In this article we will formulate a Phillies vs Reds prediction for this MLB game on Tuesday, May 19th at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview
The Philadelphia Phillies are 25-23 this year after they won game one by a score of 5-4 on Monday night. Philadelphia blew a 2-0 and a 3-2 lead, but they scored two runs in the eighth for the win. The Phillies recorded five hits in the game and they were led by Stott, who went 1-3 with one home run and two RBIs. Painter allowed three hits and two earned runs over 6.0 innings, while Kerkering got the win and Duran picked up the save. Prior to this series, Philadelphia swept the Pirates in three games and won two out of three against the Red Sox.
This season, Philadelphia has a 4.21 ERA with a 1.35 WHIP and a .264 opponent batting average, while they have scored 204 runs with a .234 batting average and a .303 on base percentage. Kyle Schwarber has led the Phillies with 20 home runs and 36 RBIs, while Bryce Harper has added 12 home runs and 30 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Philadelphia is Jesus Luzardo, who is 3-3 with a 5.07 ERA and a 1.33 WHIP over 49.2 innings pitched this year.
Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview
The Cincinnati Reds are 24-24 this season after they lost game one by a score of 5-4 last night. Cincinnati took a 4-3 lead in the top of the eighth inning, but the bullpen couldn’t hold the lead for the loss. The Reds recorded six hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Stewart, who went 2-4 with one home run and one RBI. Lodolo allowed three hits and three earned runs over 5.2 innings, while Ashcraft allowed two earned runs in relief for the loss. Prior to this series, Cincinnati lost two out of three against the Guardians and two out of three against the Nationals.
This season, Cincinnati has a 4.82 ERA with a 1.49 WHIP and a .252 opponent batting average, while they have scored 208 runs with a .226 batting average and a .311 on base percentage. Sal Stewart has led the Reds with 11 home runs and 32 RBIs, while Elly De La Cruz has added 11 home runs and 31 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Cincinnati is Chase Burns, who is 5-1 with a 1.87 ERA and a 1.00 WHIP over 53.0 innings pitched this season.
Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win
- The Reds have lost each of their last 10 road games against National League opponents.
- The Phillies have won each of their last six games against National League opponents.
- The Phillies have covered the run line in five of their last six games against National League opponents.
- The Reds have failed to cover the run line in three of their last four night games against NL East opponents.
- The Phillies have won the first inning in each of their last four games as favorites.
- The Phillies have led after 3 innings in four of their last five games as favorites.
- The Phillies have led after 5 innings in four of their last five games as favorites.
Why the Cincinnati Reds will win
- The Phillies have lost four of their last five games as home favorites against the Reds following a home win.
- The underdogs have won three of the last four games between the Reds and Phillies.
- The Reds have covered the run line in 10 of their last 11 night games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine home games against National League opponents following a win.
- The Phillies have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six night games against NL Central opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Seven of the Phillies’ last eight games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Six of the Reds’ last seven games have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in eight of the Phillies’ last nine games as favorites against National League opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of Chase Burns’ last six road appearances as a starter.
Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts
- Kyle Schwarber has hit at least one home run in each of his last five home appearances against NL opponents.
- Jesus Luzardo has recorded seven or more strikeouts in 12 of his last 14 appearances with the Phillies as favorites.
- Alec Bohm has recorded at least one hit in each of the Phillies’ last nine games.
- Kyle Schwarber ranks 1st in the league in Home Runs (20) this season.
Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts
- JJ Bleday has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances with his team as a road underdog against NL East opponents.
- Spencer Steer has recorded at least one hit in each of the Reds’ last 16 road games.
- Sal Stewart is one of only two players to record 10+ Home Runs and 10+ Stolen Bases this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Phillies rank 1st in the league for strikeouts this season (458).
- The Phillies rank 29th in the league for hits allowed this season (442).
- The Reds rank 29th in the league for walks allowed this season (227).
- The Reds rank 28th in the league for batting average this season (.226).
Phillies vs Reds Prediction
Philadelphia comes into this matchup on a nice winning streak and they have allowed one run or fewer in three of their last five games. The Phillies are 13-12 at home this year, while the Reds are 11-13 on the road. Cincinnati has lost three in a row and they have allowed 22 runs during that span. The Reds are starting Burns, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in five straight starts, while Luzardo has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five outings. Take the under here.