The Miami Marlins and the Pittsburgh Pirates meet Monday in MLB action from PNC Park. Here’s a Pittsburgh Pirates vs Miami Marlins prediction. This will be the first installment in a three-game series. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best Pirates vs Marlins pick.
Miami Marlins Betting Preview
Miami took on the Philadelphia Phillies over the weekend. The Marlins lost the first two games before a 9-5 win on Saturday. In the finale, Miami scored seven runs in the third inning on the way to a 10-1 victory.
As a starter for Monday’s game, the Marlins will go with Valente Bellozo. This year over the first nine starts of his career Bellozo is 2-2 with a 3.78 ERA.
Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Preview
Over on the Pirates’ side, they played the Washington Nationals in their last set. Pittsburgh won Thursday then fell in the Saturday games 5-3 and 8-6. On Sunday the Pirates bagged a 7-3 win. Pittsburgh notched 12 team hits and scored four in the first inning alone.
In the starter slot Monday Pittsburgh will send out Paul Skenes. So far Skenes is 9-2 with a 2.13 ERA in the first 19 starts of his career. The Pirates will meet the Royals after this series.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Marlins’ last 10 night games against NL Central opponents has gone OVER the total runs line.
- Eight of the Pirates’ last nine night games against National League opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Marlins’ last four games.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Pirates’ last three night games.
Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts
- Andrew McCutchen has recorded at least one RBI in seven of his last eight appearances in night games.
- Oneil Cruz has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 11 appearances at PNC Park.
- Yasmani Grandal has scored a run in each of his last seven home appearances.
- Andrew McCutchen has hit a home run in each of his last two home appearances after playing the previous day.
- Oneil Cruz has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 home appearances.
- Bryan Reynolds has recorded at least one Single in seven of the Pirates’ last eight night games against NL East opponents that held a losing record.
- Oneil Cruz has recorded a Double in four of the Pirates’ last five night games against opponents that held a losing record.
Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts
- Jake Burger has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Marlins’ last four games against the Pirates.
- Jake Burger has scored at least one run in four of the Marlins’ last five road games against NL Central opponents.
- Jake Burger has hit at least one home run in two of his last three road appearances against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
- Jesus Sanchez has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 12 road appearances against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
- Jesus Sanchez has recorded a hit in each of his last 12 road appearances against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
- Jesus Sanchez has recorded at least one Single in seven of the Marlins’ last eight games.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs Miami Marlins Prediction
I’ll lean toward the Pirates. The line’s too thick to mess with realistically, though. Skenes has been rolling right along lately. He’s given up just two earned runs over his last three starts in a combined 16.0 innings, going 2-0 in the process. As for Bellozo, he’s coming off a nice effort versus the Nats with 6.0 clean frames. Bellozo had 11 earned over 8.2 innings prior to that, however.
On Sunday the Pirates got a nice start from Jared Jones (7.0 innings; two earned) to kick things off well in the eventual victory. The offense was in great form as well; everyone had at least one hit or an RBI. I like Skenes to get another good start in the books on the way to another Pirates win.