In this article, we will formulate a Pirates vs Tigers Prediction for this MLB matchup on Sunday, September 27th in the final game of the regular season. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Detroit Tigers Preview
The Detroit Tigers have a 76-85 record this season and are sitting in the 4th place of the AL Central. They have a 42-38 home record and are coming off a 4-3 home win against the Pirates.
The Detroit Tigers have a .242 batting average this season, .321 OBP and .401 Slugging percentage. Detroit’s pitching staff has a 3.66 ERA and 1.22 WHIP. Riley Greene is the team’s best hitter with a .282 batting average. Dillon Dingler leads the team in RBI with 91, adding a team-high 27 home runs.
River Ryan (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Tigers, and he has a 0-0 record, 0.00 ERA and 1.00 WHIP.
Pittsburgh Pirates Preview
The Pittsburgh Pirates have a 81-80 record this season and are sitting in the 3rd place of the NL Central. They have a 37-43 away record and are coming off a 3-4 road loss against the Tigers.
The Pittsburgh Pirates have a .253 batting average this season, .330 OBP and .404 Slugging percentage. Pittsburgh’s pitching staff has a 4.17 ERA and 1.30 WHIP. Nick Gonzales is the team’s best hitter with a .302 batting average. Brandon Lowe leads the team in RBI with 96, adding a team-high 35 home runs.
Jared Jones (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Pirates, and he has a 5-6 record, 3.87 ERA and 1.12 WHIP.
Pittsburgh Pirates @ Detroit Tigers Betting Trends: September 27, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: River Ryan Record this season: 0-0 ERA: 0.00
- Home Record: 0-0
- Last 5 against Pirates: 0-0
Why the Detroit Tigers will win
- The home team has won eight of the Pirates’ last nine games.
- The Pirates have lost seven of their last eight road games against AL Central opponents that held a losing record.
- The Pirates have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games as favorites after playing the previous day.
- The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the Pirates’ last four games.
- The Tigers have won the first inning in three of their last four day games against NL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- The Pirates have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four games as road favorites against AL opponents.
- The Pirates have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five road games.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Jared Jones Record this season: 5-6 ERA: 3.87
- Road Record: 3-3
- Last 5 against Tigers: 0-1
Why the Pittsburgh Pirates will win
- The Pirates have won each of their last nine games as favorites against AL Central opponents.
- The Tigers have lost 14 of their last 15 games as underdogs against NL opponents following a win.
- The Tigers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games as underdogs against NL opponents following a win.
- The Pirates have covered the run line in each of their last six road games against AL Central opponents.
- The Pirates have led after 5 innings in seven of their last eight road games against AL Central opponents.
- The Tigers have lost the first inning in three of their last four games as underdogs.
- The Tigers have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four games as underdogs.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Tigers’ last seven games as home underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Each of the Pirates’ last four games as favorites have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in 12 of the Pirates’ last 13 road games against AL Central opponents.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in 10 of the Tigers’ last 11 games as home underdogs.
Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts
- Spencer Torkelson has hit a home run in three of the Tigers’ last four home games against NL Central opponents.
- River Ryan has recorded three or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances.
- Riley Greene has recorded at least one hit in each of the Tigers’ last nine games as underdogs.
Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts
- Brandon Lowe has hit a home run in three of the Pirates’ last four games as favorites against AL Central opponents.
- Jared Jones has recorded six or more strikeouts in each of his last five appearances.
- Nick Gonzales has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 road appearances against AL opponents.
- Jared Jones has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances.
- Nick Gonzales is one of only five players to hit over .300 and have 45+ RBIs this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Tigers rank 29th in the league for steals this season (57).
- The Tigers rank 4th in the league for triples this season (34).
- The Pirates rank T2nd in the league for hits this season (1397).
- The Pirates rank 2nd in the league for home runs allowed this season (153).
Pirates vs Tigers Prediction
The Pirates are 6-3 in their last 9 meetings against the Tigers and have won their last two visits in Detroit, both in this series.
In this Pirates vs Tigers Prediction, the Pirates are coming as -130 road favorites. Both teams have nothing to play for and I like the Pirates in this one with Jared Jones, who has been in excellent form, with three shutouts in his last four starts. On top of that, the Pirates have both a better offense and a better bullpen in their last 10 games and will face River Ryan, who will play his fifth MLB game of his career. Take the Pirates to win.