11 night games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Phillies have won nine of their last 10 games against the Nationals following a home loss.
- The Phillies have covered the run line in eight of their last nine night games at Citizens Bank Park following an extra innings loss.
- The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six games.
- The Phillies have led after 5 innings in six of their last seven games.
- The Phillies have led after 3 innings in 11 of their last 13 games as home favorites against National League opponents.
Why the Washington Nationals will win
- The Nationals have won each of their last three games as underdogs after going to extra innings.
- The Phillies have lost four of their last six games as favorites against National League opponents.
- The Phillies have failed to cover the run line each of their last seven Thursday games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
- The Nationals have covered the run line in five of their last six games after playing the previous day and going to extra innings.
- The Nationals have won the first inning in four of their last five games against the Phillies.
Total Runs Facts
- Four of the Phillies’ last five home games after going to extra innings have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Three of the Nationals’ last four games after going to extra innings have gone OVER the total runs line.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Phillies’ last seven night games against National League opponents.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in seven of the Nationals’ last eight night games against NL East opponents.
Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts
- J.T. Realmuto has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 home appearances against the Nationals after playing the previous day.
- Derek Hill has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances with the Phillies as favorites against the Nationals.
- Cristopher Sanchez has recorded a win in eight of his last nine appearances in night games.
- Cristopher Sanchez ranks T1st in the league for Wins (14) this season.
Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts
- CJ Abrams has hit a home run in six of the Nationals’ last 13 road games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Keibert Ruiz has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances at Citizens Bank Park against opponents that held a winning record.
- Nasim Nunez ranks 1st in the league in Steals (40) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Phillies rank 1st in the league for strikeouts this season (1121).
- The Phillies rank 28th in the league for doubles this season (154).
- The Nationals rank 1st in the league for runs scored this season (620).
- The Nationals rank 1st in the league for home runs this season (167).
Phillies vs Nationals Prediction
Mikolas has been a disaster this season with a 5.67 ERA and 1.35 WHIP, and he’s allowed 17 earned runs in his last 23.2 innings. Sanchez is a CY Young candidate with a 2.61 ERA and 1.20 WHIP, and he’s been even better at home with a 1.28 ERA and .201 allowed batting average. The Phillies are making their playoff push, and there’s a grand canyon-sized gap on the mound. Give me the Phillies and the RL for max betting value, and I’ll even consider alternate lines to shave the price even more.