In this article, we will formulate a Pirates vs Reds Prediction for this MLB matchup on Tuesday, March 31st. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Cincinnati Reds Preview
The Cincinnati Reds have a 3-1 record this season and are sitting in the first place of the NL Central. They have a 3-1 home record and are coming off a 2-0 home win over the Pirates. Their previous three games were a 3-2 home win, a 6-5 home win, and a 3-0 home loss to the Red Sox.
The Reds have a .194 batting average this season, .295 OBP and .310 Slugging percentage. Cincinnati’s pitching staff has a 2.37 ERA and 1.32 WHIP. Sal Stewart is the team’s best hitter with a .667 batting average. Eugenio Suarez leads the team in RBI with 4, also adding a team-high one home run.
Brandon Williamson (L) is the projected starting pitcher for the Reds, and last season he had a 0-0 record, 3.77 ERA and 1.05 WHIP.
Pittsburgh Pirates Preview
The Pittsburgh Pirates have a 1-3 record this season and are sitting in the last place of the NL Central. They have a 1-3 road record and are coming off a 2-0 road loss to the Reds. Their previous three games were a 4-3 road win, a 4-2 road loss, and an 11-7 road loss to the Mets.
The Pirates have a .223 batting average this season, .307 OBP and .338 Slugging percentage. Pittsburgh’s pitching staff has a 4.25 ERA and 1.42 WHIP. Ryan O’Hearn is the team’s best hitter with a .438 batting average. Brandon Lowe leads the team in RBI with 4, also adding a team-high three home runs.
Bubba Chandler (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Pirates, and last season he had a 4.02 ERA and 0.93 WHIP.
Pittsburgh Pirates @ Cincinnati Reds Betting Trends: March 31, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Brandon Williamson Record this season: – ERA: –
- Home Record: –
- Last 5 against Pirates: 0-0
Why the Cincinnati Reds will win
- The Pirates have lost eight of their last 10 games as road favorites against National League opponents.
- The Reds have won four of their last five games as home underdogs.
- The Pirates have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games as road favorites against NL Central opponents following a loss.
- The Reds have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games as home underdogs against the Pirates following a win.
- The Reds have won the first inning in five of their last six games as home underdogs against NL Central opponents.
- The Reds have led after 3 innings in 11 of their last 14 games as home underdogs against NL Central opponents.
- The Pirates have trailed after 5 innings in 12 of their last 16 games at Great American Ball Park against opponents that held a winning record.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Bubba Chandler Record this season: – ERA: –
- Road Record: –
- Last 5 against Reds: –
Why the Pittsburgh Pirates will win
- The Reds have lost each of their last seven Tuesday games against National League opponents that held a losing record.
- The Pirates have won four of their last five night games against National League opponents.
- The Pirates have covered the run line in each of their last 10 Tuesday games against the Reds.
- The Reds have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 11 night games against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
- The Reds have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last three games as underdogs against National League opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Seven of the Pirates’ last eight night games against NL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Five of the last six games between the Pirates and Reds at Great American Ball Park have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Reds’ last nine games against NL Central opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Pirates’ last nine games as road favorites against NL Central opponents.
Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts
- Spencer Steer has hit at least one home run in each of the Reds’ last two games as home underdogs against NL Central opponents.
- Elly De La Cruz has recorded at least one hit in each of the Reds’ last 10 games as underdogs against NL Central opponents.
- Sal Stewart ranks T2nd in the league in Hits (8) this season.
Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts
- Brandon Lowe has hit a home run in four of his last six appearances after playing the previous day.
- Brandon Lowe has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 road appearances against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- Brandon Lowe ranks T2nd in the league in Home Runs (3) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Reds rank T3rd in the league for triples this season (1).
- The Reds rank 3rd in the league for runs allowed this season (10).
- The Pirates rank T26th in the league for walks allowed this season (21).
- The Pirates rank T24th in the league for steals this season (1).
Pirates vs Reds Prediction
Both teams are tied 4-4 in their last 8 meetings and are 2-2 in their last four meetings in Cincinnati. Under is 7-2-1 in their last 10 meetings.
In this Pirates vs Reds Prediction, the Pirates are coming as -115 road favorites. The Reds have now won three straight games, while the Pirates have won only once this season. The Pirates were the second-worse team against left-handed pitching last season and also have a weaker bullpen than the Reds and I certainly don’t trust Bubba Chandler to lead them to a road victory. The Reds’ bats might have been struggling but they allow just 2.5 runs per game, so take them on the moneyline at home in this one.