In this article we will formulate a Pirates vs Orioles prediction for this MLB game on Friday, April 3rd at PNC Park in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Preview
The Pittsburgh Pirates are 3-3 this season after they won two out of three against the Reds by scores of 0-2, 8-3, and 8-3. In their game three win, Pittsburgh jumped out to a 3-0 lead in the first inning and they put the game away with four runs in the ninth. The Pirates recorded nine hits in the game and they were led by Cruz, who went 2-5 with one home run and three RBIs. Skenes allowed three hits and one earned run over 5.0 innings for the win, while Montgomery allowed two earned runs in relief.
This season, Pittsburgh has a 3.67 ERA with a 1.35 WHIP and a .209 opponent batting average, while they have scored 29 runs with a .231 batting average and a .316 on base percentage. Oneil Cruz has led the Pirates with three home runs and six RBIs, while Ryan O’Hearn has added two home runs and six RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Pittsburgh is Mitch Keller, who is 0-0 with a 0.00 ERA and a 0.50 WHIP over 6.0 innings pitched this season.
Baltimore Orioles Betting Preview
The Baltimore Orioles are 3-3 this year after they lost two out of three against the Rangers by scores of 2-5, 5-8, and 8-3. In their game three win, Baltimore scored the first four runs in the game and they added three more in the fifth to pull away with the victory. The Orioles recorded 12 hits in the game and they were led by Ward, Taveras, and Jackson, who all had two RBIs. Rogers allowed six hits and two earned runs over 6.0 innings for the win, while Suarez picked up the three inning save.
This season, Baltimore has a 4.33 ERA with a 1.37 WHIP and a .246 opponent batting average, while they have scored 26 runs with a .255 batting average and a .332 on base percentage. Gunnar Henderson has led the Orioles with one home run and four RBIs, while Tyler O’Neill has added one home run and three RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Baltimore is Kyle Bradish, who is 0-1 with a 3.86 ERA and a 1.07 WHIP over 4.2 innings pitched this year.
Why the Pittsburgh Pirates will win
- The Pirates have won each of their last nine day games at PNC Park following a win.
- The Orioles have lost each of their last four games as road favorites against National League opponents following a win.
- The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games following a home win.
- The Pirates have covered the run line in each of their last seven day games at PNC Park following a win.
- The Orioles have lost the first inning in five of their last six road games.
- The Pirates have led after 3 innings in each of their last four home games against American League opponents.
- The Pirates have led after 5 innings in four of their last five day games at PNC Park against American League opponents.
Why the Baltimore Orioles will win
- The Orioles have won eight of their last nine games against National League opponents.
- The Pirates have lost seven of their last eight home games against AL East opponents following a win.
- The Pirates have failed to cover the run line in 13 of their last 14 home games against American League opponents following a road win.
- The Orioles have covered the run line in each of their last five games as road favorites.
- The Orioles have led after 3 innings in four of their last five games as road favorites.
- The Orioles have led after 5 innings in four of their last five games as road favorites.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Orioles’ last six games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Seven of the last eight games between the Orioles and Pirates have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Orioles’ last six road games.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in six of the Pirates’ last seven day games against American League opponents.
Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts
- Bryan Reynolds has hit a home run in three of the Pirates’ last four home openers.
- Mitch Keller has recorded five or more strikeouts in 15 of his last 19 appearances with the Pirates as underdogs against AL opponents.
- Bryan Reynolds has recorded at least one hit in each of the Pirates’ last six games as home underdogs against AL opponents.
- Mitch Keller ranks T1st amongst qualified players for Earned Run Average (0.00) this season.
Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts
- Tyler O’Neill has hit a home run in each of his last three appearances with the Orioles as favorites against NL opponents.
- Kyle Bradish has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last nine appearances with the Orioles as road favorites.
- Taylor Ward has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 appearances with his team as a road favorite against NL opponents.
- Kyle Bradish has recorded a win in each of his last three appearances with the Orioles as road favorites.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Pirates rank T1st in the league for home runs this season (10).
- The Pirates rank T27th in the league for steals this season (1).
- The Orioles rank T24th in the league for home runs this season (5).
- The Orioles rank 24th in the league for ERA this season (4.33).
Pirates vs Orioles Prediction
Pittsburgh comes into this matchup after winning two out of three against the Reds and they scored eight runs in each of those two wins. The Pirates are starting Keller, who was dominant in his first start. Baltimore lost two out of three against the Rangers, but they have scored 5+ runs in three of their last four games. The Orioles are going with Bradish, who got the loss in his first start, but didn’t pitch too bad. I think this is a game that could go either way, but I really liked what I saw from Keller, so give me the Pirates here.