The New York Mets and the Pittsburgh Pirates meet Saturday in MLB action from PNC Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Pirates vs Mets Prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The New York Mets will send out Paul Blackburn for the start here, and Blackburn is 0-2 with a 6.62 ERA and 13 strikeouts this season. This will be Blackburn’s first career start against the Pirates. The Pittsburgh Pirates will start Bailey Falter here, and Falter is 6-3 with a 3.59 ERA and 51 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against the Mets, Falter is 1-2 with a 2.86 ERA and 17 strikeouts.
New York Mets Recap
The New York Mets come into this game looking to bounce back from a 9-1 loss at the hands of the Pirates to fall to 48-35 on the year. After this series, the Mets will head home for a series against the Milwaukee Brewers.
Mets Drop 7 Of Their Last 10
Pete Alonso has 90 hits with 23 doubles, 18 home runs, 65 RBIs, and a .292 batting average, while Juan Soto has 74 hits with 14 doubles, 19 home runs, and 45 RBIs on the year. Francisco Lindor has 85 hits with 13 stolen bases along with 14 doubles, 16 home runs, and 43 RBIs, while Mark Vientos has 6 home runs, 21 RBIs, but 49 strikeouts so far this season. Brandon Nimmo has also added 73 hits with 14 doubles and 15 home runs, and 42 RBIs this season. Luis Torrens has also chipped in 9 doubles, and Luisangel Acuna has 11 stolen bases as well this season.
Why the New York Mets will win
- The Pirates have lost each of their last eight games against the Mets following a win.
- The Mets have won each of their last eight day games against NL Central opponents following a loss.
- The Mets have covered the run line in each of their last nine day games against NL Central opponents following a road loss.
- The Pirates have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four day games against the Mets following a win.
New York Mets Player Prop Facts
- Paul Blackburn has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his three previous appearances against NL Central opponents.
- Juan Soto has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 14 appearances against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
- Jeff McNeil has hit at least one home run in four of his last five appearances in day games against NL teams that held a losing record.
- Jesse Winker has recorded a Double in four of his last five appearances with his team as a favorite against the Pirates.
Pittsburgh Pirates Recap
The Pittsburgh Pirates come into this game looking to add on to their win over the Mets from Friday’s series opener to improve to 33-50 on the year. After this series, the Pirates will take on the St. Louis Cardinals in a division series at home.
Pirates Get Back On Track
Bryan Reynolds has 69 hits with 13 doubles, 8 home runs, and 39 RBIs while also posting 85 strikeouts so far this season. Oneil Cruz has posted a team-high 13 home runs and 31 RBIs with 26 stolen bases, while Isiah Kiner-Falefa has 63 hits with 10 doubles and 9 stolen bases. Emmanuel Valdez also has a pair of triples this season. Tommy Pham has 6 doubles and Andrew McCutchen has 65 hits with 13 doubles, and KeBryan Hayes has 63 hits with 22 RBIs and 9 stolen bases.
Why the Pittsburgh Pirates will win
- The Pirates have won each of their last four games as home underdogs against NL East opponents.
- The Mets have lost each of their last three games as road favorites against NL Central opponents.
- The Pirates have covered the run line in each of their last six games as home underdogs against NL East opponents.
- The Mets have failed to cover the run line each of their last six games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts
- Bryan Reynolds has hit a home run in three of the Pirates’ last four games as underdogs against NL East opponents.
- Bryan Reynolds has recorded a Double in four of the Pirates’ last five games.
- Andrew McCutchen has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 home appearances against NL opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Pirates’ last eight day games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Each of the Mets’ last four road games against NL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
Pirates vs Mets Prediction
I’m on the Pirates here. I kind of saw this coming with the Mets on Friday, as New York has just struggled to maintain their play on the road all season. Furthermore, I don’t really see that changing here against even the Pirates with Paul Blackburn pitching here. Bailey Falter’s been a solid option, and the Mets have not done anything against lefties in the last two weeks. Give me the Pirates in this one.