Pirates vs Phillies Prediction 6/7/25 MLB Picks Today

The Philadelphia Phillies and the Pittsburgh Pirates meet Saturday in MLB action from PNC Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Pirates vs Phillies Prediction.

Starting Pitching Matchup

The Philadelphia Phillies will send out Ranger Suarez for the start here, and Suarez is 4-0 with a 2.72 ERA and 33 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against the Pirates, Suarez is 4-0 with a 2.72 ERA and 33 strikeouts. Andrew Heaney will get the start for the Pirates and is 3-4 with a 3.39 ERA and 47 strikeouts this season. In his career, Heaney is 0-2 with a 6.08 ERA and 8 strikeouts against the Phillies.

Philadelphia Phillies Recap

The Philadelphia Phillies come into this game looking to bounce back from a 5-4 loss to drop to 37-26 on the year. After this series, the Phillies will head home for a series against the Chicago Cubs.

Phillies Lose Three Straight & 7 Of Last 8

Nick Castellanos has 67 hits with 15 doubles, including 6 home runs and 31 RBIs, while Kyle Schwarber has 59 hits with a team-high 19 home runs and 45 RBIs, but also has a team-high 68 strikeouts as well on the year. Bryce Harper has 8 stolen bases, 13 doubles, 9 home runs, and 34 RBIs. Trea Turner also has 74 hits with a team-high 16 stolen bases. Max Kepler has 12 doubles and Bryson Stott has 6 doubles, 2 triples, 4 homers, and 26 RBIs, while Stott also has 11 stolen bases this season.

Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win

• The Pirates have lost each of their last 13 day games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
• The Phillies have won six of their last seven day games against NL Central opponents following a road loss.
• The Pirates have failed to cover the run line each of their last eight day games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Phillies have covered the run line in six of their last seven road games against National League opponents.

Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts

• Trea Turner has hit at least one home run in four of the Phillies’ last eight games as road favorites.
• Ranger Suarez has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances.
• Ranger Suarez has recorded six or more strikeouts in five of his last six appearances against NL opponents.
• Trea Turner has scored at least one run in each of the Phillies’ last six games as road favorites.
• Nick Castellanos has recorded a Double in each of the Phillies’ last four games at PNC Park.
• Bryce Harper has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 16 appearances in day games against NL teams that held a losing record.
• Trea Turner has recorded at least one Single in 10 of the Phillies’ last 11 road games against NL Central opponents.
• Bryce Harper has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last six appearances with the Phillies as favorites against NL opponents.
• Trea Turner ranks 4th in the league in Hits (77) this season.

Pittsburgh Pirates Recap

The Pittsburgh Pirates come into this one looking to add on to their win over the Phillies to start the series on Friday to improve to 24-40 on the year. After this series, the Pirates will square off against the Miami Marlins in a series.

Pirates Alternate Wins & Losses In 9 Straight

Bryan Reynolds has 55 hits with 9 doubles, 7 home runs, and 34 RBIs while also leading the Pirates with 70 strikeouts so far this season. Oneil Cruz has posted a team-high 12 home runs and 28 RBIs with 22 stolen bases, while Isiah Kiner-Falefa has 53 hits with 9 stolen bases. Emmanuel Valdez also has a pair of triples this season. Tommy Pham has 4 doubles and Andrew McCutchen has 46 hits with 9 doubles, and KeBryan Hayes has 49 hits with 18 RBIs and 6 stolen bases.

Why the Pittsburgh Pirates will win

• The Phillies have lost each of their last six games as favorites after playing the previous day.
• The Pirates have won five of their last six games as home underdogs against the Phillies.
• The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games against National League opponents.
• The Pirates have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games as home underdogs against NL East opponents.

Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts

• Andrew McCutchen has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
• Bryan Reynolds has recorded at least one RBI in five of the Pirates’ last six games against NL opponents.
• Bryan Reynolds has scored at least one run in six of the Pirates’ last seven home games against the Phillies.
• Andrew Heaney has recorded four or more strikeouts in 21 of his last 25 appearances with his team as a home underdog.
• Isiah Kiner-Falefa has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances in day games.
• Bryan Reynolds has recorded at least one Single in each of the Pirates’ last seven games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
• Oneil Cruz ranks 1st in the league in Steals (22) this season.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Pirates’ last five day games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Four of the Phillies’ last five games as favorites have gone OVER the total runs line.

Pirates vs Phillies Prediction

I’m on the under in this one. I get the case to be made for either side here, but I think the Pirates struggle against Suarez, who has a 1.10 ERA in his starts since his rough season debut. On the other side, Andrew Heaney can be hit or miss, but he’s a lefty, and the Phillies have been brutal against lefties in the last couple of weeks. I think this ends up being a lower-scoring game, so give me the under here.