In this article we will formulate a Rays vs Brewers prediction for this MLB game on Monday, October 26th at Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, Florida. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this World Series matchup.
Tampa Bay Rays Betting Preview
The Tampa Bay Rays are down 2-0 in this series after they lost the first two games by scores of 2-3 and 4-5. In game two, Tampa Bay led 4-0 in the first inning, but they were shutout over the last eight innings in the devastating loss. The Rays recorded seven hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Hicks, who went 1-2 with one home run and two RBIs. Rasmussen allowed six hits and three earned runs over 3.2 innings, while Wells picked up the loss in relief. Prior to this series, Tampa Bay defeated the Guardians in six games and swept the Yankees in three games.
This season, Tampa Bay had a 3.70 ERA with a 1.14 WHIP and a .229 opponent batting average, while they scored 736 runs with a .258 batting average and a .326 on base percentage. Jonathan Aranda led the Rays with 22 home runs and 92 RBIs, while Junior Caminero added 42 home runs and 101 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Tampa Bay is Freddy Peralta, who is 2-0 with a 1.08 ERA and a 1.14 WHIP over 16.2 innings pitched this postseason.
Milwaukee Brewers Betting Preview
The Milwaukee Brewers are up 2-0 in this series after they won game two by a score of 5-4 on Saturday night. Milwaukee trailed 4-0 early in the game, but they scored two in the first, one in the fourth, one in the sixth, and one in the seventh in the comeback win. The Brewers recorded 11 hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Frelick, who went 2-4 with one home run and one RBI. Henderson allowed three hits and three earned runs over 3.0 innings, while Uribe picked up the win and Ashby got the save. Prior to this series, Milwaukee swept the Dodgers in four games and defeated the Padres in four games.
This season, Milwaukee had a 3.51 ERA with a 1.18 WHIP and a .221 opponent batting average, while they scored 832 runs with a .258 batting average and a .341 on base percentage. Jake Bauers led the Brewers with 26 home runs and 86 RBIs, while Brice Turang added 21 home runs and 100 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Milwaukee is Robert Gasser, who is 0-0 with a 1.00 ERA and a 0.89 WHIP over 9.0 innings pitched this postseason.
Why the Tampa Bay Rays will win
- The Rays have won each of their last seven home games following a loss.
- The Brewers have lost six of their last seven road playoff games after not playing the previous day.
- The Rays have covered the run line each of their last 12 night games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- The Brewers have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six Monday road games.
- The Rays have led after 5 innings in each of their last six home games.
- The Brewers have lost the first inning in three of their last four games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
- The Rays have led after 3 innings in six of their last seven home night playoff games.
Why the Milwaukee Brewers will win
- The Brewers have won each of their last 10 games against AL East opponents.
- The Rays have lost each of their last eight night games against NL Central opponents.
- The Brewers have covered the run line in each of their last 11 playoff games as underdogs following a win.
- The Rays have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games as favorites against NL Central opponents following a road loss.
- The Rays have lost the first inning in three of their last four home games against NL Central opponents.
- The Brewers have led after 3 innings in four of their last five games as road underdogs against AL opponents.
- The Rays have trailed after 5 innings in seven of their last eight night games against NL Central opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Brewers’ last seven games as underdogs against AL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Five of the Rays’ last six home games against NL opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the last seven night games between the Brewers and Rays.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in seven of the Brewers’ last eight games as road underdogs.
Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts
- Junior Caminero has hit a home run in four of the Rays’ last five home games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- Freddy Peralta has recorded a win in four of his last five appearances with the Rays as home favorites.
- Freddy Peralta has recorded five or more strikeouts in each of his last six appearances in night games against NL Central teams that held a winning record.
- Chandler Simpson has recorded at least one hit in each of the Rays’ last 13 games as favorites against NL Central opponents.
- Chandler Simpson ranks 2nd in the league in Steals (46) this season.
Milwaukee Brewers Player Prop Facts
- Garrett Mitchell has hit a home run in each of the Brewers’ last two road games.
- Robert Gasser has recorded four or more strikeouts in 12 of his last 14 appearances in night games.
- William Contreras has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 14 appearances against AL East opponents.
- Jake Bauers ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.389) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Rays rank 1st in the league for strikeouts against this season (1145).
- The Rays rank 1st in the league for walks allowed this season (409).
- The Brewers rank 1st in the league for hits this season (1422).
- The Brewers rank 1st in the league for batting average this season (.258).
Rays vs Brewers Prediction
Tampa Bay had a great chance to even this series in game two after their fast start, but they fell apart and couldn’t hit the Milwaukee bullpen. The Rays were 55-26 at home this year, while the Brewers were 48-33 on the road. Milwaukee has won seven games in a row and they have scored at least five runs in four of their last five. The Brewers are starting Gasser, who has allowed one earned run over 9.0 innings in the playoffs, while Peralta has allowed two earned runs in his 17.1 postseason innings. Take the Rays at home here.