In this article we will formulate a Pirates vs Brewers prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, July 11th at PNC Park in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Preview
The Pittsburgh Pirates are 47-47 this season after they lost two out of three against the Braves by scores of 12-4, 0-3, and 5-10. In game three, Pittsburgh cut the deficit to 6-5 in the sixth inning, but couldn’t find anymore offense for the loss. The Pirates recorded eight hits in the game and they were led by Mangum, who went 4-5 with one home run and three RBIs. Keller allowed four hits and three earned runs over 3.0 innings for the loss, while Santana allowed four earned runs in relief. Prior to that series, Pittsburgh won two out of three against the Nationals and split four games with the Phillies.
This season, Pittsburgh has a 4.32 ERA with a 1.31 WHIP and a .239 opponent batting average, while they have scored 492 runs with a .262 batting average and a .340 on base percentage. Brandon Lowe has led the Pirates with 21 home runs and 64 RBIs, while Bryan Reynolds has added 14 home runs and 57 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Pittsburgh in game one is Braxton Ashcraft, who is 9-3 with a 3.24 ERA and a 1.10 WHIP over 108.1 innings pitched this year. The projected starting pitcher for game two is Bubba Chandler, who is 3-8 with a 4.82 ERA and a 1.44 WHIP over 89.2 innings pitched.
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview
The Milwaukee Brewers are 59-34 this season after they won four out of five against the Cardinals by scores of 4-3, 4-3, 10-2, 1-5, and 8-4. In game five, Milwaukee had their lead cut to 6-4 in the sixth inning, but they scored the last two runs to pull away with the win. The Brewers recorded 11 hits in the game and they were led by Bauers, who went 2-4 with one home run and three RBIs. Henderson allowed three hits and three earned runs over 5.1 innings for the win, while Ashby picked up a hold. Prior to that series, Milwaukee won two out of three against the Diamondbacks and three out of four against the Reds.
This season, Milwaukee has a 3.33 ERA with a 1.16 WHIP and a .217 opponent batting average, while they have scored 476 runs with a .255 batting average and a .337 on base percentage. Jake Bauers has led the Brewers with 17 home runs and 57 RBIs, while Brice Turang has added 13 home runs and 56 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Milwaukee in game one is Brandon Sproat, who is 3-4 with a 5.13 ERA and a 1.37 WHIP over 79.0 innings pitched this season. The projected starting pitcher for game two is Shane Drohan, who is 4-2 with a 2.97 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP over 63.2 innings pitched this season.
Why the Pittsburgh Pirates will win
- The Pirates have won five of their last six day games against NL Central opponents.
- The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine day games following a win.
- The Pirates have covered the run line in five of their last six day games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Brewers have lost the first inning in four of their last five day games.
- The Brewers have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five road day games.
- The Brewers have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last three day games.
Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win
- The Brewers have won 11 of their last 12 road games against NL Central opponents.
- The Pirates have lost four of their last five games against NL Central opponents.
- The Brewers have covered the run line in each of their last six games against the Pirates following a win.
- The Pirates have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six day games against the Brewers following a loss.
- The Brewers have led after 3 innings in four of their last five day games against the Pirates.
- The Brewers have won the first inning in three of their last four games at PNC Park.
- The Brewers have led after 5 innings in each of their last five day games against the Pirates.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Pirates’ last six games against NL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Four of the Brewers’ last five day games against NL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Pirates’ last nine Saturday day games.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Brewers’ last seven Saturday day games at PNC Park.
Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts
- Braxton Ashcraft has recorded a win in each of his last four appearances.
- Braxton Ashcraft has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances.
- Esmerlyn Valdez has hit a home run in four of his five previous appearances against NL Central opponents.
- Bryan Reynolds has recorded at least one hit in each of the Pirates’ last 11 Saturday games.
Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts
- Christian Yelich has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances against the Pirates.
- Brandon Sproat has recorded six or more strikeouts in three of his last four appearances.
- Christian Yelich has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances against the Pirates.
Pirates vs Brewers Prediction
Milwaukee comes into this matchup after winning five of their last six games and they lead the NL Central by seven games. The Brewers are 30-16 on the road this year, while the Pirates are 24-24 at home. Pittsburgh has dropped two in a row, but they have scored 5+ runs in four of their last five. In game one, Ashcraft has been very solid for the Pirates all season, while Sproat has been inconsistent. In game two, Drohan has been the better option over Chandler. Take the Pirates in game one and the Brewers in game two.