The Philadelphia Phillies are visiting the Colorado Rockies on Tuesday, May 20th at the Coors Field in the second game of this series, with the Phillies having a 1-0 lead. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Phillies vs Rockies Prediction. We will examine:
The Colorado Rockies’ recent form and player performance
The Philadelphia Phillies’ recent form and player performance
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Colorado Rockies
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Philadelphia Phillies
Recent betting trends in games played between the Philadelphia Phillies vs Colorado Rockies
A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Philadelphia Phillies vs Colorado Rockies game
Colorado Rockies Preview
The Colorado Rockies have an 8-39 record this season and are sitting in last place in the NL West. The Rockies have a 5-17 home record and are 20-26 in over/under. They are coming off a 3-9 home defeat by the Phillies, and are 1-6 in their last 7 games. Over is 7-0 in their last 7 home games, and they are playing the Cubs and the Yankees next.
The Rockies have a .217 batting average this season, a .284 OBP, and a .361 Slugging percentage. Colorado’s pitching staff has a 5.85 ERA and 1.61 WHIP. Hunter Goodman leads the Rockies with 49 hits, adding a team-high 29 RBI, and he is the team’s best hitter with a .292 batting average. Jordan Beck adds a team-high 8 home runs.
Antonio Senzatela (R) will take the mound for the Rockies, and he has a 1-7 record, 6.39 ERA, and 1.99 WHIP. He has been even worse at home, with a 7.65 ERA in his four home starts, and he has given up 4+ runs in six of his last seven starts. His previous start against the Phillies this season was a shutout performance in 5.1 innings pitched. Antonio Senzatela has a 0-3 record with an ERA of 3.71 and 19 strikeouts in 7 appearances versus the Phillies in his career.
Philadelphia Phillies Preview
The Philadelphia Phillies have a 29-18 record this season and are sitting in first place in the NL East. They have a 12-10 road record and are 21-25 in over/under. They are coming off a 9-3 road victory over the Rockies, and are 7-2 in their last 9 games. They are playing the Athletics and the Braves next.
The Phillies have a .260 batting average this season, a .337 OBP, and a .407 Slugging percentage. Philly’s pitching staff has a 3.76 ERA and 1.23 WHIP. Trea Turner leads the Phillies with 56 hits and in batting average with .303, while Kyle Schwarber leads the team with 36 RBI and a team-high 16 home runs.
Jesus Luzardo (L) will take the mound for the Phillies, and he has a 4-0 record, 2.00 ERA, and 1.19 WHIP. He has been very good at home, with a 1.99 ERA in five home starts, and he has given up 2 runs or less in eight of his nine starts this season. Jesús Luzardo has a record of 0-1 with an ERA of 6.75 and 22 strikeouts in 4 appearances against the Rockies in his career.
Why the Colorado Rockies will win
- The Rockies have won five of their last six games as underdogs against the Phillies following a home loss.
- The Phillies have lost eight of their last nine games at Coors Field following a road win.
- The Rockies have covered the run line in 10 of their last 11 games against the Phillies following a home loss.
- The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games as favorites against National League opponents following a road win.
- The Phillies have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four road games against NL West opponents.
- The Phillies have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last six road games against NL West opponents.
- The Phillies have lost the first inning in three of their last four road games against NL West opponents.
Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win
- The Phillies have won each of their last seven games against teams that held a losing record.
- The Rockies have lost each of their last seven night games at Coors Field following a loss.
- The Rockies have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight home games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Phillies have covered the run line each of their last five games against NL West opponents that held a losing record.
- The Rockies have trailed after 3 innings in five of their last six night games against opponents that held a winning record.
- The Phillies have led after 5 innings in nine of their last 10 games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Rockies’ last seven home games have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Four of the Phillies’ last five games as favorites against the Rockies have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Rockies’ last eight night games at Coors Field.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Phillies’ last four road games against NL West opponents.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Rockies rank T1st in the league for triples this season (13).
- The Rockies rank 30th in the league for strikeouts against this season (462).
- The Phillies rank 1st in the league for strikeouts this season (459).
- The Phillies rank 4th in the league for walks allowed this season (132).
Phillies vs Rockies Prediction
The Phillies are 8-2 in their last 10 overall meetings against the Rockies, but the Rockies are 3-2 in their last 5 meetings in Colorado. Under is 4-1 in their last 5 meetings.
In this Phillies vs Rockies Prediction, the Phillies are coming as huge -275 road favorites. The Phillies are rightfully favored, as they have been the superior team this season, and the Rockies have the worst record in the MLB. Senzatela has been terrible this season, and his advanced metrics indicate that he is even worse, as he has a 7.42 expected ERA. The pitching difference is huge in this matchup as Luzardo is looking sharp so far, so I like the Phillies to have full control after the 5 innings of this game. Take the Philadelphia Phillies on the runline in the first 5 innings.