In this article we will formulate a Phillies vs Padres prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, June 2nd at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview
The Philadelphia Phillies are 30-29 this year after they lost two out of three against the Dodgers by scores of 2-4, 4-3, and 1-9. In game three, Philadelphia allowed the first nine runs in the game and never had a chance in the blowout loss. The Phillies recorded five hits in the game and they were led by Stott, who went 1-4 with one home run and one RBI. Painter allowed seven hits and four earned runs over 3.1 innings for the loss, while Banks allowed two earned runs in relief. Prior to that series, Philadelphia swept the Padres in three games, but lost two out of three against the Guardians before that.
This season, Philadelphia has a 4.05 ERA with a 1.30 WHIP and a .259 opponent batting average, while they have scored 230 runs with a .224 batting average and a .292 on base percentage. Kyle Schwarber has led the Phillies with 22 home runs and 39 RBIs, while Bryce Harper has added 13 home runs and 34 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Philadelphia is Aaron Nola, who is 3-4 with a 5.72 ERA and a 1.45 WHIP over 56.2 innings pitched this year.
San Diego Padres Betting Preview
The San Diego Padres are 32-26 this season after they lost two out of three against the Nationals by scores of 7-5, 4-9, and 2-4. In game three, San Diego cut the deficit to 3-2 in the seventh inning, but couldn’t get any closer in the loss. The Padres recorded six hits in the game and they were led by Castellanos, who went 1-2 with one RBI. Canning allowed six hits and three earned runs over 5.0 innings for the loss, while Estrada allowed one earned run in relief. Prior to that series, San Diego lost all three against the Phillies, but did win two out of three against the Athletics before that.
This season, San Diego has a 3.92 ERA with a 1.26 WHIP and a .234 opponent batting average, while they have scored 227 runs with a .218 batting average and a .293 on base percentage. Manny Machado has led the Padres with 10 home runs and 30 RBIs, while Gavin Sheets has added nine home runs and 23 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for San Diego is Randy Vasquez, who is 5-3 with a 3.28 ERA and a 1.23 WHIP over 60.1 innings pitched this season.
Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win
- The Padres have lost each of their last nine night games against the Phillies following a road loss.
- The Phillies have won each of their last five games following a road loss.
- The Phillies have covered the run line in each of their last five games following a road loss.
- The Padres have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight night games against the Phillies following a road loss.
- The Padres have lost the first inning in four of their last five games as road underdogs against NL East opponents.
- The Padres have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five games as road underdogs against NL East opponents.
- The Phillies have led after 5 innings in eight of their last nine night games against the Padres at Citizens Bank Park.
Why the San Diego Padres will win
- The Padres have won each of their last seven games as road underdogs following a loss.
- The Phillies have lost three of their last four games as home favorites.
- The Phillies have failed to cover the run line each of their last 11 home games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
- The Padres have covered the run line in each of their last seven games as road underdogs following a loss.
- The Phillies have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six home games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
Total Runs Facts
- Nine of the Phillies’ last 10 games as favorites have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Eight of the Padres’ last nine games as underdogs against the Phillies have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Padres’ last six games at Citizens Bank Park.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last four night games between the Padres and Phillies at Citizens Bank Park.
Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts
- Aaron Nola has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his four previous home appearances against the Padres.
- Trea Turner has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 16 appearances with his team as a home favorite against the Padres.
- Kyle Schwarber has hit at least one home run in each of his last five home appearances against NL opponents.
San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts
- Xander Bogaerts has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 15 road appearances against the Phillies.
- Nick Castellanos has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances against the Phillies after not playing the previous day.
Phillies vs Padres Prediction
San Diego comes into this matchup continuing to struggle at the plate and they just lost a series to the Phillies at home. The Padres are 16-10 on the road this year, while the Phillies are 14-16 at home. Philadelphia has won three of their last five games and they are starting Nola, who has allowed 3+ earned runs in three of his last four starts. San Diego is going with Vasquez, who has allowed seven earned runs and 14 hits in his last 10.0 innings. I don’t like the Padres offense, but I don’t trust Nola at all. Take San Diego to win here.