In this article we will formulate a Pirates vs Mets prediction for this MLB game on Saturday, August 8th at PNC Park in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Preview
The Pittsburgh Pirates are 57-61 this season after they lost game one by a score of 4-6 last night. Pittsburgh allowed the first six runs in the game, but did score the last four to make it interesting. The Pirates recorded 12 hits in the game and they were led by Lowe, who went 1-5 with one RBI. Mlodzinski allowed seven hits and five earned runs over 3.0 innings for the loss, while Sisk allowed one earned run in relief. Prior to this series, Pittsburgh lost three out of four against the Brewers and three out of four against the Reds.
This season, Pittsburgh has a 4.32 ERA with a 1.33 WHIP and a .241 opponent batting average, while they have scored 592 runs with a .257 batting average and a .334 on base percentage. Brandon Lowe has led the Pirates with 24 home runs and 73 RBIs, while Ryan O’Hearn has added 17 home runs and 69 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Pittsburgh is Bubba Chandler, who is 4-8 with a 4.49 ERA and a 1.41 WHIP over 110.1 innings pitched this season.
New York Mets Betting Preview
The New York Mets are 51-66 this year after they won game one by a score of 6-4 last night. New York led 6-0 in the fourth inning, but failed to score over the last five innings in the win. The Mets recorded 10 hits in the game and they were led by Semien, who went 1-4 with one home run and three RBIs. Thornton allowed four hits and zero earned runs over 5.0 innings for the win, while Williams allowed two earned runs in relief. Prior to this series, New York swept the Guardians in three games, but lost three out of four against the Marlins before that.
This season, New York has a 4.09 ERA with a 1.30 WHIP and a .239 opponent batting average, while they have scored 488 runs with a .235 batting average and a .305 on base percentage. Juan Soto (IL) has led the Mets with 21 home runs and 52 RBIs, while Bo Bichette has added 11 home runs and 56 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Robert Stock, who is 0-1 with a 1.80 ERA and a 0.60 WHIP over 5.0 innings pitched this year.
Why the Pittsburgh Pirates will win
- The Pirates have won each of their last 11 games as favorites against the Mets following a home loss.
- The Mets have lost each of their last eight Saturday road games.
- The Mets have failed to cover the run line in 12 of their last 13 night games against NL Central opponents following a win.
- The Pirates have covered the run line in five of their last six home games against the Mets.
- The Mets have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last eight Saturday games.
- The Mets have trailed after 3 innings in five of their last six night games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
Why the New York Mets will win
- The road team has won each of the Mets’ last seven games.
- The Pirates have lost five of their last six games as favorites.
- The road team has covered the run line in each of the Mets’ last seven games.
- The Pirates have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six home games.
- The Pirates have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last four games.
- The Mets have led after 3 innings in each of their last four games.
- The Mets have won the first inning in three of their last four night games against opponents that held a losing record.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the last five games between the Mets and Pirates at PNC Park have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Each of the Mets’ last four games have gone OVER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Pirates’ last eight Saturday night games at PNC Park.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in seven of the Mets’ last eight night games at PNC Park.
Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts
- Esmerlyn Valdez has hit a home run in three of the Pirates’ last four home games against opponents that held a losing record.
- Bubba Chandler has recorded five or more strikeouts in three of his last four appearances.
- Brandon Lowe has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 13 appearances with the Pirates as favorites.
- Nick Gonzales ranks 4th in the league in Hits (132) this season.
New York Mets Player Prop Facts
- Marcus Semien has hit a home run in each of the Mets’ last two games.
- Luis Robert has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 appearances against the Pirates.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Pirates rank 1st in the league for hits this season (1048).
- The Pirates rank 30th in the league for strikeouts against this season (1114).
- The Mets rank 29th in the league for doubles this season (147).
- The Mets rank 29th in the league for on-base percentage this season (.305).
Pirates vs Mets Prediction
Pittsburgh limps into this matchup on a four game losing streak and they are fading in the Wild Card race. The Pirates are 29-29 at home this year, while the Mets are 26-32 on the road. New York has won four in a row and they have scored 6+ runs in all four. The Mets are starting Stock, who allowed one earned run over 5.0 innings in his first start, while Chandler has allowed two earned runs or fewer in three of his last four outings. I am going with the Pirates to win here, despite the recent issues.