In this article we will formulate a Pirates vs Marlins prediction for this MLB game on Friday, June 12th at PNC Park in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Preview
The Pittsburgh Pirates are 35-34 this year after they lost two out of three against the Dodgers by scores of 3-12, 9-8, and 6-8. In game three, Pittsburgh cut the deficit from 8-4 to 8-6 in the eighth inning, but couldn’t get any closer in the loss. The Pirates recorded 12 hits in the game and they were led by Flores Jr, who went 2-3 with one home run and two RBIs. Keller allowed seven hits and five earned runs over 4.0 innings for the loss, while Sisk allowed two earned runs in relief. Prior to that series, Pittsburgh lost all three against the Braves, but did win two out of three against the Astros before that.
This season, Pittsburgh has a 4.21 ERA with a 1.30 WHIP and a .234 opponent batting average, while they have scored 351 runs with a .254 batting average and a .336 on base percentage. Brandon Lowe has led the Pirates with 16 home runs and 45 RBIs, while Oneil Cruz has added 14 home runs and 44 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Pittsburgh is Braxton Ashcraft, who is 5-3 with a 3.28 ERA and a 1.08 WHIP over 79.2 innings pitched this year.
Miami Marlins Betting Preview
The Miami Marlins are 34-35 this season after they swept the Diamondbacks in three games by scores of 10-6, 8-0, and 2-0. In game three, Miami scored once in the first inning and once in the fourth, which was enough for the win. The Marlins recorded five hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Edwards, who went 1-3 with one RBI. Phillips allowed two hits and zero earned runs over 5.0 innings for the win, while Fairbanks got the save. Prior to that series, Miami won two out of three against the Rays and swept the Nationals in three games.
This season, Miami has a 4.12 ERA with a 1.26 WHIP and a .227 opponent batting average, while they have scored 296 runs with a .245 batting average and a .323 on base percentage. Liam Hicks has led the Marlins with 12 home runs and 48 RBIs, while Otto Lopez has added five home runs and 30 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Miami is Sandy Alcantara, who is 5-4 with a 4.33 ERA and a 1.26 WHIP over 89.1 innings pitched this season.
Why the Pittsburgh Pirates will win
- The Marlins have lost each of their last six night games against the Pirates following a home win.
- The home team has won each of the Marlins’ last five games.
- The home team has covered the run line in each of the Marlins’ last five games.
- The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in four of their last five games at PNC Park.
- The Marlins have lost the first inning in each of their last five Friday games.
- The Pirates have led after 5 innings in each of their last seven Friday games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
- The Marlins have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last six Friday games as road underdogs.
Why the Miami Marlins will win
- The Pirates have lost each of their last seven games against NL East opponents.
- The Marlins have won each of their last seven games after playing the previous day.
- The Marlins have covered the run line in each of their last seven games after playing the previous day.
- The Pirates have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five games as favorites following a loss.
- The Marlins have led after 5 innings in each of their last four games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
- The Marlins have led after 3 innings in each of their last four games at PNC Park against opponents that held a winning record.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Pirates’ last nine home games have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Each of the Marlins’ last five games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Marlins’ last seven Friday games.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last four games between the Marlins and Pirates.
Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts
- Brandon Lowe has hit at least one home run in four of his last five appearances in night games against NL East teams that held a losing record.
- Jared Triolo has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances in night games against NL East teams that held a losing record.
Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts
- Kyle Stowers has hit at least one home run in three of the Marlins’ last five night games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- Otto Lopez has recorded two or more hits in each of the Marlins’ last five games.
- Sandy Alcantara has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last four road appearances against the Pirates.
- Sandy Alcantara has recorded a win in four of his last five road appearances against NL opponents.
Pirates vs Marlins Prediction
Miami comes into this matchup on a nice winning streak and they have allowed one run or fewer in three of their last four games. The Marlins are 11-19 on the road this year, while the Pirates are 19-17 at home. Pittsburgh has lost four of their last five games and they have allowed 6+ runs in four of their last five. The Pirates are starting Ashcraft, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last four starts, while Alcantara has allowed 3+ earned runs in three of his last four. Take the Pirates -1.5 here.