In this article we will formulate a Rays vs Nationals prediction for this MLB game on Friday, June 19th at Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, Florida. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Tampa Bay Rays Betting Preview
The Tampa Bay Rays are 41-30 this season after they lost all three against the Dodgers by scores of 3-4, 0-1, and 4-5. In game three, Tampa Bay led 4-2 in the fifth inning, but they allowed the last three runs for the loss. The Rays recorded eight hits in the game and they were led by Diaz, who went 2-3 with one RBI. McClanahan allowed three hits and two earned runs over 3.2 innings, while Kelly picked up the loss. Prior to that series, Tampa Bay lost two out of three against the Angels, but did sweep the Red Sox before that.
This season, Tampa Bay has a 3.95 ERA with a 1.24 WHIP and a .239 opponent batting average, while they have scored 315 runs with a .255 batting average and a .333 on base percentage. Jonathan Aranda has led the Rays with 11 home runs and 48 RBIs, while Yandy Diaz has added 12 home runs and 47 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Tampa Bay is Griffin Jax, who is 1-5 with a 3.68 ERA and a 1.36 WHIP over 44.0 innings pitched this season.
Washington Nationals Betting Preview
The Washington Nationals are 39-36 this year after they won two out of three against the Royals by scores of 7-3, 6-4, and 2-6. In game three, Washington allowed the first six runs in the game and never really had a chance in the loss. The Nationals recorded six hits in the game and they were led by Abrams, who went 1-4 with one RBI. Littell allowed seven hits and four earned runs over 5.0 innings for the loss, while Parker allowed two earned runs in relief. Prior to that series, Washington won two out of three against the Mariners and two out of three against the Giants.
This season, Washington has a 4.65 ERA with a 1.39 WHIP and a .255 opponent batting average, while they have scored 407 runs with a .247 batting average and a .323 on base percentage. CJ Abrams has led the Nationals with 14 home runs and 54 RBIs, while James Wood has added 20 home runs and 48 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Washington is Cade Cavalli, who is 4-4 with a 3.98 ERA and a 1.39 WHIP over 74.2 innings pitched this year.
Why the Tampa Bay Rays will win
- The Rays have won each of their last 12 games as favorites against NL East opponents following a loss.
- The Nationals have lost each of their last six road games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
- The Nationals have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games against the Rays following a home loss.
- The Rays have covered the run line in each of their last six night games against National League opponents.
- The Nationals have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last six road games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
- The Nationals have lost the first inning in each of their last three games at Tropicana Field against opponents that held a winning record.
- The Nationals have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last six road games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
Why the Washington Nationals will win
- The Rays have lost each of their last six night games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
- The underdogs have won five of the Rays’ last six games at Tropicana Field.
- The Nationals have covered the run line in 17 of their last 18 road games following a loss.
- The Rays have failed to cover the run line in three of their last four home games against National League opponents that held a winning record.
- The Nationals have led after 5 innings in six of their last seven night games against American League opponents.
- The Nationals have led after 3 innings in five of their last six road games against opponents that held a winning record.
Total Runs Facts
- Thirteen of the Nationals’ last 14 night games against AL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Five of the Rays’ last six games against National League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in nine of the Rays’ last 10 night games at Tropicana Field.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Nationals’ last four night games against American League opponents.
Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts
- Yandy Diaz has hit a home run in three of his last four home appearances against NL opponents.
- Taylor Walls has recorded at least one hit in each of his last six appearances with the Rays as favorites.
- Yandy Diaz is one of only two players to hit over .300 and have 45+ RBIs this season.
Washington Nationals Player Prop Facts
- Jacob Young has hit a home run in each of the Nationals’ last two games against AL East opponents.
- Keibert Ruiz has recorded at least one hit in each of his last nine road appearances against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
- Nasim Nunez ranks 2nd in the league in Steals (26) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Rays rank 30th in the league for home runs this season (58).
- The Rays rank 1st in the league for strikeouts against this season (517).
- The Nationals rank 1st in the league for runs scored this season (407).
- The Nationals rank 1st in the league for RBIs this season (386).
Rays vs Nationals Prediction
Tampa Bay comes into this matchup after getting swept by the Dodgers, but every loss came by just one run. The Rays are 24-9 at home this year, while the Nationals are 23-14 on the road. Washington had their winning streak snapped on Wednesday, but they have scored at least six runs in four of their last five. The Nationals are starting Cavalli, who has allowed 3, 4, 2, 1, and 2 earned runs in his last five starts, while Jax has allowed one earned run or fewer in four of his last five. Take the Rays at home.