In this article we will formulate a Phillies vs Rockies prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, May 9th at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview
The Philadelphia Phillies are 17-22 this year after they lost game one by a score of 9-7 on Friday night. Philadelphia erased a 6-0 deficit, but they failed to score in the 10th or 11th innings for the loss. The Phillies recorded nine hits in the game and they were led by Crawford, who went 3-4 with one home run and two RBIs. Luzardo allowed six hits and six earned runs over 3.0 innings, while Keller picked up the loss. Prior to this series, Philadelphia won two out of three against the Athletics and three out of four against the Marlins.
This season, Philadelphia has a 4.73 ERA with a 1.45 WHIP and a .274 opponent batting average, while they have scored 155 runs with a .231 batting average and a .301 on base percentage. Kyle Schwarber has led the Phillies with 13 home runs and 22 RBIs, while Bryce Harper has added nine home runs and 23 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Philadelphia is Aaron Nola, who is 2-3 with a 5.06 ERA and a 1.45 WHIP over 37.1 innings pitched this year.
Colorado Rockies Betting Preview
The Colorado Rockies are 16-23 this season after they won game one by a score of 9-7 in extra innings. Colorado led 6-0 and 7-2, but they fell apart, before rallying for the win in the 11th. The Rockies recorded 13 hits in the game and they were led by Goodman, who went 4-5 with one home run and two RBIs. Dollander allowed three hits and two earned runs over 5.2 innings, while Vodnik got the win and Mejia picked up the save. Prior to this series, Colorado lost two out of three against the Mets and all three against the Braves.
This season, Colorado has a 4.70 ERA with a 1.41 WHIP and a .266 opponent batting average, while they have scored 172 runs with a .254 batting average and a .324 on base percentage. Mickey Moniak has led the Rockies with 11 home runs and 21 RBIs, while TJ Rumfield has added five home runs and 21 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Colorado is Kyle Freeland, who is 1-3 with a 5.04 ERA and a 1.36 WHIP over 25.0 innings pitched this season.
Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win
- The Rockies have lost each of their last nine games after going to extra innings.
- The Phillies have won each of their last nine Saturday night games against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
- The Rockies have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight night games following a road win.
- The Phillies have covered the run line in seven of their last eight night games at Citizens Bank Park following an extra innings loss.
- The Phillies have won the first inning in three of their last four night games against the Rockies.
- The Rockies have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last 12 Saturday night games.
- The Rockies have trailed after 3 innings in seven of their last eight night games against opponents that held a losing record.
Why the Colorado Rockies will win
- The Rockies have won seven of their last eight games as road underdogs against NL East opponents following a road win.
- The Phillies have lost each of their last six games following a home loss.
- The Rockies have covered the run line in each of their last 12 road games against NL East opponents.
- The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in 11 of their last 12 home games against National League opponents after playing the previous day.
- The Rockies have led after 3 innings in four of their last five road games.
- The Rockies have won the first inning in each of their last three road games.
- The Phillies have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last three games.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Phillies’ last seven games as favorites have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Each of the Rockies’ last six night games as underdogs have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Rockies’ last six night games.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the last eight games between the Rockies and Phillies.
Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts
- Bryce Harper has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 19 home appearances against the Rockies after playing the previous day.
- Aaron Nola has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last 14 Saturday appearances in night games at Citizens Bank Park.
- Aaron Nola has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances in night games against teams that held a losing record.
- Kyle Schwarber has hit at least one home run in four of the Phillies’ last five home games against the Rockies.
Colorado Rockies Player Prop Facts
- Hunter Goodman has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 15 appearances in night games against NL East teams that held a losing record.
- Kyle Freeland has recorded four or more strikeouts in each of his last six road appearances against NL opponents that held a losing record.
- Hunter Goodman has hit a home run in three of the Rockies’ last four road games against the Phillies.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Phillies rank 1st in the league for strikeouts this season (373).
- The Phillies rank 30th in the league for opponent batting average this season (.274).
- The Rockies rank 29th in the league for strikeouts against this season (380).
- The Rockies rank T3rd in the league for doubles this season (71).
Phillies vs Rockies Prediction
Colorado was able to win a thrilling game one on Friday night and they have scored 5+ runs in four of their last five games. The Rockies are 8-12 on the road this year, while the Phillies are 10-12 at home. Philadelphia has allowed 21 runs in their last two games, but they have scored 6+ in three of their last four. The Phillies are starting Nola, who has allowed 0, 6, 5, 3, and 3 earned runs in his last five starts, while Freeland has allowed 10 earned runs and 13 hits over his last 9.1 innings. Take the over here, as I don’t trust either pitcher.