In this article we will formulate a Rays vs Twins prediction for this MLB game on Sunday, April 26th at Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, Florida. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Tampa Bay Rays Betting Preview
The Tampa Bay Rays are 15-11 this season after they won the first two games in this series by scores of 6-2 and 6-1. In game two, Tampa Bay scored the first six runs in the game and they cruised to another easy victory. The Rays recorded eight hits and they committed three errors, while they were led by Fraley and Williamson, who both had two RBIs in the game. McClanahan allowed three hits and zero earned runs over 5.0 innings for the win, while Martin allowed one earned run in relief. Prior to this series, Tampa Bay lost two out of three against the Reds and two out of three against the Pirates.
This season, Tampa Bay has a 4.46 ERA with a 1.26 WHIP and a .227 opponent batting average, while they have scored 128 runs with a .256 batting average and a .333 on base percentage. Jonathan Aranda has led the Rays with six home runs and 21 RBIs, while Yandy Diaz has added three home runs and 18 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Tampa Bay is Jesse Scholtens, who is 1-1 with a 2.93 ERA and a 0.98 WHIP over 15.1 innings pitched this season.
Minnesota Twins Betting Preview
The Minnesota Twins are 12-15 this year after they lost game two by a score of 6-1 on Saturday afternoon. Minnesota couldn’t do anything at the plate in this one, but they did score in the ninth to avoid the shutout. The Twins recorded five hits in the game and they were led by Lewis, who went 1-4 with one RBI. Ober allowed three hits and two earned runs over 6.0 innings for the loss, while Rogers allowed three earned runs in relief. Prior to this series, Minnesota lost two out of three against the Mets and all three against the Reds.
This season, Minnesota has a 4.31 ERA with a 1.36 WHIP and a .251 opponent batting average, while they have scored 130 runs with a .229 batting average and a .326 on base percentage. Josh Bell has led the Twins with three home runs and 16 RBIs, while Tristan Gray has added three home runs and 13 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Minnesota is Simeon Woods Richardson, who is 0-3 with a 5.96 ERA and a 1.56 WHIP over 25.2 innings pitched this year.
Why the Tampa Bay Rays will win
- The Rays have won each of their last 10 games against American League opponents.
- The Twins have lost each of their last seven games after playing the previous day.
- The Rays have covered the run line in each of their last 10 games against American League opponents.
- The Twins have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games as underdogs against the Rays following a loss.
- The Twins have lost the first inning in three of their last four games.
- The Twins have trailed after 3 innings in five of their last six games as underdogs.
- The Rays have led after 5 innings in each of their last seven home day games.
Why the Minnesota Twins will win
- The Rays have lost eight of their last 11 games as home favorites after playing the previous day.
- The Twins have won eight of their last 10 day games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
- The Twins have covered the run line in nine of their last 11 day games against American League opponents that held a winning record.
- The Rays have failed to cover the run line in 15 of their last 19 games as home favorites against American League opponents.
- The Twins have won the first inning in three of their last four day games.
- The Twins have led after 3 innings in three of their last four road day games.
- The Twins have led after 5 innings in four of their last five day games against opponents that held a winning record.
Total Runs Facts
- Five of the Twins’ last six road games against AL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Five of the Rays’ last six day games against AL Central opponents have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Twins’ last eight games against American League opponents.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in seven of the Rays’ last eight day games at Tropicana Field.
Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts
- Jake Fraley has hit a home run in two of his last three appearances against AL opponents.
- Gavin Lux has recorded at least one hit in each of his last five appearances.
Minnesota Twins Player Prop Facts
- Byron Buxton has hit at least one home run in six of his last eight Sunday day appearances against AL teams that held a winning record.
- Trevor Larnach has recorded a hit in each of his last seven appearances with the Twins as underdogs.
Rays vs Twins Prediction
Minnesota comes into this matchup on a four game losing streak and they have allowed 22 runs in their last three games. The Twins are 5-9 on the road this year, while the Rays are 7-4 at home. Tampa Bay has won three in a row and they have outscored their opponents 18-4 during that span. The Rays are starting Scholtens, who allowed five earned runs in his last start, while Woods Richardson has allowed 14 earned runs and 20 hits in his last 14.0 innings. Take the over in this contest.