In this article, we will formulate a Red Sox vs Braves prediction for this MLB game on Friday, May 16th at Fenway Park in Boston, Massachusetts. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
Boston Red Sox Betting Preview
The Boston Red Sox are 22-23 this season after they were swept by Detroit by scores of 2-14, 9-10, and 5-6. In their game three loss, Boston erased a 5-2 deficit in the seventh inning, but they allowed a run in the bottom of the ninth for the loss. The Red Sox recorded 11 hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by Rafaela, Refsnyder, Bregman, Devers, and Duran, who all had one RBI in the loss. Boston started Dobbins, who allowed nine hits and five earned runs over 5.0 innings, while Chapman picked up the loss in the ninth.
Prior to that series, the Red Sox won two out of three against the Royals and two out of three against the Rangers. Boston has lost four of their last six games, and they are currently tied for second in the AL East standings. The Boston pitching staff has a 3.99 ERA with a 1.30 WHIP and a .253 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 221 runs with a .255 batting average and a .326 on-base percentage this season. Alex Bregman has led Boston with 11 home runs and 33 RBIs, while Wilyer Abreu has added 11 home runs and 27 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Boston is Garrett Crochet, who is 4-2 with a 1.93 ERA and a 1.07 WHIP over 56.0 innings pitched this season.
Atlanta Braves Betting Preview
The Atlanta Braves are 22-22 this year after they won three out of four against Washington by scores of 4-3, 5-2, 4-5, and 5-2. In their game four win, Atlanta scored the first four runs in the game, and they added an insurance run in the eighth. The Braves recorded nine hits and they committed one error in the game, while they were led by White, Allen, Ozuna, Baldwin, and Verdugo, who all had one RBI in the win. Atlanta started Smith-Shawver, who allowed two hits and zero earned runs over 6.0 innings for the win, while Iglesias picked up the save.
Prior to that series, the Braves lost two out of three against the Pirates, but did win three out of four against the Reds before that. Atlanta has won four of their last six games, and they are currently third in the NL East standings. The Atlanta pitching staff has a 3.70 ERA with a 1.23 WHIP and a .232 opponent batting average, while their offense has scored 175 runs with a .241 batting average and a .312 on-base percentage this year. Austin Riley has led Atlanta with eight home runs and 26 RBIs, while Matt Olson has added seven home runs and 21 RBIs this year. The projected starting pitcher for Atlanta is Chris Sale, who is 1-3 with a 3.97 ERA and a 1.41 WHIP over 47.2 innings pitched this year.
Why the Red Sox will beat the Braves
- The Braves have lost each of their last five games against AL East opponents following a win.
- The Red Sox have won each of their last seven games as favorites against NL East opponents.
- The Red Sox have covered the run line in each of their last six games as favorites against the Braves following a loss.
- The Braves have failed to cover the run line in each of their last six games as underdogs against the Red Sox following a win.
- The Red Sox have led after 5 innings in each of their last six games as favorites against NL East opponents.
- The Red Sox have led after 3 innings in each of their last six games as favorites against NL East opponents.
Why the Braves will beat the Red Sox
- The Red Sox have lost each of their last eight games against NL East opponents following a road loss.
- The Braves have won each of their last three games as underdogs after playing the previous day.
- The Red Sox have failed to cover the run line in each of their last nine Friday night home games against National League opponents.
- The underdogs have covered the run line in each of the Red Sox’s last six games.
- The Braves have won the first inning in each of their last three night games against AL East opponents.
- The Braves have led after 5 innings in each of their last four games.
- The Red Sox have trailed after 3 innings in four of their last five night games against National League opponents.
Total Runs Facts
- Each of the Braves’ last six road games have gone UNDER the total runs line.
- Seven of the Red Sox’s last eight games against NL East opponents have gone OVER the total runs line.
- The ‘Inning 1 OVER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in nine of the Braves’ last 10 games as road underdogs.
- The ‘Inning 1 UNDER 0.5 runs’ market has hit in each of the Red Sox’s last five games as home favorites against NL East opponents.
Boston Red Sox Player Prop Facts
- Rafael Devers has recorded a Double in three of the Red Sox’s last four games as home favorites against NL East opponents.
- Alex Bregman has recorded at least one RBI in seven of his last eight home appearances against NL East opponents.
- Trevor Story has scored at least one run in each of his last eight appearances with his team as a home favorite against NL East opponents.
- Trevor Story has recorded at least one hit in each of his last 16 appearances with his team as a home favorite against NL East opponents.
- Wilyer Abreu has recorded at least one Single in nine of his last 10 home appearances against NL opponents.
- Wilyer Abreu has hit at least one home run in three of the Red Sox’s last four games as favorites.
Atlanta Braves Player Prop Facts
- Sean Murphy has hit at least one home run in four of his last five appearances with the Braves as road underdogs.
- Sean Murphy has recorded a Double in three of his last four road appearances against opponents that held a losing record.
- Michael Harris has recorded at least one RBI in seven of the Braves’ last eight road games against opponents that held a losing record.
- Chris Sale has recorded a win in each of his last three appearances at Fenway Park against AL East opponents that held a losing record.
- Austin Riley has recorded at least one Single in each of the Braves’ last 10 night games against opponents that held a losing record.
- Chris Sale has recorded nine or more strikeouts in six of his seven previous appearances against former teams.
- Austin Riley has recorded at least one hit in each of the Braves’ last 13 night games.
- Ronald Acuna Jr. has scored at least one run in each of his last nine Friday appearances against teams that held a losing record.
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Red Sox vs Braves Prediction
Both of these teams come into this series with very similar records, but Boston will be trying to bounce back from a tough series in Detroit, where they allowed 30 runs in three games. The Red Sox are 11-9 at home this year, while the Braves are 7-15 on the road. Atlanta picked up a nice series win over Washington earlier in the week, and they are starting Sale, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in five straight starts. Boston is going with Crochet, who has allowed two earned runs or fewer in four of his last five. Take the under here.