In this article we will formulate a Rays vs Yankees prediction for this MLB game on Monday, October 5th at Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, Florida. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB playoff matchup.
Tampa Bay Rays Betting Preview
The Tampa Bay Rays are 1-0 in this series after they won game one by a score of 1-0 on Saturday. Tampa Bay pitched a great game and scored the only run in the third for the shutout win. The Rays recorded five hits in the game and they were led by Aranda, who went 1-4 with one home run and one RBI. Rasmussen allowed one hit and zero earned runs over 8.0 innings for the win, while Baker picked up the save. Prior to this series, Tampa Bay had a bye in the wild card round and won two out of three against the Phillies to end the regular season.
This season, Tampa Bay had a 3.70 ERA with a 1.14 WHIP and a .229 opponent batting average, while they scored 736 runs with a .258 batting average and a .326 on base percentage. Jonathan Aranda led the Rays with 22 home runs and 92 RBIs, while Junior Caminero added 42 home runs and 101 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Tampa Bay is Freddy Peralta, who went 10-11 with a 4.42 ERA and a 1.33 WHIP over 169.0 innings pitched this season.
New York Yankees Betting Preview
The New York Yankees are down 0-1 in this series after they lost game one by a score of 0-1 on Saturday. New York pitched a very good game, but they did almost nothing at the plate in the loss. The Yankees recorded just one hit and they were led by Wells, who went 1-3 in the game. Cole allowed five hits and one earned run over 5.0 innings for the loss, while Blackburn threw 1.2 innings in relief. Prior to this series, New York won two games against the Red Sox in the wild card round and split two games with the Orioles to end the regular season.
This season, New York had a 3.24 ERA with a 1.17 WHIP and a .224 opponent batting average, while they scored 739 runs with a .235 batting average and a .311 on base percentage. Ben Rice led the Yankees with 41 home runs and 97 RBIs, while Cody Bellinger added 17 home runs and 73 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Cam Schlittler, who is 1-0 with a 0.00 ERA and a 0.47 WHIP over 6.1 innings pitched this postseason.
Why the Tampa Bay Rays will win
- The Rays have won seven of their last eight games as home underdogs against AL East opponents.
- The Yankees have lost each of their last five road playoff games.
- The Rays have covered the run line in seven of their last eight games as home underdogs against AL East opponents.
- The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six road playoff games after not playing the previous day.
- The Yankees have trailed after 5 innings in each of their last six road playoff games.
- The Yankees have trailed after 3 innings in each of their last four road playoff games.
Why the New York Yankees will win
- The Yankees have won each of their last nine games against AL opponents following a loss.
- The Rays have lost each of their last six playoff games following a win.
- The Rays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine night games following a home win.
- The Yankees have covered the run line in each of their last six games as favorites following a loss.
- The Yankees have led after 5 innings in four of their last five games as road favorites against AL opponents.
- The Rays have trailed after 3 innings in three of their last four playoff games as underdogs against AL East opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Twelve of the Yankees’ last 13 games as favorites against AL opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- Each of the Rays’ last five games as home underdogs have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in each of the Yankees’ last six games.
- There has been no run scored during the first inning in eight of the last nine night games between the Yankees and Rays.
Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts
- Jonathan Aranda has hit at least one home run in three of his last four home appearances against opponents that held a winning record.
- Freddy Peralta has recorded a win in five of his last six appearances.
- Freddy Peralta has recorded six or more strikeouts in four of his last five appearances against AL East opponents that held a winning record.
- Jonathan Aranda has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 11 home appearances after not playing the previous day.
- Chandler Simpson ranks 2nd in the league in Steals (46) this season.
New York Yankees Player Prop Facts
- Cam Schlittler has recorded a win in three of his last four appearances against AL East opponents.
- Cam Schlittler has recorded seven or more strikeouts in each of his last six road appearances against AL opponents.
- George Lombard Jr. has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 10 appearances with the Yankees as favorites against AL opponents.
- Heliot Ramos has hit a home run in each of his last two road appearances.
- Cam Schlittler ranks 2nd amongst qualified players for Earned Run Average (1.95) this season.
Matchup/League Facts
- The Rays rank 1st in the league for strikeouts against this season (1145).
- The Rays rank 1st in the league for walks allowed this season (409).
- The Yankees rank 1st in the league for ERA this season (3.23).
- The Yankees rank 29th in the league for hits this season (1250).
Rays vs Yankees Prediction
Tampa Bay was able to get the shutout win in game one to start this series, but their offense only generated one run in the win. The Rays were 55-26 at home this year, while the Yankees were 47-34 on the road. New York has scored 6+ runs in three of their last four games and they have allowed three total runs in their three playoff games. The Yankees are starting Schilttler, who has allowed one earned run or fewer in five straight starts, while Peralta has allowed one earned run or fewer in five straight outings as well. I like the Yankees with Schlittler on the mound here.