In this article, we will formulate a Pirates vs Astros Prediction for this MLB matchup on Tuesday, June 2nd in the opening game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Houston Astros Preview
The Houston Astros have a 27-34 record this season and are sitting in the 4th place of the AL West. They have a 13-16 home record and are coming off a 0-2 home defeat against the Brewers. They will face the Athletics and the Red Sox next.
The Astros have a .244 batting average this season, .318 OBP and .409 Slugging percentage. Houston’s pitching staff has a 4.92 ERA and 1.43 WHIP. Yordan Alvarez is the team’s best hitter with a .301 batting average, also adding a team-high 20 home runs. Christian Walker leads the team in RBI with 43.
Mike Burrows (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Astros, and he has a 3-6 record, 5.40 ERA and 1.45 WHIP.
Pittsburgh Pirates Preview
The Pittsburgh Pirates have a 32-28 record this season and are sitting in the 3rd place of the NL Central. They have a 14-13 road record and are coming off a 9-3 home win against the Twins. They will face the Mariners and the Mets next.
The Pirates have a .253 batting average this season, .335 OBP and .398 Slugging percentage. Pittsburgh’s pitching staff has a 3.91 ERA and 1.25 WHIP. Nick Gonzales is the team’s best hitter with a .303 batting average. Oneil Cruz leads the team in RBI with 41, while Brandon Lowe adds a team-high 14 home runs.
Bubba Chandler (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Pirates, and he has a 1-6 record, 4.85 ERA and 1.52 WHIP.
Pittsburgh Pirates @ Houston Astros Betting Trends: June 2, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Mike Burrows Record this season: 3-6 ERA: 5.40
- Home Record: 1-2
- Last 5 against Pirates: –
Why the Houston Astros will win
- The Pirates have lost each of their last 10 road games against American League opponents following a home win.
- The Astros have won each of their last four games following a loss.
- The Pirates have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games against the Astros following a home win.
- The Astros have covered the run line in each of their last four games following a loss.
- The Pirates have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last five night games against American League opponents.
- The Astros have led after 5 innings in five of their last six games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Bubba Chandler Record this season: 1-6 ERA: 4.85
- Road Record: 0-3
- Last 5 against Astros: –
Why the Pittsburgh Pirates will win
- The Astros have lost each of their last four games as favorites.
- The Pirates have won three of their last four games as underdogs.
- The Astros have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games as favorites following a loss.
- The Pirates have covered the run line in each of their last five road games against the Astros.
- The Pirates have won the first inning in four of their last five games as underdogs against American League opponents.
- The Pirates have led after 3 innings in four of their last five games against the Astros.
- The Astros have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last four games as favorites.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Pirates’ last seven games as underdogs against AL West opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Each of the Astros’ last seven night games against NL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last seven games between the Pirates and Astros.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Pirates’ last four road games.
Houston Astros Player Prop Facts
- Yordan Alvarez has hit a home run in each of his last four appearances with the Astros as favorites against NL Central opponents.
- Yordan Alvarez has recorded at least one hit in each of the Astros’ last 10 games as home favorites.
- Yordan Alvarez ranks T2nd in the league in Home Runs (20) this season.
Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts
- Brandon Lowe has hit a home run in four of his last five appearances in night games against AL West teams that held a losing record.
- Brandon Lowe has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven appearances against AL West opponents that held a losing record.
- Oneil Cruz ranks 3rd in the league in Steals (19) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Astros rank T29th in the league for triples this season (3).
- The Astros rank 29th in the league for steals this season (21).
- The Pirates rank 2nd in the league for hits this season (526).
- The Pirates rank 29th in the league for strikeouts against this season (555).
Pirates vs Astros Prediction
Both teams are tied 5-5 in their last 10 meetings and the Pirates have won two of their last three visits in Houston.
In this Pirates vs Astros Prediction, the Astros are coming as -120 home favorites. I don’t like either pitcher in this matchup, as they have a combined 10.25 ERA and 1.45+ WHIP both. Burrows has been even weaker at home with a 6.92 ERA and the Astros have the second-worse bullpen in baseball, while the Pirates have the 5th-best offense. Take the over 9 runs in this one.