In this article we will formulate a Rangers vs Reds prediction for this MLB game on Friday, April 3rd at Globe Life Field in Arlington, Texas. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Texas Rangers Betting Preview
The Texas Rangers are 4-2 this season after they won two out of three against the Orioles by scores of 5-2, 8-5, and 3-8. In their game three loss, Texas cut the deficit to 4-2 in the fourth inning, but they allowed the next four runs to seal the loss. The Rangers recorded eight hits in the game and they were led by Seager, who went 1-4 with one home run and one RBI. Eovaldi allowed eight hits and six earned runs over 4.0 innings for the loss, while Alexander and Baumier both allowed one earned run in relief.
This season, Texas has a 3.91 ERA with a 1.25 WHIP and a .230 opponent batting average, while they have scored 32 runs with a .256 batting average and a .313 on base percentage. Corey Seager has led the Rangers with three home runs and five RBIs, while Jake Burger has added two home runs and six RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Texas is MacKenzie Gore, who is 1-0 with a 3.38 ERA and a 0.94 WHIP over 5.1 innings pitched this season.
Cincinnati Reds Betting Preview
The Cincinnati Reds are 3-3 this year after they lost two out of three against the Pirates by scores of 2-0, 3-8, and 3-8. In their game three loss, Cincinnati cut the deficit to 4-3 in the sixth inning, but they allowed four runs in the ninth, which put the game away. The Reds recorded five hits in the game and they were led by Suarez, who went 1-2 with one home run and two RBIs. Abbott allowed five hits and four earned runs over 5.2 innings for the loss, while Pagan allowed four earned runs in the ninth.
This season, Cincinnati has a 4.18 ERA with a 1.34 WHIP and a .233 opponent batting average, while they have scored 17 runs with a .187 batting average and a .298 on base percentage. Eugenio Suarez has led the Reds with two home runs and six RBIs, while Sal Stewart has added two home runs and three RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Cincinnati is Brady Singer, who is 0-0 with a 6.75 ERA and a 1.75 WHIP over 4.0 innings pitched this year.
Why the Texas Rangers will win
- The Rangers have won each of their last five home games against NL Central opponents following a loss.
- The Reds have lost each of their last four road games against American League opponents.
- The Reds have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight day games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Rangers have covered the run line in each of their last four home games against NL Central opponents.
- The Rangers have led after 3 innings in each of their last four day games against NL Central opponents.
- The Rangers have led after 5 innings in each of their last four home games against NL Central opponents.
Why the Cincinnati Reds will win
- The underdogs have won 10 of the Rangers’ last 11 games at Globe Life Field.
- The Rangers have lost each of their last five games as favorites against National League opponents.
- The Reds have covered the run line in each of their last 10 games as underdogs against the Rangers.
- The Rangers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last eight home games against National League opponents following a loss.
- The Rangers have trailed after 3 innings in five of their last six home openers as favorites.
- The Reds have led after 5 innings in four of their last five day games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Rangers’ last five home games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Five of the Reds’ last six games as underdogs against AL West opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Rangers’ last four games as favorites against NL Central opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 12 of the Reds’ last 16 games.
Texas Rangers Player Prop Facts
- Corey Seager has hit a home run in each of his last three appearances with the Rangers as favorites.
- MacKenzie Gore has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last five appearances against NL Central opponents.
- Jake Burger has recorded at least one hit in each of his eight previous appearances with his team as a home favorite against NL Central opponents.
- Corey Seager ranks T3rd in the league in Home Runs (3) this season.
Cincinnati Reds Player Prop Facts
- Elly De La Cruz has hit a home run in each of the Reds’ last four road games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
- Brady Singer has recorded six or more strikeouts in six of his last seven appearances against AL West opponents that held a winning record.
- Elly De La Cruz has recorded at least one hit in each of the Reds’ last 11 road games against AL opponents that held a winning record.
- Sal Stewart ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.615) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Rangers rank T4th in the league for home runs this season (9).
- The Rangers rank T4th in the league for triples this season (1).
- The Reds rank 29th in the league for hits this season (36).
- The Reds rank 29th in the league for batting average this season (.187).
Rangers vs Reds Prediction
Texas had their four game winning streak snapped in their last game against Baltimore, but they will have their home opener here. The Rangers have scored at least five runs in four of their last five games and they are facing Singer, who did not pitch well in his first start. Cincinnati has dropped two in a row and they are one of the lowest scoring teams in the MLB. The Reds have scored three runs or fewer in four straight games and they are facing Gore, who got the win in his first outing. I don’t trust this Cincinnati offense, so give me the Rangers -1.5 here.