The Cleveland Guardians and Tampa Bay Rays meet Monday in MLB Game 6 at Tropicana Field. Here’s a Rays vs. Guardians Prediction. This article will include a Rays vs. Guardians Pick.
Cleveland Guardians Betting Preview
The Cleveland Guardians need a win to save their season and force a game 7 on Tuesday. The Guardians haven’t lost three straight games since September 27 – October 5. The Guardians are 3-1 on the road in these playoffs. The Cleveland Guardians are batting .225 in these playoffs, have a .310 OBP, and a .343 slugging percentage. The Cleveland Guardians pitching staff has a 2.93 ERA and a 1.12 WHIP. Jose Ramirez leads the Cleveland Guardians with 12 hits and 8 RBI, while Chase DeLauter and Steven Kwan have combined for 21 hits and 7 RBI.
The Cleveland Guardians didn’t announce a starting pitcher at the time of this writing.
Tampa Bay Rays Betting Preview
The Tampa Bay Rays look to make the World Series for the first time since the 2020 season. The Rays are 6-2 in these MLB playoffs. The Rays have lost four home games since August 23. The Tampa Bay Rays are batting .232 on the season, have a .281 OBP, and have a .344 slugging percentage. The Tampa Bay Rays’ pitching staff has a 2.54 ERA and a 0.97 WHIP. Yandy Diaz leads the Tampa Bay Rays with 11 hits and 2 RBI, while Jonny DeLuca and Junior Caminero have combined for 16 hits and 7 RBI.
Freddy Peralta gets the ball for the Tampa Bay Rays, and he is 10-11 with a 4.42 ERA and 156 strikeouts this season. Peralta is 1-2 with a 4.00 ERA and 16 strikeouts in his career against the Cleveland Guardians. Peralta is 2-3 with a 3.43 ERA and 50 strikeouts in his postseason career.
Why the Tampa Bay Rays will win
- The Rays have won eight of their last nine home games after playing the previous day.
- The Guardians have lost each of their last five games against AL East opponents following a home loss.
- The Guardians have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six playoff games as underdogs after playing the previous day.
- The Rays have covered the run line in each of their last four games.
- The Guardians have lost the first inning in three of their last four games as road underdogs.
- The Guardians have trailed after 3 innings in five of their last six road playoff games against AL East opponents.
- The Guardians have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last six games at Tropicana Field.
Why the Cleveland Guardians will win
- The Guardians have won each of their last five games as road underdogs following a loss.
- The Rays have lost four of their last five playoff games as favorites following a win.
- The Guardians have covered the run line in 12 of their last 13 road games.
- The Rays have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games as home favorites against AL opponents following a road win.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Rays’ last four home games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Four of the Guardians’ last five road playoff games have gone OVER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in seven of the Guardians’ last eight games at Tropicana Field.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in six of Freddy Peralta’s last seven playoff appearances as a starter.
Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts
- Freddy Peralta has recorded five or more strikeouts in eight of his last nine home appearances against AL Central opponents.
- Junior Caminero has recorded at least one hit in each of the Rays’ last nine night games against AL Central opponents that held a winning record.
- Freddy Peralta has recorded a win in six of his last seven home appearances against AL Central opponents.
- Cedric Mullins has hit a home run in each of his last two home playoff appearances.
- Chandler Simpson ranks 2nd in the league in Steals (46) this season.
Cleveland Guardians Player Prop Facts
- Patrick Bailey has hit a home run in two of the Guardians’ last three road games.
- Steven Kwan has recorded at least one hit in each of the Guardians’ last 13 playoff games as underdogs against AL East opponents.
- Jose Ramirez ranks 7th in the league in Steals (37) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Rays rank 1st in the league for strikeouts against this season (1145).
- The Rays rank 1st in the league for walks allowed this season (409).
- The Guardians rank 3rd in the league for strikeouts this season (1530).
- The Guardians rank 27th in the league for home runs this season (162).
Rays vs Guardians Prediction
I don’t care who the Guardians are throwing out there on the mound; I’m rolling with the Rays. They’ve been too consistent to bet against, especially at home, where it feels like they don’t lose. The Rays were the most profitable team in the regular season and are the second most profitable team in the playoffs.
Also, Peralta has been out of this world lately, allowing 23 hits and 4 runs in his last 39.1 innings. The Rays have won 9 straight games with Peralta on the mound. The price is low, and there’s nobody the Guardians can throw out that will change my position. Give me the Rays to advance to their third World Series in franchise history.