Rays vs Yankees Prediction 4/10/26 MLB Picks Today

In this article we will formulate a Rays vs Yankees prediction for this MLB game on Friday, April 10th at Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, Florida. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup. 

Tampa Bay Rays Betting Preview

The Tampa Bay Rays are 5-7 this season after they lost two out of three against the Cubs by scores of 6-4, 2-9, and 2-6. In their game three loss, Tampa Bay tied the game at one in the third inning, but they allowed five runs in the fifth for the defeat. The Rays recorded five hits and they committed three errors in the game, while they were led by Aranda and Fraley, who both had one RBI. Boyle allowed four hits and five earned runs over 4.1 innings for the loss, while Scholtens allowed four hits over 4.2 innings in relief. Prior to that series, Tampa Bay won two out of three against the Twins, but lost two out of three against the Brewers before that.

This season, Tampa Bay has a 4.96 ERA with a 1.24 WHIP and a .232 opponent batting average, while they have scored 55 runs with a .253 batting average and a .326 on base percentage. Jonathan Aranda has led the Rays with three home runs and 11 RBIs, while Yandy Diaz has added two home runs and 10 RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for Tampa Bay is Steven Matz, who is 2-0 with a 4.09 ERA and a 1.00 WHIP over 11.0 innings pitched this season. 

New York Yankees Betting Preview

The New York Yankees are 8-4 this year after they lost two out of three against the Athletics by scores of 5-3, 2-3, and 0-1. In their game three loss, New York couldn’t get anything going at the plate and they allowed a run in the seventh inning for the loss. The Yankees recorded one hit in the game and they were led by Rice, who went 1-4. Weathers allowed seven hits and one earned run over 8.0 innings for the loss, while Blackburn finished the ninth. Prior to that series, New York won two out of three against the Marlins and two out of three against the Mariners.

This season, New York has a 2.35 ERA with a 1.03 WHIP and a .207 opponent batting average, while they have scored 54 runs with a .204 batting average and a .315 on base percentage. Ben Rice has led the Yankees with three home runs and 11 RBIs, while Aaron Judge has added three home runs and seven RBIs. The projected starting pitcher for New York is Luis Gil, who is making his first appearance of the season. 

Why the Tampa Bay Rays will win

• The underdogs have won four of the Yankees’ last five games at Tropicana Field.
• The Yankees have lost each of their last three games as favorites after playing the previous day.
• The Rays have covered the run line in each of their last seven games as home underdogs against American League opponents following a home loss.
• The Yankees have failed to cover the run line in five of their last six games at Tropicana Field against teams that held a losing record.
• The Rays have won the first inning in six of their last seven games as home underdogs.
• The Rays have led after 3 innings in each of their last eight games as home underdogs.
• The Rays have led after 5 innings in five of their last six games as home underdogs.

Why the New York Yankees will win

• The Yankees have won each of their last seven night games following a loss.
• The Rays have lost each of their last seven Friday games against teams that held a winning record.
• The Yankees have covered the run line in seven of their last eight night games against the Rays following a loss.
• The Rays have failed to cover the run line in each of their last four games against AL East opponents.
• The Yankees have led after 3 innings in six of their last seven night games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
• The Yankees have led after 5 innings in six of their last seven night games against AL East opponents.
• The Yankees have won the first inning in five of their last six night games against AL East opponents that held a losing record.

Total Runs Facts

• Each of the Yankees’ last four games as road favorites have gone UNDER the total runs line.
• Five of the Rays’ last six home games have gone OVER the total runs line.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in 11 of the Rays’ last 12 games at Tropicana Field.
• The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in six of the Yankees’ last seven games as road favorites.

Tampa Bay Rays Player Prop Facts

• Yandy Diaz has hit a home run in two of the Rays’ last three games as underdogs.
• Yandy Diaz has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 12 appearances against the Yankees at Tropicana Field.
• Chandler Simpson ranks T3rd in the league in Hits (18) this season.

New York Yankees Player Prop Facts

• Giancarlo Stanton has hit at least one home run in each of the Yankees’ last three games against the Rays.
• Giancarlo Stanton has recorded two hits in each of his last six road appearances.
• Jazz Chisholm ranks T4th in the league in Steals (5) this season.

Matchup/League Facts

• The Rays rank T1st in the league for strikeouts against this season (86).
• The Rays rank 28th in the league for strikeouts this season (91).
• The Yankees rank 1st in the league for home runs allowed this season (2).
• The Yankees rank 1st in the league for runs allowed this season (29).

Rays vs Yankees Prediction 

New York is coming off of a rare series loss against the Athletics and they have scored just two total runs in their last two games. The Yankees are 5-1 on the road this year, while the Rays are 1-2 at home. Tampa Bay just lost two out of three against the Cubs and they have allowed 19 runs in their last three games. The Rays are starting Matz, who has had one good start and one bad start, while Gil is being called up from the minors. We don’t have a great number with New York here, but I will lay it with the Yankees in this one.