In this article we will formulate a Phillies vs Yankees prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, July 25th at Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Philadelphia Phillies Betting Preview
The Philadelphia Phillies are 56-48 this year after they lost game one by a score of 0-1 on Friday night. Philadelphia pitched a great game, but couldn’t find any offense for the loss. The Phillies recorded four hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Realmuto, who went 2-3. Luzardo allowed three hits and one earned run over 7.0 innings for the loss, while Bowlan threw a scoreless inning in relief. Prior to this series, Philadelphia lost two out of three against the Dodgers and two out of three against the Mets.
This season, Philadelphia has a 4.23 ERA with a 1.31 WHIP and a .254 opponent batting average, while they have scored 448 runs with a .235 batting average and a .302 on base percentage. Kyle Schwarber has led the Phillies with 33 home runs and 61 RBIs, while Bryce Harper has added 21 home runs and 60 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Philadelphia is TBD.
New York Yankees Betting Preview
The New York Yankees are 58-45 this season after they won game one by a score of 1-0 last night. New York scored the only run of the game in the fourth inning and hung on for the win. The Yankees recorded three hits in the game and they were led by Goldschmidt, who went 1-4 with one home run and one RBI. Schlittler allowed three hits and zero earned runs over 7.1 innings for the win, while Bednar picked up the save. Prior to this series, New York won two out of three against the Pirates, but lost two out of three against the Dodgers before that.
This season, New York has a 3.35 ERA with a 1.18 WHIP and a .225 opponent batting average, while they have scored 481 runs with a .234 batting average and a .314 on base percentage. Ben Rice has led the Yankees with 30 home runs and 71 RBIs, while Cody Bellinger has added 11 home runs and 52 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Ryan Weathers, who is 3-7 with a 4.40 ERA and a 1.27 WHIP over 102.1 innings pitched this season.
Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win
- The underdogs have won each of the Yankees’ last four games at Citizens Bank Park.
- The Yankees have lost three of their last four games as favorites against the Phillies following a win.
- The Phillies have covered the run line in each of their last seven Saturday night games.
- The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in three of their last four games as favorites against the Phillies following a win.
- The Yankees have trailed after 5 innings in seven of their last eight Saturday games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
- The Yankees have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last seven Saturday games.
Why the New York Yankees will win
- The Yankees have won each of their last five road games.
- The Phillies have lost each of their last six games as home underdogs.
- The Yankees have covered the run line in each of their last seven night games against National League opponents.
- The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in 14 of their last 15 home games against AL East opponents following a loss.
- The Yankees have led after 5 innings in six of their last seven night games against National League opponents.
- The Yankees have won the first inning in three of their last four games as favorites against the Phillies.
- The Phillies have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last six Saturday games as home underdogs.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Yankees’ last four road games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Six of the Phillies’ last seven games as home underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in eight of Ryan Weathers’ last nine appearances as a starter.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Phillies’ last five games as underdogs against American League opponents.
Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts
- Kyle Schwarber has hit at least one home run in four of his last five appearances with his team as an underdog against the Yankees.
- J.T. Realmuto has recorded at least one hit in each of the Phillies’ last nine games.
New York Yankees Player Prop Facts
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit a home run in three of his last four road appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- Jasson Dominguez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 15 appearances with the Yankees as favorites against NL opponents.
Phillies vs Yankees Prediction
New York was able to start this series with a win on Friday night and they have won four of their last five games. The Yankees are 32-22 on the road this year, while the Phillies are 27-26 at home. Philadelphia has lost four of their last five games and they have scored one run or fewer in three of those five. The Phillies haven’t announced their starter, while Weathers has allowed 5, 1, 4, 2, and 1 earned run in his last five outings. I don’t trust Weathers right now, so I am going with the over here.