
Rangers vs Rays Prediction 4/4/25 MLB Picks Today
Tampa Bay Rays (4-2) vs. Texas Rangers (5-2)
April 4, 2025 8:05 pm EDT
The Line: Texas Rangers -125 / Tampa Bay Rays 105; Over/Under: 8.5
(Get latest betting odds)
In this article, we will formulate a Rangers vs Rays prediction for this MLB game on Friday, April 4, at Globe Life Field in Arlington, Texas. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Tampa Bay Rays Betting Preview
The Tampa Bay Rays (4-2, 0-0 Away) beat the Colorado Rockies and Pittsburgh Pirates in the opening two series of the season, dropping a game in each series in the process. After securing three straight wins, the Rays fell to the Pirates 4-2. Ryan Pepiot took a loss after allowing two runs on five hits with three strikeouts and three walks in 5.0 innings.
This season, the Rays average 4.17 runs per game (12th in the MLB) on a .269/.342/.378 slash line. Regarding pitching, the Rays’ staff has a 2.00 ERA (3rd) and 0.90 WHIP (4th). Brandon Lowe leads the Rays with a .292 batting average, two home runs, and six RBI this season.
The projected starting pitcher for the Rays is Zack Littell, who had an 8-10 record in 29 starts last season with a 3.63 ERA and 1.25 WHIP over 156.1 innings of work. Littell is 0-1 this season with a 1.50 ERA in 6.0 innings.
Texas Rangers Betting Preview
The Texas Rangers (5-2, 3-1 Home) lost the opening game of the season to the Boston Red Sox but then responded with three straight wins to clinch the series. Following a massive 14-3 loss to the Cincinnati Reds, the Rangers secured a couple of 1-0 victories to win that series as well. In the latest 1-0 win, Jack Leiter got a win after allowing no runs on one hit with six strikeouts and no walks over 5.0 innings of work.
This year, the Rangers average 2.57 runs per game (27th in the MLB) on a .192/.256/.327 triple-slash. When it comes to pitching, the Rangers’ staff has a 2.90 ERA (8th) and 1.08 WHIP (8th). Adolis Garcia leads the Rangers with a .227 batting average, two home runs, and four RBI this season.
Tyler Mahle will take the mound for the Rangers on Friday. The 30-year-old righty had a 0-1 record last season in three starts with a 4.97 ERA and 1.42 WHIP in 12.2 innings. This season, Mahle is 0-0 with a 5.40 ERA in 1.2 innings.
Why the Rangers will beat the Rays
- The Rays have lost each of their last six games at Globe Life Field.
- The Rangers have won 10 of their last 11 games against the Rays.
- The Rays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five night games at Globe Life Field following a loss.
- The Rangers have covered the run line in five of their last six night games against AL East opponents.
- The Rangers have led after 3 innings in four of their last five games against the Rays at Globe Life Field.
- The Rangers have led after 5 innings in five of their last six games.
Total Runs Facts
- Twelve of the Rays’ last 13 games against AL West opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Each of the Rangers’ last six home games against AL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Rays’ last eight night games against American League opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in five of the Rangers’ last six games against AL East opponents.
Rangers vs Rays Prediction
The Rangers won nine of the previous ten H2H encounters, including the last four. I am aware that Mahle has spent a lot of time sidelined in recent years and that he is out of form, but he should do fine in the opening few innings. Littell had a disastrous start against the Rangers last year, as he registered a 15.75 ERA in 4.0 innings. Against the Rangers’ batters, Littell has a .343 BA in 35-at-bats. Texas has been excellent defensively in the last two games, and I am backing the hosts to keep it that way on Friday and get a W.