In this article, we will formulate a Rays vs Marlins Prediction for this MLB matchup on Sunday, June 7th in the third game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Miami Marlins Preview
The Miami Marlins have a 30-35 record this season and are sitting in the 4th place of the NL East. They have a 19-16 home record and are coming off a 4-3 home win against the Rays. They will face the Diamondbacks and the Pirates next.
The Marlins have a .242 batting average this season, .319 OBP and .378 Slugging percentage. Miami’s pitching staff has a 4.31 ERA and 1.27 WHIP. Otto Lopez is the team’s best hitter with a .333 batting average. Liam Hicks leads the team in RBI with 47, adding a team-high 12 home runs.
Sandy Alcantara (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Marlins, and he has a 4-4 record, 4.59 ERA and 1.30 WHIP.
Tampa Bay Rays Preview
The Tampa Bay Rays have a 37-24 record this season and are sitting in the 1st place of the AL East. They have a 16-15 road record and are coming off a 3-4 road defeat against the Marlins. They will face the Red Sox and the Angels next.
The Rays have a .257 batting average this season, .335 OBP and .388 Slugging percentage. Tampa Bay’s pitching staff has a 3.95 ERA and 1.24 WHIP. Yandy Diaz is the team’s best hitter with a .326 batting average. Jonathan Aranda leads the team in RBI with 44, while Junior Caminero adds a team-high 14 home runs.
Griffin Jax (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Rays, and he has a 1-4 record, 4.76 ERA and 1.47 WHIP.
Tampa Bay Rays @ Miami Marlins Betting Trends: June 7, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Sandy Alcantara Record this season: 4-4 ERA: 4.59
- Home Record: 2-2
- Last 5 against Rays: 1-3
Why the Miami Marlins will win
- The Rays have lost eight of their last nine games as favorites after playing the previous day.
- The underdogs have won four of the Rays’ last five games.
- The Rays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six road games after playing the previous day.
- The Marlins have covered the run line in each of their last four games after playing the previous day.
- The Marlins have led after 5 innings in five of their last six day games at LoanDepot Park against AL East opponents.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Griffin Jax Record this season: 1-4 ERA: 4.76
- Road Record: 1-3
- Last 5 against Marlins: 1-1
Why the Tampa Bay Rays will win
- The Rays have won each of their last 11 games against the Marlins following a loss.
- The Marlins have lost each of their last six home games against the Rays following a home win.
- The Rays have covered the run line in 11 of their last 12 games as favorites against NL East opponents following a loss.
- The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in seven of their last eight games against American League opponents following a win.
- The Rays have led after 3 innings in five of their last six road games against NL East opponents.
- The Rays have led after 5 innings in nine of their last 10 games against NL East opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Marlins’ last five home games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Four of the Rays’ last five road games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in nine of the Rays’ last 10 games.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last four day games between the Rays and Marlins at LoanDepot Park.
Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts
- Javier Sanoja has hit at least one home run in three of his last six appearances with the Marlins as home underdogs against AL East opponents.
- Sandy Alcantara has recorded five or more strikeouts in 14 of his last 15 appearances against AL opponents that held a winning record.
- Xavier Edwards has recorded at least one hit in each of his seven previous appearances against the Rays after playing the previous day.
- Otto Lopez ranks 1st in the league in Hits (84) this season.
Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts
- Yandy Diaz has hit a home run in three of his last four Sunday appearances against NL East teams that held a losing record.
- Gavin Lux has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven road appearances.
- Yandy Diaz ranks 3rd amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.326) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Marlins rank 1st in the league for steals this season (72).
- The Marlins rank 3rd in the league for triples this season (13).
- The Rays rank 1st in the league for strikeouts against this season (444).
- The Rays rank 28th in the league for home runs this season (52).
Rays vs Marlins Prediction
The Rays are 4-2 in their last 6 meetings against the Marlins and both teams are tied 2-2 in their last 4 meetings in Miami.
In this Rays vs Marlins Prediction, the Rays are coming as -120 road favorites. The Rays have been bad lately with a 1-4 record in their last 5 games and they lost yesterday with McClanahan on the bump, so I don’t trust them as road favorites today with Jax against Alcantara. Jax was torched in his previous start, while Alcantara shut out the Rays in his previous start against them this season. Take the Marlins on the moneyline.