In this article, we will formulate a Rays vs Orioles Prediction for this MLB matchup on Monday, May 25th in the opening game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Baltimore Orioles Preview
The Baltimore Orioles have a 23-30 record this season and are sitting in the fourth place of the AL East. They have a 14-13 home record and are coming off a 1-4 home defeat against the Tigers. They will face the Blue Jays and the Red Sox next.
The Orioles have a .232 batting average this season, .314 OBP and .387 Slugging percentage. Baltimore’s pitching staff has a 4.85 ERA and 1.44 WHIP. Taylor Ward is the team’s best hitter with a .255 batting average. Pete Alonso leads the team in RBI with 32, while Gunnar Henderson adds a team-high 11 home runs.
Kyle Bradish (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Orioles, and he has a 2-6 record, 4.13 ERA and 1.51 WHIP.
Tampa Bay Rays Preview
The Tampa Bay Rays have a 34-16 record this season and are sitting in the first place of the AL East. They have a 15-11 away record and are coming off a 0-2 road defeat against the Yankees. They will face the Angels and the Tigers next.
The Rays have a .260 batting average this season, .335 OBP and .388 Slugging percentage. Tampa Bay’s pitching staff has a 3.51 ERA and 1.19 WHIP. Yandy Diaz is the team’s best hitter with a .315 batting average. Jonathan Aranda leads the team in RBI with 38, while Junior Caminero adds a team-high 13 home runs.
Shane McClanahan (L) is the projected starting pitcher for the Rays, and he has a 5-2 record, 2.82 ERA and 1.05 WHIP.
Tampa Bay Rays @ Baltimore Orioles Betting Trends: May 25, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Kyle Bradish Record this season: 2-6 ERA: 4.13
- Home Record: 1-3
- Last 5 against Rays: 1-3
Why the Baltimore Orioles will win
- The underdogs have won seven of the Rays’ last eight games at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
- The Rays have lost four of their last five games as road favorites against AL East opponents.
- The underdogs have covered the run line in seven of the Rays’ last eight games at Oriole Park at Camden Yards.
- The Rays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five games as road favorites against AL East opponents.
- The Orioles have led after 3 innings in each of their last five Monday day home games.
- The Orioles have led after 5 innings in each of their last five Monday day home games.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Shane McClanahan Record this season: 5-2 ERA: 2.82
- Road Record: 1-2
- Last 5 against Orioles: 3-0
Why the Tampa Bay Rays will win
- The Rays have won each of their last 14 games as favorites against American League opponents.
- The Orioles have lost 10 of their last 11 day games against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
- The Rays have covered the run line in each of their last eight Monday games against AL East opponents.
- The Orioles have failed to cover the run line in nine of their last 10 day games against teams that held a winning record.
- The Orioles have trailed after 3 innings in 11 of their last 13 games as underdogs against AL East opponents.
- The Rays have led after 5 innings in each of their last six Monday games against opponents that held a losing record.
- The Rays have won the first inning in three of their last four road games against opponents that held a losing record.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Rays’ last eight day games against American League opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Each of the Orioles’ last six home games after playing the previous day have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of Shane McClanahan’s last seven road appearances as a starter.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of Kyle Bradish’s last six home appearances as a starter.
Baltimore Orioles Player Prop Facts
- Kyle Bradish has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last four appearances with the Orioles as home underdogs.
- Adley Rutschman has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 Monday appearances against AL teams that held a winning record.
- Jordan Westburg has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances.
- Taylor Ward ranks 5th amongst qualified players for On Base Percentage (.405) this season.
Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts
- Yandy Diaz has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
- Shane McClanahan has recorded seven or more strikeouts in six of his last seven appearances in day games against AL teams that held a losing record.
- Gavin Lux has recorded at least one hit in each of his last seven road appearances.
- Shane McClanahan has recorded a win in seven of his eight previous appearances against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
- Chandler Simpson ranks T5th in the league in Steals (14) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Orioles rank 29th in the league for runs allowed this season (285).
- The Orioles rank 28th in the league for strikeouts against this season (489).
- The Rays rank 1st in the league for strikeouts against this season (355).
- The Rays rank 2nd in the league for batting average this season (.260).
Rays vs Orioles Prediction
The Rays swept the previous series against the Orioles this season by 3-0 wins at home, with a combined 25-10 score, but they are 1-3 in their last 4 visits in Baltimore.
In this Rays vs Orioles Prediction, the Rays are coming as -135 road favorites. The Rays have been one of the best teams in baseball this season and just had a series with this Orioles team which they destroyed. They have a better bullpen and in the past couple of weeks they are crushing righties, while in the same span, the Orioles are terrible against lefties. McClanahan has been elite this season, so keep it simple and take the Rays on the moneyline on the road in a nice price.