In this article we will formulate a Rays vs Marlins prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, May 17th at Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, Florida. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Tampa Bay Rays Betting Preview
The Tampa Bay Rays are 29-15 this year after they split the first two games in this series by scores of 7-2 and 5-10. In game two, Tampa Bay tied the game at two in the ninth inning, but they allowed eight runs in the 10th for the loss. The Rays recorded 10 hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Caminero, who went 2-5 with two RBIs. Martinez allowed five hits and zero earned runs over 6.0 innings, while Bigge allowed seven earned runs for the loss. Prior to this series, Tampa Bay won two out of three against the Blue Jays and two out of three against the Red Sox.
This season, Tampa Bay has a 3.60 ERA with a 1.18 WHIP and a .222 opponent batting average, while they have scored 201 runs with a .258 batting average and a .330 on base percentage. Jonathan Aranda has led the Rays with eight home runs and 34 RBIs, while Yandy Diaz has added six home runs and 26 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Tampa Bay is Drew Rasmussen, who is 3-1 with a 3.16 ERA and a 0.91 WHIP over 42.2 innings pitched this year.
Miami Marlins Betting Preview
The Miami Marlins are 21-25 this season after they won game two by a score of 10-5 in extra innings on Saturday. Miami blew a 2-1 lead in the ninth inning, but they immediately responded with a huge 10th for the win. The Marlins recorded 15 hits and they committed four errors, while they were led by Sanoja, who went 2-5 with four RBIs in the game. Alcantara allowed seven hits and zero earned runs over 6.0 innings, while Fairbanks picked up the win in relief. Prior to this series, Miami lost two out of three against the Twins, but did win two out of three against the Nationals before that.
This season, Miami has a 4.18 ERA with a 1.28 WHIP and a .227 opponent batting average, while they have scored 198 runs with a .246 batting average and a .322 on base percentage. Liam Hicks has led the Marlins with nine home runs and 40 RBIs, while Otto Lopez has added four home runs and 20 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Miami is Eury Perez, who is 2-5 with a 4.94 ERA and a 1.37 WHIP over 47.1 innings pitched this season.
Why the Tampa Bay Rays will win
- The Rays have won each of their last 12 day games at Tropicana Field after going to extra innings.
- The Marlins have lost each of their last six road games against the Rays following a win.
- The Rays have covered the run line in each of their last 10 day games at Tropicana Field after going to extra innings.
- The Marlins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games against American League opponents following a win.
- The Marlins have lost the first inning in three of their last four games as underdogs against American League opponents.
- The Marlins have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last six games as underdogs against American League opponents.
- The Rays have led after 5 innings in each of their last seven games against NL East opponents.
Why the Miami Marlins will win
- The Marlins have won seven of their last eight games as underdogs against American League opponents following a road win.
- The Rays have lost five of their last six games as home favorites following a home loss.
- The Marlins have covered the run line in each of their last 11 Sunday games against AL East opponents.
- The Rays have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six games as home favorites against NL East opponents.
- The Marlins have led after 5 innings in three of their last four day games against opponents that held a winning record.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Marlins’ last seven games as underdogs against AL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Seven of the Rays’ last eight games after going to extra innings have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Marlins’ last eight games against AL East opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of Drew Rasmussen’s last eight home appearances as a starter.
Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts
- Yandy Diaz has hit a home run in two of the Rays’ last three games against the Marlins.
- Drew Rasmussen has recorded five or more strikeouts in seven of his last eight appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
- Yandy Diaz has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances in day games against teams that held a losing record.
Miami Marlins Player Prop Facts
- Kyle Stowers has hit at least one home run in three of his last six appearances with the Marlins as underdogs against AL East opponents.
- Otto Lopez has recorded at least one hit in each of the Marlins’ last 10 road games against opponents that held a winning record.
Rays vs Marlins Prediction
Tampa Bay let one slip away on Saturday afternoon in game two and they have gone to extra innings in three of their last four games. The Rays are 15-5 at home this year, while the Marlins are 7-13 on the road. Miami has lost three of their last five games and they have allowed 5+ runs in four straight. The Marlins are starting Perez, who has allowed 3+ earned runs in three of his last four starts, while Rasmussen has allowed three earned runs in back to back starts. I think we could see some offense in this game, as neither pitcher has been great, so I like the over here.