In this article we will formulate a Pittsburgh Pirates vs San Diego Padres prediction for this MLB game on Thursday, August 8th at PNC Park in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania. Let’s take a look at the prediction for game three in the series.
Pittsburgh Pirates Betting Preview
The Pittsburgh Pirates are 56-57 this season and they have lost three games in a row. Pittsburgh has lost the first two games in this series and they have allowed 15 runs in the two games. Prior to this series, the Pirates lost two out of three against the Diamondbacks, won two out of three against the Astros, and lost two out of three against the Diamondbacks. Pittsburgh is 1-5 in their last six games and they are third in the NL Central.
The Pittsburgh pitching staff has a 3.87 ERA, a 1.29 WHIP, and a .248 opponent batting average. The Pirates offense has scored 476 runs with a .233 batting average and a .302 on base percentage. Bryan Reynolds is batting .288 with 19 home runs and 68 RBI’s for the Pirates this season.
San Diego Padres Betting Preview
The San Diego Padres are 63-52 this year and they have won four games in a row. San Diego has won the first two games in this series by scores of 6-0 and 9-8. Prior to this series, the Padres won two out of three against the Rockies, won both games against the Dodgers, and won two out of three against the Orioles. San Diego is 13-2 in their last 15 games and they are second in the AL West.
The San Diego pitching staff has a 3.97 ERA, a 1.23 WHIP, and a .240 opponent batting average. The Padres offense has scored 541 runs with a .265 batting average and a .326 on base percentage. Manny Machado is batting .271 with 17 home runs and 62 RBI’s for the Padres this season.
Starting Pitchers
The projected starting pitcher for Pittsburgh is Luis Ortiz, who is 5-2 with a 3.21 ERA and a 1.18 WHIP over 84.0 innings pitched this year. Ortiz has allowed nine earned runs in his last two starts (10.1 IP). The projected starting pitcher for San Diego is Randy Vasquez, who is 3-6 with a 4.62 ERA and a 1.53 WHIP over 76.0 innings pitched this season. Vasquez has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five starts.
Why the Pirates will beat the Padres
- The Pirates have won each of their last four day games following a loss.
- The Padres have lost five of their last six day games against the Pirates following a win.
- The Pirates have covered the run line in each of their last five games after playing the previous day after going to extra innings.
- The Padres have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four road games following an extra innings win.
Why the Padres will beat the Pirates
- The Padres have won each of their last seven games against National League opponents following a road win.
- The Pirates have lost five of their last six games.
- The Padres have covered the run line each of their last five road games against teams that held a losing record.
- The Pirates have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight day games against NL West opponents following a home loss.
- The Padres have led after 5 innings in each of their last five road games against National League opponents.
- The Padres have led after 3 innings in each of their last four day games against National League opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Seven of the Padres’ last eight games against NL Central opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Twelve of the Pirates’ last 15 day games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last four day games between the Padres and Pirates.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Padres’ last three day games.
Pittsburgh Pirates Player Prop Facts
- Jared Triolo has recorded a Double in three of his last four appearances after playing the previous day.
- Rowdy Tellez has recorded at least one total base in each of his last eight appearances against the Padres.
- Yasmani Grandal has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances after playing the previous day.
- Jared Triolo has scored at least one run in each of his last four appearances after playing the previous day.
- Rowdy Tellez has recorded at least one hit in each of his last eight appearances against the Padres.
- Jack Suwinski has recorded at least one RBI in four of his last five appearances in day games against NL West teams that held a winning record.
- Andrew McCutchen has recorded at least one Single in each of his last six home appearances against the Padres.
San Diego Padres Player Prop Facts
- Xander Bogaerts has recorded at least one RBI in each of the Padres’ last five road games.
- Xander Bogaerts has recorded at least one Single in each of his last eight appearances against the Pirates after playing the previous day.
- Manny Machado has recorded a Double in five of the Padres’ last six games against opponents that held a losing record.
- Xander Bogaerts has recorded at least one total base in each of his last 11 appearances against the Pirates.
- Jurickson Profar has hit a home run in three of the Padres’ last four road games against opponents that held a losing record.
- Xander Bogaerts has scored at least one run in seven of the Padres’ last eight road games.
- Xander Bogaerts has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances against the Pirates.
Pittsburgh Pirates vs San Diego Padres Prediction
San Diego comes into this game looking for their fifth win in a row and they are the hottest team in baseball right now. The Padres are 33-23 on the road this season, while the Pirates are 27-30 at home. Pittsburgh is trying to avoid their fourth straight loss and they are starting to fall behind the Cardinals for second in the division. Pittsburgh is starting Luis Ortiz, who has been mostly good this year, but has had some recent struggles. San Diego is going with Randy Vasquez, who has been very sharp over the last few weeks. This should be a very solid pitching matchup and I think runs are going to be at a premium, so my Pittsburgh Pirates vs San Diego Padres prediction is for this game to go under the total.