Rays vs Red Sox Prediction 4/14/25 MLB Picks Today

In this article, we will formulate a Rays vs Red Sox prediction for this MLB game on Monday, April 14th at George M. Steinbrenner Field in Tampa, Florida. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Tampa Bay Rays Betting Preview

The Tampa Bay Rays are 7-8 this year after they won two out of three against Atlanta by scores of 6-3, 4-5, and 8-3. In that game three win, the Rays scored the first four runs in the game, but they did allow three runs in the sixth, before pulling away with the win in the bottom half of the sixth. The Rays recorded nine hits, and they committed two errors in the game, while they were led by Caminero, who went 2-4 with one home run and three RBIs in the win. Tampa Bay started Boyle, who allowed zero hits and zero earned runs over 5.0 innings for the win, while Englert allowed two hits over the final two innings in relief. 

Prior to that series, the Rays lost two out of three against the Angels and were swept by the Rangers in three games. The Tampa Bay pitching staff has a 3.53 ERA with a 1.13 WHIP and a .229 opponent batting average, while the offense has scored 61 runs with a .265 batting average and a .330 on-base percentage this season. Brandon Lowe has led Tampa Bay with three home runs and nine RBIs, while Jonathan Aranda has added two home runs and eight RBIs for the Rays this year. The projected starting pitcher for Tampa Bay is Shane Baz, who is 1-0 with a 1.38 ERA and a 1.08 WHIP over 13.0 innings pitched this year. 

Boston Red Sox Betting Preview

The Boston Red Sox are 8-9 this season after they lost two out of three games against the White Sox by scores of 1-11, 2-3, and 3-1. In that game three win, the Red Sox scored twice in the sixth inning and added an insurance run in the ninth to seal the win. The Red Sox recorded nine hits in the game, and they were led by Story, who went 3-4 with one home run and three RBIs in the win. Boston started Crochet, who allowed one hit and one earned run over 7.1 innings for the win, while Chapman picked up the save in the ninth. 

Prior to that series, the Red Sox had lost three out of four games against the Blue Jays and swept the Cardinals in three games. The Boston pitching staff has a 3.75 ERA with a 1.30 WHIP and a .259 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 77 runs with a .251 batting average and a .328 on-base percentage this season. Wilyer Abreu has led Boston with three home runs and 12 RBIs, while Alex Bregman has added two home runs and 12 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Boston is Tanner Houck, who is 0-1 with a 4.41 ERA and a 1.47 WHIP over 16.1 innings pitched this season. 

Why the Rays will beat the Red Sox

• The Red Sox have lost each of their last seven night games after playing the previous day.
• The Rays have won 11 of their last 12 home games against the Red Sox following a home win.
• The Rays have covered the run line each of their last four night games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line each of their last four night games against teams that held a losing record.
• The Rays have led after 5 innings in five of their last six night games against opponents that held a losing record.
• The Red Sox have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four games as underdogs against American League opponents.

Why the Red Sox will beat the Rays

• The underdogs have won eight of the last nine games between the Red Sox and Rays.
• The Rays have lost seven of their last eight night games against AL East opponents following a win.
• The Rays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last 10 games as favorites against AL East opponents.
• The underdogs have covered the run line in eight of the last nine games between the Red Sox and Rays.
• The Rays have trailed after 5 innings in six of their last eight games as favorites against AL East opponents.
• The Rays have trailed after 3 innings in six of their last seven games against American League opponents.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Red Sox’s last six night games against AL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Seven of the Rays’ last eight games against AL East opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Rays’ last seven games as home favorites against AL East opponents.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 11 of the Red Sox’s last 12 night games against AL East opponents.

Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts

• Brandon Lowe has hit a home run in six of the Rays’ last 13 home games against the Red Sox.
• Yandy Diaz has recorded a Double in three of the Rays’ last four night games against AL opponents that held a losing record.
• Taylor Walls has recorded an RBI in three of his last four appearances with the Rays as favorites against the Red Sox.
• Josh Lowe has recorded at least one Single in seven of the Rays’ last eight night games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
• Josh Lowe has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 Monday appearances.
• Ha-Seong Kim has scored a run in three of his last four appearances against the Red Sox.
• Jonathan Aranda ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for Batting Average (.378) this season.

Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts

• Alex Bregman has hit a home run in two of his last three road appearances against the Rays.
• Jarren Duran has recorded an RBI in four of the Red Sox’s last five games as underdogs against the Rays.
• Jarren Duran has scored at least one run in five of his last six appearances with the Red Sox as road underdogs against the Rays.
• Alex Bregman has recorded at least one Single in nine of his last 10 appearances with his team as a road underdog against AL opponents.
• Alex Bregman has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 appearances with his team as a road underdog against AL opponents.
• Trevor Story ranks T2nd in the league in Steals (6) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Rays rank 1st in the league for walks allowed this season (34).
• The Rays rank T2nd in the league for triples this season (3).
• The Red Sox rank 30th in the league for strikeouts against this season (158).
• The Red Sox rank 2nd in the league for doubles this season (32).

Rays vs Red Sox Prediction 

Both of these teams come into this series below .500 to start the season, but Tampa Bay is 7-5 at home so far this year. The Rays are coming off of a solid series win over Atlanta, and they have scored at least five runs in three of their last five games. Boston was able to avoid being swept by the White Sox on Sunday, but their offense has been brutal over the last week. I don’t really trust either offense in this game, so I will take the under here.