In this article we will formulate a Pirates vs Marlins prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, June 14th at PNC Park in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Preview
The Pittsburgh Pirates are 36-35 this year after they split the first two games in the series by scores of 3-8 and 3-2. In game two, Pittsburgh led 2-1 in the third inning, but they needed a run in the eighth to get the win. The Pirates recorded eight hits in the game and they were led by O’Hearn, who went 2-4 with one RBI. Chandler allowed three hits and two earned runs over 5.2 innings, while Ramirez picked up the win and Soto got the save. Prior to this series, Pittsburgh lost two out of three against the Dodgers and all three against the Braves.
This season, Pittsburgh has a 4.23 ERA with a 1.30 WHIP and a .235 opponent batting average, while they have scored 357 runs with a .253 batting average and a .335 on base percentage. Brandon Lowe has led the Pirates with 17 home runs and 46 RBIs, while Oneil Cruz has added 14 home runs and 44 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Pittsburgh is Paul Skenes, who is 6-5 with a 2.84 ERA and a 0.93 WHIP over 76.0 innings pitched this year.
Miami Marlins Betting Preview
The Miami Marlins are 35-36 this season after they lost game two by a score of 2-3 on Saturday. Miami tied the game at one in the third inning and at two in the sixth, but couldn’t find anymore offense in the loss. The Marlins recorded seven hits in the game and they were led by Hicks, who went 1-5 with one RBI. Bachar allowed one hit and one earned run over 2.0 innings, while Bender picked up the loss. Prior to this series, Miami swept the Diamondbacks in three games and won two out of three against the Rays.
This season, Miami has a 4.10 ERA with a 1.25 WHIP and a .226 opponent batting average, while they have scored 306 runs with a .246 batting average and a .323 on base percentage. Liam Hicks has led the Marlins with 13 home runs and 51 RBIs, while Otto Lopez has added five home runs and 31 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Miami is Max Meyer, who is 6-0 with a 2.85 ERA and a 1.09 WHIP over 79.0 innings pitched this season.
Why the Pittsburgh Pirates will win
- The Pirates have won seven of their last eight day games following a win.
- The Marlins have lost each of their last four day games against National League opponents following a road loss.
- The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight day games against the Pirates following a loss.
- The Pirates have covered the run line in seven of their last eight day games against the Marlins following a home win.
- The Marlins have trailed after 3 innings in seven of their last eight games at PNC Park.
- The Pirates have led after 5 innings in five of their last six games as favorites.
Why the Miami Marlins will win
- The Pirates have lost each of their last five games as favorites against NL East opponents following a win.
- The Marlins have won five of their last six games as underdogs after playing the previous day.
- The Marlins have covered the run line in each of their last nine games after playing the previous day.
- The Pirates have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six home games against NL East opponents.
- The Marlins have led after 5 innings in seven of their last eight day games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
- The Marlins have led after 3 innings in each of their last four day games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
Total Runs Facts
- Ten of the Pirates’ last 11 home games have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Nine of the Marlins’ last 10 day games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the last six games between the Marlins and Pirates.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in four of the Marlins’ last five games at PNC Park.
Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts
- Bryan Reynolds has recorded at least one hit in each of the Pirates’ last nine home games against NL opponents.
- Marcell Ozuna has hit at least one home run in three of his last four home appearances against the Marlins.
Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts
- Kyle Stowers has hit at least one home run in three of the Marlins’ last seven games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- Otto Lopez has recorded at least one hit in each of the Marlins’ last 14 road games against opponents that held a winning record.
- Otto Lopez ranks 1st in the league in Hits (96) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Pirates rank 29th in the league for strikeouts against this season (658).
- The Pirates rank T2nd in the league for home runs allowed this season (64).
- The Marlins rank 1st in the league for steals this season (81).
- The Marlins rank 28th in the league for home runs this season (58).
Pirates vs Marlins Prediction
Miami had their winning streak snapped on Saturday in their loss, but they have played well and they have scored 8+ runs in three of their last five games. The Marlins are 12-20 on the road this year, while the Pirates are 20-18 at home. Pittsburgh has lost three of their last five games and they have allowed 8+ runs in four of their last five. The Pirates are starting Skenes, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three straight outings, while Meyer has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five. Take the under here.