The Detroit Tigers and the Pittsburgh Pirates meet Monday in MLB action from PNC Park. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Pirates vs Tigers Prediction.
Starting Pitching Matchup
The Detroit Tigers will send out Jack Flaherty for the start here, and Flaherty is 5-9 with a 4.65 ERA and 124 strikeouts this season. In his last five starts against the Pirates, Flaherty is 2-0 with a 4.32 ERA and 25 strikeouts. Paul Skenes will get the start for the Pirates here, and Skenes is 4-8 with a 2.01 ERA and 131 strikeouts this season. In his career, Skenes is 1-0 with a 3.00 ERA and 18 strikeouts against the Tigers.
Detroit Tigers Recap
The Detroit Tigers come into this game looking to build on their 2-1 win over the Texas Rangers from Sunday’s series finale to improve to 60-40 on the year. After this series, the Tigers will head home for a series against the Toronto Blue Jays.
Tigers Snap Six-Game Losing Streak
Spencer Torkelson has 78 hits along with a .233 batting average, including a team-high 21 home runs, 20 doubles, and 59 RBIs. Kerry Carpenter also has 16 home runs and 32 RBIs, while Riley Greene has 106 hits with 21 doubles, 25 home runs, and 79 RBIs but also has a team-high 129 strikeouts this season. Dillon Dingler has 8 home runs and 36 RBIs, and Zack McKinstry’s added 14 doubles, 8 triples, 8 home runs, and 32 RBIs of his own, along with 83 hits this season. Javier Baez has added 75 hits and 13 doubles as well as 10 home runs and 39 RBIs this season.
Why the Detroit Tigers will win
- The Pirates have lost each of their last eight night games against American League opponents.
- The underdogs have won each of the Pirates’ last four games.
- The Pirates have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 10 home games against AL Central opponents.
- The underdogs have covered the run line in eight of the Pirates’ last nine games at PNC Park.
Detroit Tigers Player Prop Facts
- Jack Flaherty has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances.
- Javier Baez has recorded a hit in each of his last eight appearances with the Tigers as underdogs.
- Gleyber Torres has recorded at least one Double in four of his last five appearances against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
- Kerry Carpenter has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
- Gleyber Torres ranks 5th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.390) this season.
Pittsburgh Pirates Recap
The Pittsburgh Pirates come into this game looking to bounce back from their 7-2 loss at the hands of the Chicago White Sox in Sunday’s series finale to drop to 39-61 this season. After this series, the Pirates will welcome the Arizona Diamondbacks to town.
Pirates Lose Three Straight & 9 Of Their Last 10
Bryan Reynolds has 84 hits with 19 doubles, 10 home runs, and 46 RBIs while also posting 109 strikeouts so far this season. Oneil Cruz has posted a team-high 16 home runs and 39 RBIs with 30 stolen bases, while Isiah Kiner-Falefa has 79 hits with 12 doubles and 12 stolen bases. Cruz also has a team-high 121 strikeouts this season. Tommy Pham has 8 doubles and Andrew McCutchen has 80 hits with 15 doubles, and KeBryan Hayes has 80 hits with 33 RBIs and 10 stolen bases.
Why the Pittsburgh Pirates will win
- The Pirates have won each of their last nine home games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Tigers have lost six of their last seven games.
- The Tigers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games.
- The favorites have covered the run line in eight of the last nine games between the Tigers and Pirates.
Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts
- Andrew McCutchen has hit a home run in each of the Pirates’ last two games as favorites against the Tigers.
- Bryan Reynolds has recorded at least one hit in each of the Pirates’ last 16 home games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- Bryan Reynolds has recorded a Double in three of the Pirates’ last four games against AL opponents.
- Paul Skenes ranks 1st amongst qualified players for Earned Run Average (2.01) this season.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Tigers’ last nine games against National League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Seven of the last eight games between the Tigers and Pirates have gone OVER the total runs line.
Pirates vs Tigers Prediction
I’m siding with the under here. I get the case to be made for either side here, but Paul Skenes has been lights out for much of the season. The thing is the lack of run support he normally gets. While I’m not normally a fan of Jack Flaherty, I think he can be decent enough here to help the Tigers be competitive, and I think we have a low-scoring battle on here. Give me the under.