In this article, we will formulate a Phillies vs Nationals Prediction for this MLB matchup on Tuesday, June 23rd in the second game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Washington Nationals Preview
The Washington Nationals have a 41-38 record this season and are sitting in the 3rd place of the NL East. They have a 17-22 home record and are coming off a 4-1 home win against the Phillies. They will face the Orioles and the Red Sox next.
The Nationals have a .248 batting average this season, .321 OBP and .423 Slugging percentage. Washington’s pitching staff has a 4.59 ERA and 1.38 WHIP. CJ Abrams is the team’s best hitter with a .286 batting average, also leading the team in RBI with 57. James Wood adds a team-high 20 home runs.
Zack Littell (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Nationals, and he has a 6-6 record, 5.45 ERA and 1.38 WHIP.
Philadelphia Phillies Preview
The Philadelphia Phillies have a 42-36 record this season and are sitting in the 2nd place of the NL East. They have a 19-17 road record and are coming off a 1-4 road defeat against the Nationals. They will face the Mets and the Pirates next.
The Phillies have a .231 batting average this season, .298 OBP and .395 Slugging percentage. Philadelphia’s pitching staff has a 4.06 ERA and 1.30 WHIP. Brandon Marsh is the team’s best hitter with a .311 batting average. Kyle Schwarber leads the team in RBI with 52, adding a team-high 29 home runs.
Jesus Luzardo (L) is the projected starting pitcher for the Phillies, and he has a 6-4 record, 4.20 ERA and 1.31 WHIP.
Philadelphia Phillies @ Washington Nationals Betting Trends: June 23, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Zack Littell Record this season: 6-6 ERA: 5.45
- Home Record: 4-4
- Last 5 against Phillies: 1-1
Why the Washington Nationals will win
- The Phillies have lost 13 of their last 14 road games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
- The Nationals have won each of their last five night games after playing the previous day.
- The Nationals have covered the run line in 10 of their last 11 games after playing the previous day.
- The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
- The Nationals have won the first inning in each of their last five home games against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
- The Nationals have led after 3 innings in eight of their last 10 home night games.
- The Phillies have trailed after 5 innings in six of their last seven road games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Jesus Luzardo Record this season: 6-4 ERA: 4.20
- Road Record: 4-0
- Last 5 against Nationals: 2-2
Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win
- The Phillies have won each of their last nine games following a road loss.
- The Nationals have lost five of their last six home games against NL East opponents following a win.
- The Phillies have covered the run line in each of their last seven road games following a loss.
- The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 11 home games against the Phillies following a home win.
- The Phillies have led after 3 innings in seven of their last nine games as road favorites.
- The Phillies have led after 5 innings in eight of their last 10 games as road favorites.
Total Runs Facts
- Seven of the Phillies’ last eight games as road favorites have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Each of the Nationals’ last five games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Phillies’ last seven games as road favorites against NL East opponents.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Nationals’ last five games as underdogs against NL East opponents.
Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts
- CJ Abrams has hit a home run in each of the Nationals’ last three games as underdogs.
- Keibert Ruiz has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances against the Phillies after playing the previous day.
- Nasim Nunez ranks 1st in the league in Steals (29) this season.
Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts
- Kyle Schwarber has hit two or more home runs in three of his last four appearances at Nationals Park against NL East opponents that held a winning record.
- Jesus Luzardo has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last eight appearances with the Phillies as favorites against NL East opponents.
- Jesus Luzardo has recorded a win in seven of his last eight appearances with the Phillies as road favorites.
- Adolis Garcia has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine appearances against the Nationals.
- Kyle Schwarber ranks 1st in the league in Home Runs (29) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Nationals rank 1st in the league for runs scored this season (420).
- The Nationals rank 1st in the league for RBIs this season (399).
- The Phillies rank 2nd in the league for strikeouts this season (733).
- The Phillies rank 2nd in the league for walks allowed this season (213).
Phillies vs Nationals Prediction
The Phillies are 4-2 in their last 6 meetings against the Nationals but have lost two of their last three visits in Washington.
In this Phillies vs Nationals Prediction, the Phillies are coming as -180 road favorites. I like the Phillies in a bounce-back spot today. Luzardo has been the far better option than Littell, as Luzardo has been outstanding on the road with a 4-0 record and 1.55 ERA, as opposed to Littell’s 6.31 home ERA. The Phillies also have the better bullpen to come after Luzardo, so take them to win this one on the road.