In this article, we will formulate a Pirates vs Brewers Prediction for this MLB matchup on Monday, August 3rd in the opening game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Milwaukee Brewers Preview
The Milwaukee Brewers have a 69-42 record this season and are sitting in the 1st place of the NL Central. They have a 36-20 home record and are coming off a 0-3 home loss against the Angels. They will face the Twins and the Padres next.
The Milwaukee Brewers have a .253 batting average this season, .337 OBP and .399 Slugging percentage. Milwaukee’s pitching staff has a 3.48 ERA and 1.16 WHIP. Jackson Chourio is the team’s best hitter with a .276 batting average. Brice Turang leads the team in RBI with 69, while Jake Bauers adds a team-high 20 home runs.
Brandon Sproat (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Milwaukee Brewers, and he has a 3-6 record, 5.05 ERA and 1.39 WHIP.
Pittsburgh Pirates Preview
The Pittsburgh Pirates have a 56-57 record this season and are sitting in the 3rd place of the NL Central. They have a 27-29 away record and are coming off a 2-10 road loss against the Reds. They will face the Mets and the Marlins next.
The Pittsburgh Pirates have a .258 batting average this season, .335 OBP and .416 Slugging percentage. Pittsburgh’s pitching staff has a 4.31 ERA and 1.33 WHIP. Nick Gonzales is the team’s best hitter with a .312 batting average. Brandon Lowe leads the team in RBI with 71 and adds a team-high 23 home runs.
Bubba Chandler (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Pittsburgh Pirates, and he has a 3-8 record, 4.56 ERA and 1.41 WHIP.
Pittsburgh Pirates @ Milwaukee Brewers Betting Trends: August 3, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Brandon Sproat Record this season: 3-6 ERA: 5.05
- Home Record: 2-3
- Last 5 against Pirates: 0-0
Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win
- The Brewers have won 14 of their last 15 night games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
- The Pirates have lost seven of their last eight night games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Brewers have covered the run line in each of their last nine Monday night home games against National League opponents.
- The Pirates have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 games after playing the previous day.
- The Pirates have trailed after 5 innings in five of their last six games.
- The Pirates have trailed after 3 innings in six of their last seven games as road underdogs against National League opponents.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Bubba Chandler Record this season: 3-8 ERA: 4.56
- Road Record: 1-5
- Last 5 against Brewers: 0-1
Why the Pittsburgh Pirates will win
- The Pirates have won four of their last five games as road underdogs following a loss.
- The Brewers have lost four of their last five games against NL Central opponents.
- The Pirates have covered the run line in seven of their last eight road games against NL Central opponents following a road loss.
- The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games against the Pirates following a road loss.
- The Pirates have led after 5 innings in six of their last seven road games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- The Brewers have lost the first inning in three of their last four home games against NL Central opponents.
- The Brewers have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four games.
Total Runs Facts
- Eight of the Brewers’ last 10 games as favorites against NL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Twelve of the Pirates’ last 16 games against NL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Pirates’ last four games at American Family Field.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Brewers’ last four home games against NL Central opponents.
Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts
- Jake Bauers has hit a home run in each of the Brewers’ last two night games.
- Brandon Sproat has recorded six or more strikeouts in four of his last five home appearances.
- Christian Yelich has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 14 appearances with the Brewers as favorites against the Pirates.
Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts
- Esmerlyn Valdez has hit at least one home run in two of the Pirates’ last three games against the Brewers.
- Bubba Chandler has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- Nick Gonzales has recorded at least one hit in each of the Pirates’ last 13 games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Nick Gonzales ranks 4th amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.312) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Brewers rank 30th in the league for home runs this season (101).
- The Brewers rank 2nd in the league for walks this season (460).
- The Pirates rank 1st in the league for hits this season (1014).
- The Pirates rank 30th in the league for strikeouts against this season (1063).
Pirates vs Brewers Prediction
The Pirates are 5-1 in their last 6 meetings against the Brewers and have won two of their last three visits in Milwaukee.
In this Pirates vs Brewers Prediction, the Brewers are coming as -140 home favorites. I don’t trust either pitcher in this matchup, as they both have almost 10 ERA combined and Brandon Sproat has been even weaker at home, with a 5.98 ERA. Both teams are top-5 offensively this season, scoring 10.2 runs per game combined and are even better against right-handed pitching with 10.9 runs per game combined. The Brewers’ bullpen has been struggling lately so everything sets up for a high-scoring affair. Take the over 8.5 runs in this one.