In this article we will formulate a Phillies vs Padres prediction for this MLB game on Thursday, June 4th at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview
The Philadelphia Phillies are 32-29 this year after they won the first two games in this series by scores of 3-2 and 3-2. In game two, Philadelphia blew a 1-0 lead in the seventh inning, but they scored two runs in the bottom of the inning for the win. The Phillies recorded eight hits in the game and they were led by Garcia, who went 1-3 with one RBI. Sanchez allowed four hits and one earned run over 7.0 innings for the win, while Duran got the save. Prior to this series, Philadelphia lost two out of three against the Dodgers, but did win all three against the Padres before that.
This season, Philadelphia has a 3.98 ERA with a 1.29 WHIP and a .257 opponent batting average, while they have scored 236 runs with a .225 batting average and a .294 on base percentage. Kyle Schwarber has led the Phillies with 23 home runs and 40 RBIs, while Bryce Harper has added 14 home runs and 36 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Philadelphia is Zack Wheeler, who is 4-1 with a 2.27 ERA and a 0.85 WHIP over 43.2 innings pitched this year.
San Diego Padres Betting Preview
The San Diego Padres are 32-28 this season after they lost game two by a score of 3-2 last night. San Diego tied the game in the seventh and they cut the deficit to 3-2 in the eighth, but couldn’t find the tying run for the loss. The Padres recorded six hits in the game and they were led by Merrill, who went 1-4 with one RBI. Buehler allowed four hits and one earned run over 6.0 innings, while Adam picked up the loss in relief. Prior to this series, San Diego lost two out of three against the Nationals and all three against the Phillies.
This season, San Diego has a 3.91 ERA with a 1.26 WHIP and a .235 opponent batting average, while they have scored 231 runs with a .218 batting average and a .292 on base percentage. Manny Machado has led the Padres with 10 home runs and 30 RBIs, while Gavin Sheets has added 10 home runs and 25 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for San Diego is Lucas Giolito, who is 2-0 with a 4.97 ERA and a 1.74 WHIP over 12.2 innings pitched this season.
Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win
- The Padres have lost each of their last seven games after playing the previous day.
- The Phillies have won each of their last six games against the Padres.
- The Padres have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six day games against National League opponents.
- The Phillies have covered the run line in four of their last five day games against National League opponents following a win.
- The Padres have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last seven Thursday day games.
- The Padres have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last seven Thursday day road games.
Why the San Diego Padres will win
- The Padres have won seven of their last nine games as road underdogs following a loss.
- The Phillies have failed to cover the run line each of their last 13 home games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
- The Padres have covered the run line in each of their last nine games as road underdogs following a loss.
- The Padres have led after 5 innings in seven of their last nine day games against the Phillies at Citizens Bank Park.
- The Padres have led after 3 innings in three of their last four day games against the Phillies at Citizens Bank Park.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the last six games between the Padres and Phillies have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Ten of the Padres’ last 11 games as underdogs against the Phillies have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Padres’ last eight games at Citizens Bank Park.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Phillies’ last five home games.
Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts
- Kyle Schwarber has hit at least one home run in six of his last seven home appearances against NL opponents.
- Zack Wheeler has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last seven home appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- Trea Turner has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 18 appearances with his team as a home favorite against the Padres.
- Zack Wheeler has recorded a win in each of his last five home appearances against NL West opponents.
San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts
- Gavin Sheets has hit at least one home run in three of the Padres’ last five games as road underdogs.
- Lucas Giolito has recorded four or more strikeouts in each of his last 12 Thursday appearances.
- Fernando Tatis Jr. has recorded at least one hit in each of the Padres’ last 12 games against the Phillies.
- Lucas Giolito has recorded a win in five of his last six appearances in day games.
Phillies vs Padres Prediction
San Diego comes into this matchup looking to snap their four game losing streak, but they have scored two runs in three straight games. The Padres are 16-12 on the road this year, while the Phillies are 16-16 at home. Philadelphia has won three of their last four games, but they have scored three runs or fewer in four of their last five. The Phillies are starting Wheeler, who has allowed one earned run or fewer in three of his last four starts, while Giolito has allowed 4, 0, and 3 earned runs in his first three outings. Both offenses are struggling this season, so I will go back to the under in this matchup.