The Texas Rangers are visiting the Houston Astros on Sunday, July 13th at the Daikin Park in the third game of this series, with both teams being tied 1-1 wins. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Rangers vs Astros Prediction. We will examine:
The Houston Astros’ recent form and player performance
The Texas Rangers’ recent form and player performance
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Houston Astros
Recent betting trends and streaks involving the Texas Rangers
Recent betting trends in games played between the Texas Rangers vs Houston Astros
A summary that ties it all together and produces a favorable betting outcome for the Texas Rangers vs Houston Astros game
Houston Astros Preview
The Houston Astros have a 56-39 record this season and are sitting in first place in the AL West. The Astros have a 33-18 home record and 42-50 in over/under. They are coming off a 5-4 home victory over the Rangers, which snapped their previous four-game losing streak. Over is 7-2 in their last 9 games, and they are playing the Diamondbacks and the Mariners next.
The Astros have a .259 batting average this season, a .324 OBP, and a .411 slugging percentage. Houston’s pitching staff has a 3.59 ERA and 1.16 WHIP. Jeremy Pena leads the Astros with 102 hits, and he is the team’s best hitter, with a .322 batting average. Jose Altuve leads the team in RBI with 52, while Isaac Paredes adds a team-high 19 home runs.
Hunter Brown (R) is the projected starter for the Astros, and he has a 9-3 record, 2.21 ERA, and 0.94 WHIP.
Texas Rangers Preview
The Texas Rangers have a 47-49 record this season and are sitting in 4th place in the AL West. The Rangers have a 21-30 road record and are 38-56 in over/under. They are coming off a 4-5 road defeat by the Astros, which ended their previous two-game winning streak. Over is 7-1 in their last 8 games, and they are playing the Athletics and the Tigers next.
The Rangers have a .232 batting average this season, a .300 OBP, and a .374 slugging percentage. Texas’s pitching staff has a 3.31 ERA and 1.17 WHIP. Josh Smith leads the Rangers with 84 hits, and he is the team’s best hitter with a .282 batting average. Adolis Garcia leads the team in RBI, with 55.
Nathan Eovaldi (R) is the projected starter for the Rangers, and he has a 6-3 record, 1.62 ERA, and 0.85 WHIP.
Why the Houston Astros will win
- The Astros have won each of their last six day games against AL West opponents.
- The Rangers have lost eight of their last nine day games against the Astros following a road loss.
- The Astros have covered the run line in each of their last nine day games against the Rangers at Daikin Park following a win.
- The Rangers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven day games against AL West opponents following a road loss.
- The Astros have led after 5 innings in six of their last eight day games against AL West opponents that held a losing record.
- The Astros have led after 3 innings in six of their last eight day games against AL West opponents that held a losing record.
Why the Texas Rangers will win
- The underdogs have won eight of the Astros’ last nine games.
- The Astros have lost each of their last five games as home favorites after going to extra innings.
- The Astros have failed to cover the run line each of their last nine games against American League opponents that held a losing record.
- The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the Astros’ last nine games.
- The Rangers have led after 3 innings in each of their last eight road day games.
- The Rangers have won the first inning in six of their last eight games.
- The Rangers have led after 5 innings in each of their last five day games against opponents that held a winning record.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Rangers’ last seven games against AL West opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Seven of the Astros’ last eight games against AL West opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Rangers’ last eight games as road underdogs against AL West opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 10 of the last 11 games between the Rangers and Astros at Daikin Park.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Astros rank 1st in the league for strikeouts this season (920).
- The Astros rank 2nd in the league for batting average this season (.259).
- The Rangers rank 1st in the league for ERA this season (3.31).
- The Rangers rank 1st in the league for runs allowed this season (345).
Rangers vs Astros Prediction
The Astros are 5-3 in their last 8 meetings against the Rangers, and both teams are tied 3-3 in their 6 meetings this season. Under is 7-4 in their last 11 meetings.
In this Rangers vs Astros Prediction, the Astros are coming as -135 home favorites. Houston is rightfully favored, as they have a better overall record and have been very strong at home, while Texas is struggling on the road. Both pitchers have been elite this season, with a combined 3.83 ERA and sub-1.00 WHIP, and in their previous start against the other team this season, they had zero and one earned runs, and both teams also have top-4 bullpens. I expect runs to be at a premium in this game, so take the under 7 in this one.