In this article, we will formulate a Rays vs Phillies Prediction for this MLB matchup on Saturday, September 26th in the second game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Philadelphia Phillies Preview
The Philadelphia Phillies have an 87-73 record this season and are sitting in the 2nd place of the NL East. They have a 42-37 home record and are coming off a 0-2 home loss against the Rays.
The Philadelphia Phillies have a .240 batting average this season, .311 OBP and .394 Slugging percentage. Philadelphia’s pitching staff has a 4.00 ERA and 1.28 WHIP. Bryce Harper is the team’s best hitter with a .270 batting average. Kyle Schwarber leads the team in RBI with 95, adding a team-high 45 home runs.
The Phillies have not yet announced a starting pitcher for this game.
Tampa Bay Rays Preview
The Tampa Bay Rays have a 97-63 record this season and are sitting in the 1st place of the AL East. They have a 42-37 away record and are coming off a 2-0 road win against the Phillies.
The Tampa Bay Rays have a .257 batting average this season, .326 OBP and .399 Slugging percentage. Tampa Bay’s pitching staff has a 3.70 ERA and 1.13 WHIP. Chandler Simpson is the team’s best hitter with a .306 batting average. Junior Caminero leads the team in RBI with 99, adding a team-high 41 home runs.
Griffin Jax (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Rays, and he has a 8-10 record, 3.62 ERA and 1.19 WHIP.
Tampa Bay Rays @ Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends: September 26, 2026
- Probable Starting Pitcher: TBD
Why the Philadelphia Phillies will win
- The Rays have lost each of their last five games as favorites against NL East opponents following a win.
- The Phillies have won each of their last three games as underdogs against the Rays.
- The Rays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last five games as favorites against NL East opponents following a win.
- The Phillies have covered the run line in four of their last five games as home underdogs against AL opponents following a home loss.
- The Rays have trailed after 5 innings in four of their last five games as favorites against NL East opponents.
- The Phillies have led after 3 innings in each of their last five Saturday night games.
- Probable Starting Pitcher: Griffin Jax Record this season: 8-10 ERA: 3.62
- Road Record: 4-5
- Last 5 against Phillies: 0-0
Why the Tampa Bay Rays will win
- The Rays have won each of their last seven night games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- The Phillies have lost each of their last eight games as home underdogs.
- The Rays have covered the run line each of their last nine night games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- The Phillies have failed to cover the run line in each of their last seven games as home underdogs.
- The Rays have led after 3 innings in each of their last four night games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
- The Rays have led after 5 innings in each of their last seven night games against NL opponents that held a winning record.
Total Runs Facts
- Eight of the Phillies’ last nine games as home underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Six of the Rays’ last seven road games against NL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- There has been at least one run scored in the first inning in each of the Phillies’ last seven Saturday games at Citizens Bank Park.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in five of the Rays’ last six games as road favorites.
Philadelphia Phillies Player Prop Facts
- Kyle Schwarber has hit a home run in three of his last four appearances with his team as a home underdog against AL East opponents.
- Trea Turner has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances against the Rays after playing the previous day.
- Kyle Schwarber ranks T1st in the league in Home Runs (45) this season.
Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts
- Victor Mesa Jr. has hit a home run in each of his last two appearances with the Rays against NL opponents.
- Taylor Walls has recorded a hit in each of the Rays’ last 11 games as favorites against NL East opponents.
- Griffin Jax has recorded five or more strikeouts in five of his last six appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
- Griffin Jax has recorded a win in three of his last four road appearances.
- Chandler Simpson ranks 2nd in the league in Steals (46) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Phillies rank 1st in the league for strikeouts this season (1560).
- The Phillies are one of only four teams in the league to rank top 10 in both strikeouts and walks allowed this season.
- The Rays rank 1st in the league for strikeouts against this season (1128).
- The Rays rank 1st in the league for walks allowed this season (400).
Rays vs Phillies Prediction
The White Sox are 6-2 in their last 8 meetings against the Rockies and are 3-1 in their last 4 meetings in Chicago.
In this Rays vs Phillies Prediction, the Rays are coming as -115 road favorites. The Phillies have now just a one-game lead over the Dbacks for the final NL wild card, but have lost three straight games, having scored just two total runs in that span. They will be facing a red-hot Griffin Jax, who has given up one run or less in six of his last seven starts and a Tampa bullpen that has been better in the last 10 games. Take the Rays to win this one on the road.