In this article we will formulate a Rays vs Marlins prediction for this MLB game on Friday, May 15th at Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, Florida. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Tampa Bay Rays Betting Preview
The Tampa Bay Rays are 28-14 this year after they won two out of three against the Blue Jays by scores of 8-6, 7-6, and 3-5. In game three, Tampa Bay blew a 1-0 lead in the eighth and they allowed a grand slam in the 10th for the loss. The Rays recorded eight hits in the game and they were led by Williamson, who went 1-1 with one RBI. Jax allowed four hits and zero earned runs over 5.0 innings, while Brooks picked up the loss in the 10th. Prior to that series, Tampa Bay won two out of three against the Red Sox and all three against the Blue Jays.
This season, Tampa Bay has a 3.49 ERA with a 1.17 WHIP and a .217 opponent batting average, while they have scored 189 runs with a .257 batting average and a .330 on base percentage. Jonathan Aranda has led the Rays with eight home runs and 33 RBIs, while Yandy Diaz has added five home runs and 24 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Tampa Bay is Jesse Scholtens, who is 3-2 with a 3.29 ERA and a 1.17 WHIP over 27.1 innings pitched this year.
Miami Marlins Betting Preview
The Miami Marlins are 20-24 this season after they lost two out of three against the Twins by scores of 0-3, 9-5, and 1-9. In game three, Miami allowed six runs in the first three innings and they never had a chance in the ugly loss. The Marlins recorded five hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Lopez, who went 2-4 with one RBI. Garrett allowed four hits and five earned runs over 1.1 innings for the loss, while King allowed three earned runs in relief. Prior to that series, Miami won two out of three against the Nationals, but lost two out of three against the Orioles before that.
This season, Miami has a 4.17 ERA with a 1.27 WHIP and a .224 opponent batting average, while they have scored 186 runs with a .243 batting average and a .322 on base percentage. Liam Hicks has led the Marlins with nine home runs and 38 RBIs, while Otto Lopez has added four home runs and 19 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Miami is Janson Junk, who is 2-3 with a 3.25 ERA and a 1.11 WHIP over 44.1 innings pitched this season.
Why the Tampa Bay Rays will win
- The Rays have won each of their last 10 home games.
- The Marlins have lost each of their last nine night games against the Rays following a loss.
- The Rays have covered the run line in each of their last six games against NL East opponents.
- The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in eight of their last nine games against American League opponents.
- The Rays have won the first inning in three of their last four games.
- The Rays have led after 5 innings in each of their last five games against NL East opponents.
- The Marlins have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four games as underdogs against American League opponents.
Why the Miami Marlins will win
- The Marlins have won three of their last four games as underdogs against the Rays following a loss.
- The Rays have lost six of their last eight games as home favorites following a loss.
- The Marlins have covered the run line in each of their last four games against the Rays.
- The Rays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games as home favorites against NL East opponents.
- The Marlins have led after 3 innings in each of their last three games at Tropicana Field.
- The Marlins have won the first inning in three of their last four night games against the Rays.
- The Marlins have led after 5 innings in each of their last four games as road underdogs.
Total Runs Facts
- Seven of the Rays’ last eight home games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Seven of the Marlins’ last eight games against AL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Marlins’ last six games against AL East opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the last four night games between the Marlins and Rays.
Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts
- Yandy Diaz has hit a home run in four of his last six home appearances against NL East opponents.
- Gavin Lux has recorded at least one hit in each of his last five appearances.
- Chandler Simpson ranks 4th in the league in Steals (14) this season.
Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts
- Kyle Stowers has hit at least one home run in three of his last four appearances with the Marlins as underdogs against AL East opponents.
- Kyle Stowers has recorded at least one hit in each of his last six appearances with the Marlins as underdogs against AL East opponents.
- Otto Lopez ranks 1st in the league in Hits (58) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Rays rank 29th in the league for doubles this season (51).
- The Rays rank 2nd in the league for strikeouts against this season (301).
- The Marlins rank 1st in the league for steals this season (51).
- The Marlins rank 2nd in the league for triples this season (9).
Rays vs Marlins Prediction
Miami comes into this matchup after losing a series to the Twins and they have had plenty of issues on the road this year. The Marlins are 6-12 on the road this year, while the Rays are 14-4 at home. Tampa Bay has won three of their last four games, but they have allowed at least five runs in three straight. The Rays are starting Scholtens, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five outings, but doesn’t go very deep into games. The Marlins are starting Junk, who has allowed one earned run or fewer in three of his last four outings. Take Miami to get the win here.