In this article we will formulate a Pittsburgh Pirates vs NY Mets prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, July 7th at PNC Park in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game three in the series.
Pirates Looking to Continue Trend
The Pittsburgh Pirates are 42-46 this year and they have alternated wins and losses over their last seven games. If that trend continues here, the Pirates would be due for a win. Pittsburgh won the first game in this series by a score of 14-2, but they lost on Saturday. Prior to this series, the Pirates lost two out of three against the Cardinals, lost two out of three against the Braves, and won two out of three against the Reds. Pittsburgh is 5-7 in their last 12 games and they are third in the NL Central.
The Pittsburgh pitching staff has a 3.93 ERA, a 1.28 WHIP, and a .247 opponent batting average. The Pirates offense has scored 360 runs with a .230 batting average and a .299 on base percentage. Oneil Cruz is batting .244 with 13 home runs and 39 RBI’s for the Pirates this season. Pittsburgh has scored at least four runs in seven of their last eleven games.
Mets Try to Get Back to .500
The New York Mets are 43-44 this season and they have lost three of their last four games. New York allowed 14 runs in their game one loss, but they bounced back with a win on Saturday by a score of 5-2. Prior to this series, the Mets split four games with the Nationals, lost two out of three against the Astros, and won both games against the Yankees. New York is 3-5 in their last eight games and they are third in the NL East.
The New York pitching staff has a 4.23 ERA, a 1.32 WHIP, and a .238 opponent batting average. The Mets offense has scored 421 runs with a .247 batting average and a .318 on base percentage. Pete Alonso is batting .243 with 18 home runs and 48 RBI’s for the Mets this season. New York has scored at least five runs in 10 of their last 12 games.
Starting Pitchers
The projected starting pitcher for Pittsburgh is Luis Ortiz, who is 4-2 with a 3.27 ERA and a 1.24 WHIP over 55.0 innings pitched this year. Ortiz has allowed one earned run or fewer in four of his last five appearances. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Sean Manaea, who is 5-3 with a 3.67 ERA and a 1.27 WHIP over 83.1 innings pitched this year. Manaea has allowed one earned run or fewer in three of his last four starts.
Why the Pirates will beat the Mets
- The Mets have lost each of their last eight day games against NL Central opponents following a road win.
- The Pirates have won each of their last seven games at PNC Park following a loss.
- The Mets have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 day games against NL Central opponents following a road win.
- The Pirates have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games as underdogs against National League opponents following a loss.
Why the Mets will beat the Pirates
- The favorites have won 16 of the last 17 games between the Mets and Pirates.
- The Pirates have lost three of their last four day games against National League opponents.
- The favorites have covered the run line in each of the last six games between the Mets and Pirates.
- The Pirates have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 day games following a home loss.
- The Mets have led after 3 innings in each of their last four games at PNC Park against NL Central opponents that held a losing record.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Pirates’ last 10 day games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Six of the Mets’ last seven games as favorites against NL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Mets’ last eight games.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Pirates’ last seven home games against National League opponents.
Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts
- Oneil Cruz has hit a home run in each of the Pirates’ last two games as underdogs against NL East opponents.
- Bryan Reynolds has recorded two or more hits in each of the Pirates’ last three home games against opponents that held a losing record.
- Bryan Reynolds has recorded at least one RBI in five of the Pirates’ last six home games against opponents that held a losing record.
- Oneil Cruz has scored at least one run in each of his last five appearances in day games against NL East teams that held a losing record.
- Bryan Reynolds has recorded two or more total bases in each of the Pirates’ last seven home games against NL opponents that held a losing record.
- Bryan Reynolds has recorded at least one Single in each of the Pirates’ last seven games against opponents that held a losing record.
New York Mets Player Prop Facts
- Sean Manaea has recorded six or more strikeouts in three of his last four appearances in day games.
- Brandon Nimmo has scored at least one run in each of the Mets’ last eight Sunday games.
- Jose Iglesias has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances at PNC Park.
- Jose Iglesias has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 10 appearances at PNC Park.
- Tyrone Taylor has recorded a Double in four of his last five appearances with his team as a road favorite against NL Central opponents.
- Starling Marte has hit a home run in three of his last five appearances at PNC Park against NL opponents that held a losing record.
- Jose Iglesias has recorded at least one RBI in each of his last four appearances with his team as a road favorite against the Pirates.
- Jose Iglesias has recorded at least one Single in nine of his last 10 appearances at PNC Park.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs NY Mets Prediction
New York was able to snap their small losing streak with a win on Saturday afternoon and they are 22-19 on the road this season. The Pirates are just 21-23 at home this year and while their pitching staff has been decent, the offensive support is just not there. Pittsburgh is going with Luis Ortiz in this game, who has actually been pretty decent for them. The Mets are going with Sean Manaea, who has had some strong starts recently. This is a pretty solid pitching matchup and I think we are going to see a lower scoring game. My Pittsburgh Pirates vs NY Mets prediction is for this game to go under the total.