The Cincinnati Reds and Pittsburgh Pirates meet Saturday in MLB action at PNC Park. Here’s a Pirates vs Reds Prediction. This article will include a Pirates vs Reds Pick.
Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview
The Cincinnati Reds are 20-12 on the year and play the Astros and Cubs next. The Cincinnati Reds are batting. 217 on the season, have a .306 OBP, and have a .381 slugging percentage. The Cincinnati Reds pitching staff has a 4.19 ERA and a 1.45 WHIP. Elly De La Cruz leads the Cincinnati Reds with 35 hits and 25 RBI, while Sal Stewart and Spencer Steer have combined for 56 hits and 39 RBI.
Rhett Lowder gets the ball for the Cincinnati Reds, and he is 3-1 with a 3.18 ERA and 25 strikeouts this season. This will be Lowder’s second career game against the Pittsburgh Pirates.
Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Preview
The Pittsburgh Pirates are 17-16 on the year and play the Giants and Diamondbacks next. The Pittsburgh Pirates are batting .247 on the season and have a .331 OBP, and a .389 slugging percentage. The Pittsburgh Pirates’ pitching staff has a 3.73 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP. Nick Gonzales leads the Pittsburgh Pirates with 36 hits and 15 RBI, while Ryan O’Hearn and Oneil Cruz have combined for 68 hits and 47 RBI.
Carmen Mlodzinski gets the ball for the Pittsburgh Pirates, and he is 1-2 with a 4.13 ERA and 30 strikeouts this season. Mlodzinski is 0-2 with a 3.45 ERA and 11 strikeouts in his career against the Cincinnati Reds.
Why the Pittsburgh Pirates will win
- The Reds have lost each of their last six games at PNC Park against teams that held a winning record.
- The Pirates have won each of their last five day games against the Reds following a home win.
- The Reds have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games against the Pirates following a loss.
- The Pirates have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games against the Reds following a win.
- The Reds have lost the first inning in four of their last five games.
- The Reds have trailed after 3 innings in seven of their last eight games at PNC Park against opponents that held a winning record.
- The Reds have trailed after 5 innings in eight of their last nine games at PNC Park against opponents that held a winning record.
Why the Cincinnati Reds will win
- The Pirates have lost each of their last four games as favorites following a win.
- The Reds have won each of their last six games following a loss.
- The Reds have covered the run line each of their last 10 Saturday games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Pirates have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games following a home win.
- The Reds have led after 3 innings in four of their last five games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- The Reds have led after 5 innings in each of their last five Saturday day games against the Pirates.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Reds’ last seven games have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Seven of the Pirates’ last eight day games after playing the previous day have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Pirates’ last nine Saturday games against National League opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Reds’ last six games.
Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts
- Bryan Reynolds has hit a home run in four of the Pirates’ last five games as favorites against the Reds.
- Bryan Reynolds has recorded at least one hit in each of the Pirates’ last 10 games as favorites against the Reds.
- Nick Gonzales ranks T4th amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.333) this season.
Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts
- JJ Bleday has hit at least one home run in three of his last seven appearances with his team as a road underdog.
- TJ Friedl has recorded at least one hit in each of the Reds’ last 11 games as road underdogs against NL Central opponents.
- Elly De La Cruz ranks T6th in the league in Home Runs (10) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Pirates rank 1st in the league for strikeouts this season (309).
- The Pirates rank 1st in the league for home runs allowed this season (26).
- The Reds rank 30th in the league for hits this season (229).
- The Reds rank 30th in the league for batting average this season (.217).
Pirates vs Reds Prediction
The Pirates are having a rough week and I don’t believe Mlodzinski is the pitcher to right the ship. Through 28.1 innings, Mlodzinski has a 4.13 ERA and 1.45 WHIP and he’s walked 11. Lowder has been sharper with a 3.18 ERA and 1.18 WHIP through 34 innings. The Reds have also played the more consistent ball overall and need to take advantage of games like this to chip away in the standings. We’re getting plus money with the better team. Give me the Reds.